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Estimating the sensitivity of the IceCube Upgrade to probe the interior of the Earth using atmospheric neutrino oscillations
Authors:
The IceCube Collaboration,
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Arg{ü}elles,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens,
J. Beise,
C. Bellenghi
, et al. (399 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
The IceCube Upgrade is a densely instrumented central region of the IceCube Neutrino Observatory, deployed during the 2025-26 polar season. It will reduce the detector's energy threshold and improve overall reconstruction capabilities for multi-GeV atmospheric neutrinos, which in turn enhance their sensitivity to Earth matter effects as they traverse through the deep Earth. In this study, we descr…
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The IceCube Upgrade is a densely instrumented central region of the IceCube Neutrino Observatory, deployed during the 2025-26 polar season. It will reduce the detector's energy threshold and improve overall reconstruction capabilities for multi-GeV atmospheric neutrinos, which in turn enhance their sensitivity to Earth matter effects as they traverse through the deep Earth. In this study, we describe the potential of the IceCube Upgrade to observe Earth matter effects on atmospheric neutrinos and estimate the detector's sensitivity to probe key features of the Preliminary Reference Earth Model by utilizing these observations. We highlight the IceCube Upgrade's capability to estimate the mass of the Earth and verify the non-homogeneous distribution of matter density within the Earth. We also estimate the IceCube Upgrade sensitivity to measure the correlated densities of the Earth layers while incorporating constraints from the mass and moment of inertia of the Earth. Neutrino-based results would be independent and complementary to the seismic and gravitational measurements.
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Submitted 6 August, 2026;
originally announced August 2026.
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High-energy neutrino emission from the Milky Way
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens,
J. Beise,
C. Bellenghi,
S. Benkel,
S. BenZvi
, et al. (398 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
The Milky Way hosts astrophysical objects that accelerate cosmic rays to energies beyond the reach of terrestrial particle accelerators. It remains a longstanding goal to locate the sites of these powerful Galactic engines and understand how cosmic rays propagate through the Galaxy, leading to the production of high-energy neutrinos. In this paper, we combine event morphologies characteristic of a…
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The Milky Way hosts astrophysical objects that accelerate cosmic rays to energies beyond the reach of terrestrial particle accelerators. It remains a longstanding goal to locate the sites of these powerful Galactic engines and understand how cosmic rays propagate through the Galaxy, leading to the production of high-energy neutrinos. In this paper, we combine event morphologies characteristic of all three neutrino flavours and apply recent improvements in ice modelling, calibration and reconstruction to 12 years of IceCube data. With a predefined, global analysis we establish high-energy neutrino emission from the Galactic plane at 5.7 $σ$ significance. A further study shows that the inner region of the Galaxy is a prominent neutrino source, with 217 shower events with visible energy above 5 TeV compared with an expected background of 154.4 $\pm$ 4.1. These results herald a new era of Galactic multi-messenger astronomy, creating new opportunities to study cosmic-ray propagation and probe neutrino properties over kiloparsec distances.
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Submitted 28 July, 2026;
originally announced July 2026.
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High-Energy Neutrino Tomography of the Earth's Interior with IceCube
Authors:
The IceCube Collaboration,
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens,
J. Beise,
C. Bellenghi,
S. Benkel
, et al. (395 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
The Earth's interior reflects its geological evolution, from accretion to present-day dynamics. Its structure drives the geodynamo in the outer core, generating the magnetic field that shields the surface from charged cosmic radiation. The primary observables of the Earth's interior are its radial density distribution and derived quantities such as its mass and moment of inertia. These have tradit…
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The Earth's interior reflects its geological evolution, from accretion to present-day dynamics. Its structure drives the geodynamo in the outer core, generating the magnetic field that shields the surface from charged cosmic radiation. The primary observables of the Earth's interior are its radial density distribution and derived quantities such as its mass and moment of inertia. These have traditionally been inferred from gravity and seismic wave propagation, which probe the macroscopic response of matter to gravitational and elastic forces. Here we instead constrain the Earth's density profile using high-energy neutrinos observed by the IceCube Neutrino Observatory at the South Pole. We analyze 10.7 years of predominantly muon-neutrino data spanning 500 GeV--100 TeV, including atmospheric neutrinos produced by cosmic-ray interactions in the Earth's atmosphere and the diffuse astrophysical neutrino flux. Neutrino attenuation depends on both the traversed column density and neutrino energy. By measuring the zenith- and energy-dependent flux suppression, we infer the Earth's radial density profile by fitting a concentric uniform-density shell model that incorporates neutrino fluxes, interaction cross sections, detector response, and glacial-ice systematic uncertainties. From the resulting density posteriors, we derive the Earth's mass and polar moment of inertia as measured by neutrinos. These are the most precise weak-interaction measurements of these quantities to date and are consistent with the Preliminary Reference Earth Model and independent gravitational determinations. Our results demonstrate that neutrinos provide a novel probe of planetary interiors via a distinct physical interaction, complementing gravity and seismology. With improved detectors and precision, neutrinos will further contribute to a multifaceted understanding of the Earth's structure.
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Submitted 7 July, 2026; v1 submitted 2 July, 2026;
originally announced July 2026.
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WavePID: Low-energy flavor identification using single-PMT time series in IceCube
Authors:
The IceCube Collaboration,
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens,
J. Beise,
C. Bellenghi,
S. Benkel
, et al. (395 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
The IceCube Neutrino Observatory, a cubic-kilometer detector at the South Pole, identifies neutrino flavor through event morphology. Sparse photon detection makes this classification particularly challenging in the 5--100~GeV regime, the energy range relevant for oscillation measurements and searches for physics beyond the Standard Model. We introduce WavePID, a template-based log-likelihood-ratio…
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The IceCube Neutrino Observatory, a cubic-kilometer detector at the South Pole, identifies neutrino flavor through event morphology. Sparse photon detection makes this classification particularly challenging in the 5--100~GeV regime, the energy range relevant for oscillation measurements and searches for physics beyond the Standard Model. We introduce WavePID, a template-based log-likelihood-ratio classifier that exploits nanosecond-scale timing on individual detector modules through three observables: the distance to the reconstructed vertex, the early-charge fraction, and the module-to-module time difference. Evaluated on a cascade-enriched sample selected by a state-of-the-art graph neural network, WavePID improves both cascade purity and classification performance over the neural network alone. This demonstrates that per-module pulse timing carries flavor-identification information complementary to morphology-based classifiers, opening a new physics-motivated observable for low-energy neutrino reconstruction. Geant4 simulations associate this signal with differences in Cherenkov emission geometry between muon tracks and electromagnetic showers. These results motivate exploiting nanosecond-scale pulse timing in future low-energy classifiers and in detector designs with improved per-module timing in next-generation neutrino telescopes.
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Submitted 20 August, 2026; v1 submitted 2 July, 2026;
originally announced July 2026.
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IceCube Real-time Searches for High-energy Neutrinos Coincident with LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA Gravitational-Wave Alerts in O4a
Authors:
The IceCube Collaboration,
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens,
J. Beise,
C. Bellenghi
, et al. (396 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
Gravitational-wave events from mergers of compact objects are a predicted source of high-energy neutrinos. Using data from the IceCube Neutrino Observatory, we search for neutrinos coincident with 85 significant and 945 low-significance gravitational-wave candidate events from compact binary coalescences published in real-time by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA collaboration during the first part of its four…
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Gravitational-wave events from mergers of compact objects are a predicted source of high-energy neutrinos. Using data from the IceCube Neutrino Observatory, we search for neutrinos coincident with 85 significant and 945 low-significance gravitational-wave candidate events from compact binary coalescences published in real-time by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA collaboration during the first part of its fourth observing run (O4a) and its preceding engineering run, within a time window of $\pm500$ seconds centered on the merger time. We report improvements to the online pipelines, including automatic sending of notices, which has decreased the IceCube real-time response time to gravitational-wave events. In addition, we search for long-duration neutrino emission (up to two weeks after the merger) from three candidate events: two neutron star-black hole mergers, and one low-significance gravitational-wave event with a possible subthreshold gamma-ray counterpart. We use two methods, both of which have been previously used to search for neutrino emission associated with gravitational-wave transients: an unbinned maximum likelihood analysis on significant alerts and a Bayesian analysis accounting for astrophysical priors on both significant and low-significance alerts. We find no statistically significant emission from any of the individual gravitational-wave events analyzed, and set upper limits on the time-integrated flux and energy emitted in high energy neutrinos assuming isotropic emission from each event.
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Submitted 11 June, 2026;
originally announced June 2026.
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IceCube Second Track Data Release IceTracks-DR2: Data from 2008-2022 for Neutrino Source Searches
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens,
J. Beise,
C. Bellenghi,
S. Benkel
, et al. (390 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
We present IceCube's latest release of muon track data for neutrino point-source searches, extending the previously published 10-year dataset to cover 14 years of observations (April 6, 2008 - May 23, 2022). This release features an updated event selection and improved detector calibration for data recorded after June 1, 2010. The release also includes binned instrument response functions and effe…
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We present IceCube's latest release of muon track data for neutrino point-source searches, extending the previously published 10-year dataset to cover 14 years of observations (April 6, 2008 - May 23, 2022). This release features an updated event selection and improved detector calibration for data recorded after June 1, 2010. The release also includes binned instrument response functions and effective areas, enabling the community to perform sensitive searches for steady and transient neutrino sources. We report on key science results obtained with this dataset using internal IceCube analysis tools and compare them to those derived from analyses based on the binned response functions included in this public release. To facilitate reproducible research, we provide benchmark results obtained using this data release and publicly available software. This release represents IceCube's most sensitive and comprehensive publicly available all-sky muon track dataset to date and should be preferred over previous releases.
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Submitted 18 May, 2026;
originally announced May 2026.
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Sensitivity Projections for Low-Mass Dark Matter Annihilation with the IceCube Upgrade
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens,
J. Beise,
C. Bellenghi,
S. Benkel
, et al. (390 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
The IceCube Upgrade, an extension designed to enhance the IceCube Neutrino Observatory's detection of neutrinos with energies between 1 GeV and 500 GeV, will markedly improve IceCube's sensitivity to low-mass dark matter scenarios. In this study, we present sensitivity projections for the IceCube Upgrade to neutrino fluxes arising from dark matter annihilation. In particular, we consider dark matt…
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The IceCube Upgrade, an extension designed to enhance the IceCube Neutrino Observatory's detection of neutrinos with energies between 1 GeV and 500 GeV, will markedly improve IceCube's sensitivity to low-mass dark matter scenarios. In this study, we present sensitivity projections for the IceCube Upgrade to neutrino fluxes arising from dark matter annihilation. In particular, we consider dark matter with masses between 3 GeV to 500 GeV from both the core of the Sun and the Galactic Center. These projections indicate that the IceCube Upgrade will enable stringent limits on dark matter in this parameter space, achieving leading sensitivities to some dark matter models with only three years of data taking.
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Submitted 7 May, 2026;
originally announced May 2026.
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Neural posterior estimation of the neutrino direction in IceCube using transformer-encoded normalizing flows on the sphere
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens,
J. Beise,
C. Bellenghi,
S. Benkel
, et al. (389 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
IceCube is a cubic-kilometer-scale neutrino detector located at the geographic South Pole. A precise directional reconstruction of IceCube neutrinos is vital for associations with astronomical objects. In this context, we discuss neural posterior estimation of the neutrino direction via a transformer encoder that maps to a normalizing flow on the 2-sphere. It achieves a new state-of-the-art angula…
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IceCube is a cubic-kilometer-scale neutrino detector located at the geographic South Pole. A precise directional reconstruction of IceCube neutrinos is vital for associations with astronomical objects. In this context, we discuss neural posterior estimation of the neutrino direction via a transformer encoder that maps to a normalizing flow on the 2-sphere. It achieves a new state-of-the-art angular resolution for the two main event morphologies in IceCube - tracks and showers - while being significantly faster than traditional B-spline-based likelihood reconstructions. All-sky scans can be performed within seconds rather than hours, and take constant computation time, regardless of whether the posterior extent is arc-minutes or spans the whole sky. We utilize a combination of $C^2$-smooth rational-quadratic splines, scale transformations and rotations to define a novel spherical normalizing-flow distribution whose parameters are predicted as a whole as the output of the transformer encoder. We test several structural choices diverting from the vanilla transformer architecture. In particular, we find dual residual streams, nonlinear QKV projection and a separate class token with its own cross-attention processing to boost test-time performance. The angular resolution for both showers and tracks improves substantially over the whole trained energy range from 100 GeV to 100 PeV. At 100 TeV deposited energy, for example, the median angular resolution improves by a factor of $1.3$ for throughgoing tracks, by a factor of $1.7$ for showers and by a factor of $2.5$ for starting tracks compared to state-of-the art likelihood reconstructions based on B-splines. While previous machine-learning (ML) efforts have managed to obtain competitive shower resolutions, this is the first time an ML-based method outperforms likelihood-based muon reconstructions above 100 GeV.
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Submitted 21 April, 2026;
originally announced April 2026.
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Evidence for neutrino emission from X-ray Bright Seyfert Galaxies in the Southern Hemisphere using Enhanced Starting Track Events with IceCube
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
J. Baines-Holmes,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens
, et al. (406 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
IceCube recently reported the observation of TeV neutrinos from the nearby Seyfert galaxy NGC~1068, and the corresponding neutrino flux is significantly higher than the upper limit implied by observations of GeV-TeV gamma rays. This suggests that neutrinos are produced near the supermassive black hole, where the radiation density is high enough to obscure gamma rays. We use a set of muon neutrinos…
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IceCube recently reported the observation of TeV neutrinos from the nearby Seyfert galaxy NGC~1068, and the corresponding neutrino flux is significantly higher than the upper limit implied by observations of GeV-TeV gamma rays. This suggests that neutrinos are produced near the supermassive black hole, where the radiation density is high enough to obscure gamma rays. We use a set of muon neutrinos with interaction vertices inside the detector, which have good sensitivity to sources in the Southern sky, from IceCube data recorded between 2011 and 2021. We then search for individual and collective neutrino signals from 14 Seyfert galaxies in the Southern Sky selected from the Swift Burst Alert Telescope (BAT) AGN Spectroscopic Survey. Using the correlations between keV X-rays and TeV neutrinos predicted by disk-corona models, and assuming production characteristics similar to NGC~1068, a collective neutrino signal search reveals an excess of $6.7_{-3.2}^{+4.0}$ events, which is inconsistent with background expectations at the 3$σ$ level of significance. In this paper, we present new independent evidence that Seyfert galaxies contribute to the extragalactic flux of high-energy neutrinos.
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Submitted 10 July, 2026; v1 submitted 10 February, 2026;
originally announced February 2026.
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Deep Search for Joint Sources of Gravitational Waves and High-Energy Neutrinos with IceCube During the Third Observing Run of LIGO and Virgo
Authors:
The IceCube Collaboration,
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
J. Baines-Holmes,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus
, et al. (2193 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
The discovery of joint sources of high-energy neutrinos and gravitational waves has been a primary target for the LIGO, Virgo, KAGRA, and IceCube observatories. The joint detection of high-energy neutrinos and gravitational waves would provide insight into cosmic processes, from the dynamics of compact object mergers and stellar collapses to the mechanisms driving relativistic outflows. The joint…
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The discovery of joint sources of high-energy neutrinos and gravitational waves has been a primary target for the LIGO, Virgo, KAGRA, and IceCube observatories. The joint detection of high-energy neutrinos and gravitational waves would provide insight into cosmic processes, from the dynamics of compact object mergers and stellar collapses to the mechanisms driving relativistic outflows. The joint detection of multiple cosmic messengers can also elevate the significance of the common observation even when some or all of the constituent messengers are sub-threshold, i.e. not significant enough to declare their detection individually. Using data from the LIGO, Virgo, and IceCube observatories, including sub-threshold events, we searched for common sources of gravitational waves and high-energy neutrinos during the third observing run of Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo detectors. Our search did not identify significant joint sources. We derive constraints on the rate densities of joint sources. Our results constrain the isotropic neutrino emission from gravitational-wave sources for very high values of the total energy emitted in neutrinos (> $10^{52} - 10^{54}$ erg).
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Submitted 28 January, 2026; v1 submitted 12 January, 2026;
originally announced January 2026.
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Constraining the Prompt Atmospheric Neutrino Flux Combining IceCube's Cascade and Track Samples
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
J. Baines-Holmes,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens
, et al. (406 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
The IceCube Neutrino Observatory has observed a diffuse flux of high-energy astrophysical neutrinos for more than a decade. A relevant background to the astrophysical flux is prompt atmospheric neutrinos, originating from the decay of charmed mesons produced in cosmic-ray-induced air showers. The production rate of charmed mesons in the very forward phase space of hadronic interactions, and conseq…
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The IceCube Neutrino Observatory has observed a diffuse flux of high-energy astrophysical neutrinos for more than a decade. A relevant background to the astrophysical flux is prompt atmospheric neutrinos, originating from the decay of charmed mesons produced in cosmic-ray-induced air showers. The production rate of charmed mesons in the very forward phase space of hadronic interactions, and consequently, the prompt neutrino flux, remains uncertain and has not yet been observed by neutrino detectors. An accurate measurement of this flux would enhance our understanding of fundamental particle physics such as hadronic interactions in high-energy cosmic-ray-induced air showers and the nucleon structure. Furthermore, an experimental characterization of this background flux will improve the precision of astrophysical neutrino flux spectral measurements. In this work, we perform a combined fit of cascade-like and track-like neutrino events in IceCube to constrain the prompt atmospheric neutrino flux. Given that the prompt flux is a sub-dominant contribution, treating systematic uncertainties arising from the potential mis-modeling of the conventional and astrophysical neutrino fluxes is critical for its measurement. Our analysis yields a non-zero best-fit result, which is, however, consistent with the null hypothesis of no prompt flux within one standard deviation. Consequently, we establish an upper bound on the flux at $4\times 10^{-16}$ (GeV m$^2$ s sr)$^{-1}$ at 10 TeV.
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Submitted 19 December, 2025;
originally announced December 2025.
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Prompt Searches for Very-High-Energy γ-Ray Counterparts to IceCube Astrophysical Neutrino Alerts
Authors:
J. Abhir,
A. Biland,
K. Brand,
T. Bretz,
D. Dorner,
L. Eisenberger,
D. Elsaesser,
P. Günther,
S. Hasan,
D. Hildebrand,
K. Mannheim,
M. Linhoff,
F. Pfeifle,
W. Rhode,
B. Schleicher,
V. Sliusar,
M. Vorbrugg,
R. Walter,
F. Aharonian,
F. Ait Benkhali,
J. Aschersleben,
H. Ashkar,
M. Backes,
V. Barbosa Martins,
R. Batzofin
, et al. (809 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
The search for sources of high-energy astrophysical neutrinos can be significantly advanced through a multi-messenger approach, which seeks to detect the gamma rays that accompany neutrinos as they are produced at their sources. Multi-messenger observations have so far provided the first evidence for a neutrino source, illustrated by the joint detection of the flaring blazar TXS 0506+056 in highen…
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The search for sources of high-energy astrophysical neutrinos can be significantly advanced through a multi-messenger approach, which seeks to detect the gamma rays that accompany neutrinos as they are produced at their sources. Multi-messenger observations have so far provided the first evidence for a neutrino source, illustrated by the joint detection of the flaring blazar TXS 0506+056 in highenergy (HE, E > 1 GeV) and very-high-energy (VHE, E > 100 GeV) gamma rays in coincidence with the high-energy neutrino IceCube-170922A, identified by IceCube. Imaging atmospheric Cherenkov telescopes (IACTs), namely FACT, H.E.S.S., MAGIC, and VERITAS, continue to conduct extensive neutrino target-of-opportunity follow-up programs. These programs have two components: followup observations of single astrophysical neutrino candidate events (such as IceCube-170922A), and observation of known gamma-ray sources after the identification of a cluster of neutrino events by IceCube. Here we present a comprehensive analysis of follow-up observations of high-energy neutrino events observed by the four IACTs between September 2017 (after the IceCube-170922A event) and January 2021. Our study found no associations between gamma-ray sources and the observed neutrino events. We provide a detailed overview of each neutrino event and its potential counterparts. Furthermore, a joint analysis of all IACT data is included, yielding combined upper limits on the VHE gamma-ray flux.
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Submitted 18 December, 2025;
originally announced December 2025.
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Constraints on the Population of Common Sources of Gravitational Waves and High-Energy Neutrinos with IceCube During the Third Observing Run of the LIGO and Virgo Detectors
Authors:
Doğa Veske,
Zsuzsa Márka,
Albert Zhang
Abstract:
The discovery of joint sources of high-energy neutrinos and gravitational waves has been a primary target for the LIGO, Virgo, KAGRA, and IceCube observatories. The joint detection of high-energy neutrinos and gravitational waves would provide insight into cosmic processes, such as progenitor dynamics and outflows. The joint detection of multiple cosmic messengers can also elevate the significance…
▽ More
The discovery of joint sources of high-energy neutrinos and gravitational waves has been a primary target for the LIGO, Virgo, KAGRA, and IceCube observatories. The joint detection of high-energy neutrinos and gravitational waves would provide insight into cosmic processes, such as progenitor dynamics and outflows. The joint detection of multiple cosmic messengers can also elevate the significance of the observation when some or all of the constituent messengers are sub-threshold, not significant enough to declare their detection individually. Leveraging data from the LIGO, Virgo, and IceCube observatories, we conducted an archival investigation of sub-threshold multimessenger events. Complementing previous analyses, we used minimal assumptions to search for common sources of sub-threshold gravitational-wave and high-energy neutrino candidates during the third observing run (O3) of the Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo detectors. Our search did not identify significant joint sources. We therefore derive constraints on the rate density of joint sources for each compact binary merger population as a function of the energy emitted in neutrinos. Only a fraction of the gravitational-wave sources emit neutrinos, if the neutrino emission has high bolometric energy ($>10^{52}$ to $10^{54}$ erg).
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Submitted 11 December, 2025;
originally announced December 2025.
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Limits on GeV-scale WIMP Annihilation in Dwarf Spheroidals with IceCube DeepCore
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
J. Baines-Holmes,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens
, et al. (406 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
Dark matter is approximately five times more abundant than baryonic matter in the universe, but its physical nature continues to elude physicists. One potential candidate for dark matter is a weakly-interacting massive particle (WIMP), which is predicted by various extensions to the Standard Model (SM) of particle physics. After becoming gravitationally bound in cosmic structures, WIMPs can self-a…
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Dark matter is approximately five times more abundant than baryonic matter in the universe, but its physical nature continues to elude physicists. One potential candidate for dark matter is a weakly-interacting massive particle (WIMP), which is predicted by various extensions to the Standard Model (SM) of particle physics. After becoming gravitationally bound in cosmic structures, WIMPs can self-annihilate and produce SM particles including neutrinos, which are observable by detectors like IceCube. We present a search for neutrinos from low-mass $(\leq 300 \, \mathrm{GeV})$ WIMP annihilation in dwarf spheroidal galaxies with over seven years of IceCube livetime. We find no statistically significant evidence of neutrinos produced by WIMP annihilation, and therefore set upper limits on the velocity-averaged annihilation cross section $\left<σv\right>$. Our strongest upper limits at the 90\% confidence level are $\mathcal{O}\!\left(10^{-22} \, \mathrm{{cm}^{3} \, s^{-1}}\right)$ for WIMP annihilation directly into neutrino-antineutrino pairs. For our least sensitive channel, the corresponding limits are $\mathcal{O}\!\left(10^{-20} \, \mathrm{{cm}^{3} \, s^{-1}}\right)$, which is an improvement of over two orders of magnitude over previous IceCube limits from dwarf galaxies at the upper end of our mass range.
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Submitted 24 November, 2025;
originally announced November 2025.
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Search for GeV-scale Dark Matter from the Galactic Center with IceCube-DeepCore
Authors:
The IceCube Collaboration,
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
J. Baines-Holmes,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus
, et al. (409 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
Models describing dark matter as a novel particle often predict that its annihilation or decay into Standard Model particles could produce a detectable neutrino flux in regions of high dark matter density, such as the Galactic Center. In this work, we search for these neutrinos using $\sim$9 years of IceCube-DeepCore data with an event selection optimized for energies between 15 GeV to 200 GeV. We…
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Models describing dark matter as a novel particle often predict that its annihilation or decay into Standard Model particles could produce a detectable neutrino flux in regions of high dark matter density, such as the Galactic Center. In this work, we search for these neutrinos using $\sim$9 years of IceCube-DeepCore data with an event selection optimized for energies between 15 GeV to 200 GeV. We considered several annihilation and decay channels and dark matter masses ranging from 15 GeV up to 8 TeV. No significant deviation from the background expectation from atmospheric neutrinos and muons was found. The most significant result was found for a dark matter mass of 201.6 GeV annihilating into a pair of $b\bar{b}$ quarks assuming the Navarro-Frenk-White halo profile with a post-trial significance of $1.08 \;σ$. We present upper limits on the thermally-averaged annihilation cross-section of the order of $10^{-24}~\mathrm{cm}^3 \mathrm{s}^{-1}$, as well as lower limits on the dark matter decay lifetime up to $10^{26}~\mathrm{s}$ for dark matter masses between 5 GeV up to 8 TeV. These results strengthen the current IceCube limits on dark matter masses above 20 GeV and provide an order of magnitude improvement at lower masses. In addition, they represent the strongest constraints from any neutrino telescope on GeV-scale dark matter and are among the world-leading limits for several dark matter scenarios.
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Submitted 22 June, 2026; v1 submitted 2 November, 2025;
originally announced November 2025.
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Characterization of the Three-Flavor Composition of Cosmic Neutrinos with IceCube
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
J. Baines-Holmes,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens
, et al. (407 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
Neutrinos oscillate over cosmic distances. Using 11.4 years of IceCube data, the flavor composition of the all-sky neutrino flux from 5\,TeV--10\,PeV is studied. We report the first measurement down to the $\mathcal{O}$(TeV) scale using events classified into three flavor-dependent morphologies. The best fit flavor ratio is $f_e:f_μ:f_τ\,=\,0.30:0.37:0.33$, consistent with the standard three-flavo…
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Neutrinos oscillate over cosmic distances. Using 11.4 years of IceCube data, the flavor composition of the all-sky neutrino flux from 5\,TeV--10\,PeV is studied. We report the first measurement down to the $\mathcal{O}$(TeV) scale using events classified into three flavor-dependent morphologies. The best fit flavor ratio is $f_e:f_μ:f_τ\,=\,0.30:0.37:0.33$, consistent with the standard three-flavor neutrino oscillation model. Each fraction is constrained to be $>0$ at $>$ 90\% confidence level, assuming a broken power law for cosmic neutrinos. We infer the flavor composition of cosmic neutrinos at their sources, and find production via neutron decay lies outside the 99\% confidence interval.
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Submitted 28 October, 2025;
originally announced October 2025.
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Constraints on the Correlation of IceCube Neutrinos with Tracers of Large-Scale Structure
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
J. Baines-Holmes,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens
, et al. (408 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
The IceCube Neutrino Observatory has observed extragalactic astrophysical neutrinos with an apparently isotropic distribution. Only a small fraction of the observed astrophysical neutrinos can be explained by known sources. Neutrino production is thought to occur in energetic environments that are ultimately powered by the gravitational collapse of dense regions of the large-scale mass distributio…
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The IceCube Neutrino Observatory has observed extragalactic astrophysical neutrinos with an apparently isotropic distribution. Only a small fraction of the observed astrophysical neutrinos can be explained by known sources. Neutrino production is thought to occur in energetic environments that are ultimately powered by the gravitational collapse of dense regions of the large-scale mass distribution in the universe. Whatever their identity, neutrino sources likely trace this large-scale mass distribution. The clustering of neutrinos with a tracer of the large-scale structure may provide insight into the distribution of neutrino sources with respect to redshift and the identity of neutrino sources. We implement a two-point angular cross-correlation of the Northern sky track events with an infrared galaxy catalog derived from WISE and 2MASS source catalogs that trace the nearby large-scale structure. No statistically significant correlation is found between the neutrinos and this infrared galaxy catalog. We find that < ~54% of the diffuse muon neutrino flux can be attributed to sources correlated with the galaxy catalog with 90% confidence. Additionally, when assuming that the neutrino source comoving density evolves following a power-law in redshift, $dN_s/dV \propto (1+z)^{k}$, we find that sources with negative evolution, in particular k < -1.75, are disfavored at the 90% confidence level
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Submitted 20 October, 2025;
originally announced October 2025.
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Evidence for Neutrino Emission from X-Ray-bright Active Galactic Nuclei with IceCube
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
J. Baines-Holmes,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens
, et al. (407 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
Recently, IceCube reported neutrino emission from the Seyfert galaxy NGC 1068. Using 13.1 years of IceCube data, we present a follow-up search for neutrino sources in the northern sky. NGC 1068 remains the most significant neutrino source among 110 preselected gamma-ray emitters while also being spatially compatible with the most significant location in the northern sky. Its energy spectrum is cha…
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Recently, IceCube reported neutrino emission from the Seyfert galaxy NGC 1068. Using 13.1 years of IceCube data, we present a follow-up search for neutrino sources in the northern sky. NGC 1068 remains the most significant neutrino source among 110 preselected gamma-ray emitters while also being spatially compatible with the most significant location in the northern sky. Its energy spectrum is characterized by an unbroken power-law with spectral index $γ= 3.4 \pm 0.2$. Consistent with previous results, the observed neutrino flux exceeds its gamma-ray counterpart by at least two orders of magnitude. Motivated by this disparity and the high X-ray luminosity of the source, we selected 47 X-ray bright Seyfert galaxies from the Swift/BAT spectroscopic survey that were not included in the list of gamma-ray emitters. When testing this collection for neutrino emission, we observe a 3.3$σ$ excess from an ensemble of 11 sources, with NGC 1068 excluded from the sample. Our results strengthen the evidence that X-ray bright cores of active galactic nuclei are neutrino emitters.
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Submitted 24 March, 2026; v1 submitted 15 October, 2025;
originally announced October 2025.
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Limiting the Parameter Space for Unstable eV-scale Neutrinos Using IceCube Data
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
J. Baines-Holmes,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens
, et al. (400 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
This Letter extends a recent IceCube sterile neutrino search to include unstable sterile neutrinos within the context of a model termed 3+1+Decay, which expands upon the 3+1 model by introducing sterile neutrino decay to invisible particles with coupling constant $g^2$. The model is attractive since it reduces tension between oscillation experiments within the global fits and with constraints that…
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This Letter extends a recent IceCube sterile neutrino search to include unstable sterile neutrinos within the context of a model termed 3+1+Decay, which expands upon the 3+1 model by introducing sterile neutrino decay to invisible particles with coupling constant $g^2$. The model is attractive since it reduces tension between oscillation experiments within the global fits and with constraints that come from cosmological observables. The analysis uses 10.7 years of up-going muon neutrino data with energy 500 GeV to 100 TeV and with improved reconstruction and modeling of systematics. The best-fit point is found to be $g^2 = 0$, $\sin^2(2θ_{24}) = 0.16$, and $Δm^{2}_{41} = 3.5$ eV$^2$, in agreement with the recent 3+1 sterile neutrino search. Values of $g^2 \geq π$ are excluded at 95\% confidence level. This result substantially limits decay parameter space indicated by recent global fits, disfavoring the decay scenario.
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Submitted 30 September, 2025;
originally announced October 2025.
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Galactic forcing increases origination of marine microplankton
Authors:
Péter Ozsvárt,
Emma Kun,
Imre Bartos,
Zsolt Gy. Márka,
Szabolcs Márka
Abstract:
The continuous flux of Galactic cosmic rays that bombard Earth's atmosphere creates ionizing radiation that can damage the DNA of living organisms. While this radiation on Earth is relatively constant in the short term, large and long-scale fluctuations are expected with a period of $\sim 63.5$ million years. As the Solar System moves above or below the Galactic plane during its oscillatory motion…
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The continuous flux of Galactic cosmic rays that bombard Earth's atmosphere creates ionizing radiation that can damage the DNA of living organisms. While this radiation on Earth is relatively constant in the short term, large and long-scale fluctuations are expected with a period of $\sim 63.5$ million years. As the Solar System moves above or below the Galactic plane during its oscillatory motion about the Galactic center, the Galactic magnetic shielding weakens, allowing more cosmic rays to reach Earth and trigger mutations in organisms. We identify a significant correlation (weighted global p-value: $1.25\times 10^{-4}$, or $3.72σ$) between the Solar System's Galactic oscillations and the origination of marine zoo- and phyto-microplankton genera over the Phanerozoic. When we restrict the analysis to time intervals during which all four groups coexisted, a post-trial significance of $4.52σ$ emerges. Our findings suggest that changes in biodiversity have been significantly influenced by long-term Galactic forcing.
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Submitted 4 September, 2025;
originally announced September 2025.
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GWTC-4.0: Population Properties of Merging Compact Binaries
Authors:
The LIGO Scientific Collaboration,
the Virgo Collaboration,
the KAGRA Collaboration,
A. G. Abac,
I. Abouelfettouh,
F. Acernese,
K. Ackley,
C. Adamcewicz,
S. Adhicary,
D. Adhikari,
N. Adhikari,
R. X. Adhikari,
V. K. Adkins,
S. Afroz,
D. Agarwal,
M. Agathos,
M. Aghaei Abchouyeh,
O. D. Aguiar,
S. Ahmadzadeh,
L. Aiello,
A. Ain,
P. Ajith,
T. Akutsu,
S. Albanesi,
R. A. Alfaidi
, et al. (1783 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
We detail the population properties of merging compact objects using 158 mergers from the cumulative Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog 4.0, which includes three types of binary mergers: binary neutron star, neutron star--black hole binary, and binary black hole mergers. We resolve multiple over- and under-densities in the black hole mass distribution: features persist at primary masses of…
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We detail the population properties of merging compact objects using 158 mergers from the cumulative Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog 4.0, which includes three types of binary mergers: binary neutron star, neutron star--black hole binary, and binary black hole mergers. We resolve multiple over- and under-densities in the black hole mass distribution: features persist at primary masses of $10\,M_\odot$ and $35\,M_\odot$ with a possible third feature at $\sim 20\,M_\odot$. These are departures from an otherwise power-law-like continuum that steepens above $35\,M_\odot$. Binary black holes with primary masses near $10\,M_\odot$ are more likely to have less massive secondaries, with a mass ratio distribution peaking at $q = 0.74^{+0.13}_{-0.13}$, potentially a signature of stable mass transfer during binary evolution. Black hole spins are inferred to be non-extremal, with 90\% of black holes having $χ< 0.57$, and preferentially aligned with binary orbits, implying many merging binaries form in isolation. However, we find a significant fraction, 0.24-0.42, of binaries have negative effective inspiral spins, suggesting many could be formed dynamically in gas-free environments. We find evidence for correlation between effective inspiral spin and mass ratio, though it is unclear if this is driven by variation in the mode of the distribution or the width. (Abridged)
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Submitted 17 September, 2025; v1 submitted 25 August, 2025;
originally announced August 2025.
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GWTC-4.0: Methods for Identifying and Characterizing Gravitational-wave Transients
Authors:
The LIGO Scientific Collaboration,
the Virgo Collaboration,
the KAGRA Collaboration,
A. G. Abac,
I. Abouelfettouh,
F. Acernese,
K. Ackley,
S. Adhicary,
D. Adhikari,
N. Adhikari,
R. X. Adhikari,
V. K. Adkins,
S. Afroz,
D. Agarwal,
M. Agathos,
M. Aghaei Abchouyeh,
O. D. Aguiar,
S. Ahmadzadeh,
L. Aiello,
A. Ain,
P. Ajith,
S. Akcay,
T. Akutsu,
S. Albanesi,
R. A. Alfaidi
, et al. (1787 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
The Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog (GWTC) is a collection of candidate gravitational-wave transient signals identified and characterized by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration. Producing the contents of the GWTC from detector data requires complex analysis methods. These comprise techniques to model the signal; identify the transients in the data; evaluate the quality of the data and mitigate…
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The Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog (GWTC) is a collection of candidate gravitational-wave transient signals identified and characterized by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration. Producing the contents of the GWTC from detector data requires complex analysis methods. These comprise techniques to model the signal; identify the transients in the data; evaluate the quality of the data and mitigate possible instrumental issues; infer the parameters of each transient; compare the data with the waveform models for compact binary coalescences; and handle the large amount of results associated with all these different analyses. In this paper, we describe the methods employed to produce the catalog's fourth release, GWTC-4.0, focusing on the analysis of the first part of the fourth observing run of Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo and KAGRA.
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Submitted 29 June, 2026; v1 submitted 25 August, 2025;
originally announced August 2025.
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GWTC-4.0: An Introduction to Version 4.0 of the Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog
Authors:
The LIGO Scientific Collaboration,
the Virgo Collaboration,
the KAGRA Collaboration,
A. G. Abac,
I. Abouelfettouh,
F. Acernese,
K. Ackley,
S. Adhicary,
D. Adhikari,
N. Adhikari,
R. X. Adhikari,
V. K. Adkins,
S. Afroz,
D. Agarwal,
M. Agathos,
M. Aghaei Abchouyeh,
O. D. Aguiar,
S. Ahmadzadeh,
L. Aiello,
A. Ain,
P. Ajith,
S. Akcay,
T. Akutsu,
S. Albanesi,
R. A. Alfaidi
, et al. (1786 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
The Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog (GWTC) is a collection of short-duration (transient) gravitational wave signals identified by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration in gravitational-wave data produced by the eponymous detectors. The catalog provides information about the identified candidates, such as the arrival time and amplitude of the signal and properties of the signal's source as inferr…
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The Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog (GWTC) is a collection of short-duration (transient) gravitational wave signals identified by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration in gravitational-wave data produced by the eponymous detectors. The catalog provides information about the identified candidates, such as the arrival time and amplitude of the signal and properties of the signal's source as inferred from the observational data. GWTC is the data release of this dataset and version 4.0 extends the catalog to include observations made during the first part of the fourth LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observing run up until 2024 January 31. This paper marks an introduction to a collection of articles related to this version of the catalog, GWTC-4.0. The collection of articles accompanying the catalog provides documentation of the methods used to analyze the data, summaries of the catalog of events, observational measurements drawn from the population, and detailed discussions of selected candidates
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Submitted 26 June, 2026; v1 submitted 25 August, 2025;
originally announced August 2025.
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Identification and Denoising of Radio Signals from Cosmic-Ray Air Showers using Convolutional Neural Networks
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
J. Baines-Holmes,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens
, et al. (404 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
Radio pulses generated by cosmic-ray air showers can be used to reconstruct key properties like the energy and depth of the electromagnetic component of cosmic-ray air showers. Radio detection threshold, influenced by natural and anthropogenic radio background, can be reduced through various techniques. In this work, we demonstrate that convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are an effective way to…
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Radio pulses generated by cosmic-ray air showers can be used to reconstruct key properties like the energy and depth of the electromagnetic component of cosmic-ray air showers. Radio detection threshold, influenced by natural and anthropogenic radio background, can be reduced through various techniques. In this work, we demonstrate that convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are an effective way to lower the threshold. We developed two CNNs: a classifier to distinguish radio signal waveforms from background noise and a denoiser to clean contaminated radio signals. Following the training and testing phases, we applied the networks to air-shower data triggered by scintillation detectors of the prototype station for the enhancement of IceTop, IceCube's surface array at the South Pole. Over a four-month period, we identified 554 cosmic-ray events in coincidence with IceTop, approximately five times more compared to a reference method based on a cut on the signal-to-noise ratio. Comparisons with IceTop measurements of the same air showers confirmed that the CNNs reliably identified cosmic-ray radio pulses and outperformed the reference method. Additionally, we find that CNNs reduce the false-positive rate of air-shower candidates and effectively denoise radio waveforms, thereby improving the accuracy of the power and arrival time reconstruction of radio pulses.
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Submitted 26 January, 2026; v1 submitted 20 August, 2025;
originally announced August 2025.
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The LED calibration systems for the mDOM and D-Egg sensor modules of the IceCube Upgrade
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
J. Baines-Holmes,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens
, et al. (410 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
The IceCube Neutrino Observatory, instrumenting about 1 km$^3$ of deep, glacial ice at the geographic South Pole, is due to be enhanced with the IceCube Upgrade. The IceCube Upgrade, to be deployed during the 2025/26 Antarctic summer season, will consist of seven new strings of photosensors, densely embedded near the bottom center of the existing array. Aside from a world-leading sensitivity to ne…
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The IceCube Neutrino Observatory, instrumenting about 1 km$^3$ of deep, glacial ice at the geographic South Pole, is due to be enhanced with the IceCube Upgrade. The IceCube Upgrade, to be deployed during the 2025/26 Antarctic summer season, will consist of seven new strings of photosensors, densely embedded near the bottom center of the existing array. Aside from a world-leading sensitivity to neutrino oscillations, a primary goal is the improvement of the calibration of the optical properties of the instrumented ice. These will be applied to the entire archive of IceCube data, improving the angular and energy resolution of the detected neutrino events. For this purpose, the Upgrade strings include a host of new calibration devices. Aside from dedicated calibration modules, several thousand LED flashers have been incorporated into the photosensor modules. We describe the design, production, and testing of these LED flashers before their integration into the sensor modules as well as the use of the LED flashers during lab testing of assembled sensor modules.
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Submitted 5 August, 2025;
originally announced August 2025.
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Improved measurements of the TeV-PeV extragalactic neutrino spectrum from joint analyses of IceCube tracks and cascades
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
J. Baines-Holmes,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens
, et al. (402 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
The IceCube South Pole Neutrino Observatory has discovered the presence of a diffuse astrophysical neutrino flux at energies of TeV and beyond using neutrino induced muon tracks and cascade events from neutrino interactions. We present two analyses sensitive to neutrino events in the energy range \SI{1}{TeV} to \SI{10}{PeV}, using more than 10 years of IceCube data. Both analyses consistently reje…
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The IceCube South Pole Neutrino Observatory has discovered the presence of a diffuse astrophysical neutrino flux at energies of TeV and beyond using neutrino induced muon tracks and cascade events from neutrino interactions. We present two analyses sensitive to neutrino events in the energy range \SI{1}{TeV} to \SI{10}{PeV}, using more than 10 years of IceCube data. Both analyses consistently reject a neutrino spectrum following a single power-law with significance $>4\,σ$ in favor of a broken power law. We describe the methods implemented in the two analyses, the spectral constraints obtained, and the validation of the robustness of the results. Additionally, we report the detection of a muon neutrino in the MESE sample with an energy of $11.4^{+2.46}_{-2.53} $\,\si{PeV}, the highest energy neutrino observed by IceCube to date. The results presented here show insights into the spectral shape of astrophysical neutrinos, which has important implications for inferring their production processes in a multi-messenger picture.
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Submitted 13 April, 2026; v1 submitted 29 July, 2025;
originally announced July 2025.
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Evidence for a Spectral Break or Curvature in the Spectrum of Astrophysical Neutrinos from 5 TeV--10 PeV
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
J. Baines-Holmes,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens
, et al. (402 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
We report improved measurements of the all flavor astrophysical neutrino spectrum with IceCube by combining complementary neutrino samples in two independent analyses. Both analyses show evidence of a harder spectrum at energies below $\sim$30~TeV compared to higher energies where the spectrum is well characterized by a power law. The spectrum is better described by a log parabola or a broken powe…
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We report improved measurements of the all flavor astrophysical neutrino spectrum with IceCube by combining complementary neutrino samples in two independent analyses. Both analyses show evidence of a harder spectrum at energies below $\sim$30~TeV compared to higher energies where the spectrum is well characterized by a power law. The spectrum is better described by a log parabola or a broken power law, the latter being the preferred model. Both, however, reject a single power law over an energy range 5~TeV-10~PeV with a significance $>4σ$, providing new constraints on properties of cosmic neutrino sources.
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Submitted 1 April, 2026; v1 submitted 29 July, 2025;
originally announced July 2025.
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The IceCube-Gen2 Collaboration -- Contributions to the 39th International Cosmic Ray Conference (ICRC2025)
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
G. Anton,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
J. Audehm,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
A. Balagopal V.,
M. Baricevic,
S. W. Barwick,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens
, et al. (443 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
IceCube-Gen2 is a planned next-generation neutrino observatory at the South Pole that builds upon the successful design of IceCube. Integrating two complementary detection technologies for neutrinos, optical and radio Cherenkov emission, in combination with a surface array for cosmic-ray air shower detection, IceCube-Gen2 will cover a broad neutrino energy range from MeV to EeV. This index of cont…
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IceCube-Gen2 is a planned next-generation neutrino observatory at the South Pole that builds upon the successful design of IceCube. Integrating two complementary detection technologies for neutrinos, optical and radio Cherenkov emission, in combination with a surface array for cosmic-ray air shower detection, IceCube-Gen2 will cover a broad neutrino energy range from MeV to EeV. This index of contributions to the 39th International Cosmic Ray Conference in Geneva, Switzerland (July 15-24, 2025) describes research and development efforts for IceCube-Gen2. Included are summaries of the design, status, and sensitivity of the IceCube-Gen2 optical, surface, and radio components; performance studies of next-generation surface detectors and in-ice optical sensors; advanced reconstruction techniques of cosmic-ray air showers and neutrino events; sustainability and environmental impact; and sensitivity studies of astrophysical neutrino fluxes and cosmic-ray physics. Contributions related to IceCube and the scheduled IceCube Upgrade are available in a separate collection.
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Submitted 21 July, 2025; v1 submitted 11 July, 2025;
originally announced July 2025.
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The IceCube Collaboration -- Contributions to the 39th International Cosmic Ray Conference (ICRC2025)
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
J. Baines-Holmes,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens
, et al. (404 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
The IceCube Observatory at the South Pole has been operating in its full configuration since May 2011 with a duty cycle of about 99%. Its main component consists of a cubic-kilometer array of optical sensors deployed deep in the Glacial ice designed for the detection of high-energy astrophysical neutrinos. A surface array for cosmic ray air shower detection, IceTop, and a denser inner subdetector,…
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The IceCube Observatory at the South Pole has been operating in its full configuration since May 2011 with a duty cycle of about 99%. Its main component consists of a cubic-kilometer array of optical sensors deployed deep in the Glacial ice designed for the detection of high-energy astrophysical neutrinos. A surface array for cosmic ray air shower detection, IceTop, and a denser inner subdetector, DeepCore, significantly enhance the capabilities of the observatory, making it a multipurpose facility. This list of contributions to the 39th International Cosmic Ray Conference in Geneva, Switzerland (July 15-24, 2025) summarizes the latest results from IceCube covering a broad set of key questions in physics and astrophysics. The papers in this index are grouped topically to highlight IceCube contributions related to high-energy neutrino and multi-messenger astrophysics, atmospheric fluxes, cosmic-ray physics, low-energy neutrino transients, physics beyond the Standard Model, detector calibration and event reconstruction, and the status and performance of the IceCube Upgrade, a dense sensor infill complemented by calibration devices to be deployed by the end of 2025. Contributions related to IceCube-Gen2, the planned future extension of IceCube, are available in a separate collection.
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Submitted 21 July, 2025; v1 submitted 11 July, 2025;
originally announced July 2025.
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Search for High-Energy Neutrinos From the Sun Using Ten Years of IceCube Data
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
J. Baines-Holmes,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens
, et al. (402 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
In this Letter, we present the results of a search for high-energy neutrinos produced by the annihilation of dark matter particles trapped in the Sun. Using 9.3 and 10.4 years of data from the DeepCore and IceCube neutrino detectors, we establish world-best limits for spin-dependent interactions between dark matter and Standard Model particles for dark matter masses from tens of GeV to tens of TeV…
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In this Letter, we present the results of a search for high-energy neutrinos produced by the annihilation of dark matter particles trapped in the Sun. Using 9.3 and 10.4 years of data from the DeepCore and IceCube neutrino detectors, we establish world-best limits for spin-dependent interactions between dark matter and Standard Model particles for dark matter masses from tens of GeV to tens of TeV. We additionally place constraints on the neutrino background produced by interactions of cosmic rays with the solar atmosphere.
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Submitted 11 July, 2025;
originally announced July 2025.
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Results from IceCube Searches for High-energy Neutrinos Coincident with Gravitational-Wave Alerts in LVK O4
Authors:
Zsuzsa Marka,
Jessie Thwaites,
Justin Vandenbroucke,
Doğa Veske
Abstract:
Mergers of compact objects, binary black holes and mergers including at least one neutron star, are a predicted source of high-energy neutrinos. These astrophysical events are now routinely detected through observation of their gravitational wave signature and, at least in one instance, their electromagnetic counterparts were also detected. Particles accelerated during the coalescence of compact o…
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Mergers of compact objects, binary black holes and mergers including at least one neutron star, are a predicted source of high-energy neutrinos. These astrophysical events are now routinely detected through observation of their gravitational wave signature and, at least in one instance, their electromagnetic counterparts were also detected. Particles accelerated during the coalescence of compact objects may also interact to produce high-energy neutrinos, which have yet to be detected, but observations are ongoing. The LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration publicly releases information on candidate gravitational wave events from compact binary coalescences in low latency during the current observing run (O4). To aid the electromagnetic follow-up, using data from the IceCube Neutrino Observatory, we search, in real time, for neutrinos spatially and temporally coincident with these gravitational wave candidate events using a time window of 1000 seconds centered on the merger time. We use two methods, both of which have been previously used to search for neutrino emission from gravitational-wave transients: an unbinned maximum likelihood analysis applied to significant alerts and a Bayesian analysis with astrophysical priors, applied to both significant and low-significance alerts. In addition, we search for long-duration neutrino emission up to 14 days after the merging of binaries containing a neutron star. We report analysis results determined in real time for these searches, and set upper limits on both flux and isotropic-equivalent energy emitted in neutrinos.
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Submitted 10 July, 2025;
originally announced July 2025.
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All-sky neutrino point-source search with IceCube combined track and cascade data
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
S. Ali,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
J. Baines-Holmes,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens
, et al. (402 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
Despite extensive efforts, discovery of high-energy astrophysical neutrino sources remains elusive. We present an event-level simultaneous maximum likelihood analysis of tracks and cascades using IceCube data collected from 04/06/2008 to 05/23/2022 to search the whole sky for neutrino sources and, using a source catalog, for coincidence of neutrino emission with gamma-ray emission. This is the fir…
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Despite extensive efforts, discovery of high-energy astrophysical neutrino sources remains elusive. We present an event-level simultaneous maximum likelihood analysis of tracks and cascades using IceCube data collected from 04/06/2008 to 05/23/2022 to search the whole sky for neutrino sources and, using a source catalog, for coincidence of neutrino emission with gamma-ray emission. This is the first time a simultaneous fit of different detection channels is used to conduct a time-integrated all-sky scan with IceCube. Combining all-sky tracks, with superior pointing-power and sensitivity in the northern sky, with all-sky cascades, with good energy-resolution and sensitivity in the southern sky, we have developed the most sensitive point-source search to date by IceCube which targets the entire sky. The most significant point in the northern sky aligns with NGC 1068, a Seyfert II galaxy, which, from the catalog search, shows a 3.5$σ$ excess over background after accounting for trials. The most significant point in the southern sky does not align with any source in the catalog and is not significant after accounting for trials. A search for the single most significant Gaussian flare at the locations of NGC 1068, PKS 1424+240, and the southern highest significance point shows results consistent with expectations for steady emission. Notably, this is the first time that a flare shorter than four years has been excluded as being responsible for NGC 1068's emergence as a neutrino source. Our results show that combining tracks and cascades when conducting neutrino source searches improves sensitivity and can lead to new discoveries.
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Submitted 9 October, 2025; v1 submitted 9 July, 2025;
originally announced July 2025.
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A Search for Millimeter-Bright Blazars as Astrophysical Neutrino Sources
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
J. Baines-Holmes,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens,
J. Beise
, et al. (402 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
The powerful jets of blazars have been historically considered as likely sites of high-energy cosmic-ray acceleration. However, particulars of the launched jet and the locations of leptonic and hadronic jet loading remain unclear. In the case when leptonic and hadronic particle injection occur jointly, a temporal correlation between synchrotron radiation and neutrino production is expected. We use…
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The powerful jets of blazars have been historically considered as likely sites of high-energy cosmic-ray acceleration. However, particulars of the launched jet and the locations of leptonic and hadronic jet loading remain unclear. In the case when leptonic and hadronic particle injection occur jointly, a temporal correlation between synchrotron radiation and neutrino production is expected. We use a first catalog of millimeter (mm) wavelength blazar light curves from the Atacama Cosmology Telescope for a time-dependent correlation with twelve years of muon neutrino events from the IceCube South Pole Neutrino Observatory. Such mm emission is known to trace activity of the bright jet base, which is often self-absorbed at lower frequencies and potentially gamma-ray opaque. We perform an analysis of the population, as well as analyses of individual, selected sources. We do not observe a significant signal from the stacked population. TXS 0506+056 is found as the most significant, individual source, though this detection is not globally significant in our analysis of selected AGN. Our results suggest that the majority of mm-bright blazars are neutrino dim. In general, it is possible that many blazars have lighter, leptonic jets, or that only selected blazars provide exceptional conditions for neutrino production.
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Submitted 5 July, 2025;
originally announced July 2025.
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Measurement of the mean number of muons with energies above 500 GeV in air showers detected with the IceCube Neutrino Observatory
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
J. Baines-Holmes,
A. Balagopal V.,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
P. Behrens,
J. Beise
, et al. (391 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
We present a measurement of the mean number of muons with energies larger than 500 GeV in near-vertical extensive air showers initiated by cosmic rays with primary energies between 2.5 PeV and 100 PeV. The measurement is based on events detected in coincidence between the surface and in-ice detectors of the IceCube Neutrino Observatory. Air showers are recorded on the surface by IceTop, while a bu…
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We present a measurement of the mean number of muons with energies larger than 500 GeV in near-vertical extensive air showers initiated by cosmic rays with primary energies between 2.5 PeV and 100 PeV. The measurement is based on events detected in coincidence between the surface and in-ice detectors of the IceCube Neutrino Observatory. Air showers are recorded on the surface by IceTop, while a bundle of high-energy muons ("TeV muons") from the shower can subsequently produce a track-like event in the IceCube in-ice array. Results are obtained assuming the hadronic interaction models Sibyll 2.1, QGSJet-II.04, and EPOS-LHC. The measured number of TeV muons is found to be in agreement with predictions from air-shower simulations. The results have also been compared to a measurement of low-energy muons by IceTop, indicating an inconsistency between the predictions for low- and high-energy muons in simulations based on the EPOS-LHC model.
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Submitted 17 October, 2025; v1 submitted 23 June, 2025;
originally announced June 2025.
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Probing the PeV Region in the Astrophysical Neutrino Spectrum using $ν_μ$ from the Southern Sky
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
A. Balagopal V.,
M. Baricevic,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
J. Beise,
C. Bellenghi
, et al. (404 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
IceCube has observed a diffuse astrophysical neutrino flux over the energy region from a few TeV to a few PeV. At PeV energies, the spectral shape is not yet well measured due to the low statistics of the data. This analysis probes the gap between 1 PeV and 10 PeV by using high-energy downgoing muon neutrinos. To reject the large atmospheric muon background, two complementary techniques are combin…
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IceCube has observed a diffuse astrophysical neutrino flux over the energy region from a few TeV to a few PeV. At PeV energies, the spectral shape is not yet well measured due to the low statistics of the data. This analysis probes the gap between 1 PeV and 10 PeV by using high-energy downgoing muon neutrinos. To reject the large atmospheric muon background, two complementary techniques are combined. The first technique selects events with high stochasticity to reject atmospheric muon bundles whose stochastic energy losses are smoothed due to high muon multiplicity. The second technique vetoes atmospheric muons with the IceTop surface array. Using 9 years of data, we found two neutrino candidate events in the signal region, consistent with expectation from background, each with relatively high signal probabilities. A joint maximum likelihood estimation is performed using this sample and an independent 9.5-year sample of tracks to measure the neutrino spectrum. A likelihood ratio test is done to compare the single power-law (SPL) vs. SPL+cutoff hypothesis; the SPL+cutoff model is not significantly better than the SPL. High-energy astrophysical objects from four source catalogs are also checked around the direction of the two events. No significant coincidence was found.
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Submitted 5 June, 2025; v1 submitted 27 February, 2025;
originally announced February 2025.
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Seasonal Variations of the Atmospheric Muon Neutrino Spectrum measured with IceCube
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
A. Balagopal V.,
M. Baricevic,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
J. Beise,
C. Bellenghi
, et al. (404 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
This study presents an energy-dependent analysis of seasonal variations in the atmospheric muon neutrino spectrum, using 11.3 years of data from the IceCube Neutrino Observatory. By leveraging a novel spectral unfolding method, we explore the energy range from 125 GeV to 10 TeV for zenith angles between 90° to 110°, corresponding to the Antarctic atmosphere. Our findings reveal that the seasonal v…
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This study presents an energy-dependent analysis of seasonal variations in the atmospheric muon neutrino spectrum, using 11.3 years of data from the IceCube Neutrino Observatory. By leveraging a novel spectral unfolding method, we explore the energy range from 125 GeV to 10 TeV for zenith angles between 90° to 110°, corresponding to the Antarctic atmosphere. Our findings reveal that the seasonal variation amplitude decreases with energy reaching ($-4.6 \pm 1.1$)\% during Austral winter and increases ($+3.9 \pm 1.2$)\% during Austral summer relative to the annual average at 10TeV. While the unfolded flux exceeds the model predictions by up to 30\%, the differential measurement of seasonal variations remains unaffected. The measured seasonal variations of the muon neutrino spectrum are consistent with theoretical predictions using the MCEq code and the NRLMSISE-00 atmospheric model.
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Submitted 7 December, 2025; v1 submitted 25 February, 2025;
originally announced February 2025.
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Fast, Accurate Manifold Denoising by Tunneling Riemannian Optimization
Authors:
Shiyu Wang,
Mariam Avagyan,
Yihan Shen,
Arnaud Lamy,
Tingran Wang,
Szabolcs Márka,
Zsuzsa Márka,
John Wright
Abstract:
Learned denoisers play a fundamental role in various signal generation (e.g., diffusion models) and reconstruction (e.g., compressed sensing) architectures, whose success derives from their ability to leverage low-dimensional structure in data. Existing denoising methods, however, either rely on local approximations that require a linear scan of the entire dataset or treat denoising as generic fun…
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Learned denoisers play a fundamental role in various signal generation (e.g., diffusion models) and reconstruction (e.g., compressed sensing) architectures, whose success derives from their ability to leverage low-dimensional structure in data. Existing denoising methods, however, either rely on local approximations that require a linear scan of the entire dataset or treat denoising as generic function approximation problems, often sacrificing efficiency and interpretability. We consider the problem of efficiently denoising a new noisy data point sampled from an unknown $d$-dimensional manifold $M \in \mathbb{R}^D$, using only noisy samples. This work proposes a framework for test-time efficient manifold denoising, by framing the concept of "learning-to-denoise" as "learning-to-optimize". We have two technical innovations: (i) online learning methods which learn to optimize over the manifold of clean signals using only noisy data, effectively "growing" an optimizer one sample at a time. (ii) mixed-order methods which guarantee that the learned optimizers achieve global optimality, ensuring both efficiency and near-optimal denoising performance. We corroborate these claims with theoretical analyses of both the complexity and denoising performance of mixed-order traversal. Our experiments on scientific manifolds demonstrate significantly improved complexity-performance tradeoffs compared to nearest neighbor search, which underpins existing provable denoising approaches based on exhaustive search.
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Submitted 12 August, 2025; v1 submitted 23 February, 2025;
originally announced February 2025.
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Measurement of the inelasticity distribution of neutrino-nucleon interactions for $\mathbf{80~GeV<E_ν<560~GeV}$ with IceCube DeepCore
Authors:
IceCube Collaboration,
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
A. Balagopal V.,
M. Baricevic,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
J. Beise
, et al. (404 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
We report a study of the inelasticity distribution in the scattering of neutrinos of energy $80-560$ GeV off nucleons. Using atmospheric muon neutrinos detected in IceCube's sub-array DeepCore during 2012-2021, we fit the observed inelasticity in the data to a parameterized expectation and extract the values that describe it best. Finally, we compare the results to predictions from various combina…
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We report a study of the inelasticity distribution in the scattering of neutrinos of energy $80-560$ GeV off nucleons. Using atmospheric muon neutrinos detected in IceCube's sub-array DeepCore during 2012-2021, we fit the observed inelasticity in the data to a parameterized expectation and extract the values that describe it best. Finally, we compare the results to predictions from various combinations of perturbative QCD calculations and atmospheric neutrino flux models.
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Submitted 11 June, 2025; v1 submitted 18 February, 2025;
originally announced February 2025.
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Search for Heavy Neutral Leptons with IceCube DeepCore
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
A. Balagopal V.,
M. Baricevic,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
J. Beise,
C. Bellenghi
, et al. (400 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
The observation of neutrino oscillations has established that neutrinos have non-zero masses. This phenomenon is not explained by the Standard Model of particle physics, but one viable explanation to this dilemma involves the existence of heavy neutral leptons in the form of right-handed neutrinos. This work presents the first search for heavy neutral leptons with the IceCube Neutrino Observatory.…
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The observation of neutrino oscillations has established that neutrinos have non-zero masses. This phenomenon is not explained by the Standard Model of particle physics, but one viable explanation to this dilemma involves the existence of heavy neutral leptons in the form of right-handed neutrinos. This work presents the first search for heavy neutral leptons with the IceCube Neutrino Observatory. The standard three flavor neutrino model is extended by adding a fourth GeV-scale mass state allowing mixing with the $τ$ sector through the parameter $|U_{\tau4}|^2$. The analysis is performed by searching for signatures of heavy neutral leptons that are directly produced via up-scattering of atmospheric $ν_τ$'s inside the IceCube detection volume. Three heavy neutral lepton mass values, $m_4$, of 0.3 GeV, 0.6 GeV, and 1.0 GeV are tested using ten years of data, collected between 2011 and 2021. No significant signal of heavy neutral leptons is observed for any of the tested masses. The resulting constraints for the mixing parameter are $|U_{\tau4}|^2 < 0.19$ ($m_4 = 0.3$ GeV), $|U_{\tau4}|^2 < 0.36$ ($m_4 = 0.6$ GeV), and $|U_{\tau4}|^2 < 0.40$ ($m_4 = 1.0$ GeV) at the 90% confidence level. This analysis serves as proof-of-concept for heavy neutral lepton searches in IceCube. The heavy neutral lepton event generator, developed in this work, and the analysis of the expected signatures lay the fundamental groundwork for future searches thereof.
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Submitted 13 February, 2025;
originally announced February 2025.
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VERITAS and multiwavelength observations of the Blazar B3 2247+381 in response to an IceCube neutrino alert
Authors:
Atreya Acharyya,
Colin B. Adams,
Priyadarshini Bangale,
J. T. Bartkoske,
Wystan Benbow,
James H. Buckley,
Yu Chen,
Jodi Christiansen,
Alisha Chromey,
Anne Duerr,
Manel Errando,
Miguel E. Godoy,
Abe Falcone,
Qi Feng,
Juniper Foote,
Lucy Fortson,
Amy Furniss,
William Hanlon,
David Hanna,
Olivier Hervet,
Claire E. Hinrichs,
Jamie Holder,
Thomas B. Humensky,
Weidong Jin,
Madalyn N. Johnson
, et al. (473 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
While the sources of the diffuse astrophysical neutrino flux detected by the IceCube Neutrino Observatory are still largely unknown, one of the promising methods used towards understanding this is investigating the potential temporal and spatial correlations between neutrino alerts and the electromagnetic radiation from blazars. We report on the multiwavelength target-of-opportunity observations o…
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While the sources of the diffuse astrophysical neutrino flux detected by the IceCube Neutrino Observatory are still largely unknown, one of the promising methods used towards understanding this is investigating the potential temporal and spatial correlations between neutrino alerts and the electromagnetic radiation from blazars. We report on the multiwavelength target-of-opportunity observations of the blazar B3 2247+381, taken in response to an IceCube multiplet alert for a cluster of muon neutrino events compatible with the source location between May 20, 2022 and November 10, 2022. B3 2247+381 was not detected with VERITAS during this time period. The source was found to be in a low-flux state in the optical, ultraviolet and gamma-ray bands for the time interval corresponding to the neutrino event, but was detected in the hard X-ray band with NuSTAR during this period. We find the multiwavelength spectral energy distribution is well described using a simple one-zone leptonic synchrotron self-Compton radiation model. Moreover, assuming the neutrinos originate from hadronic processes within the jet, the neutrino flux would be accompanied by a photon flux from the cascade emission, and the integrated photon flux required in such a case would significantly exceed the total multiwavelength fluxes and the VERITAS upper limits presented here. The lack of flaring activity observed with VERITAS, combined with the low multiwavelength flux levels, and given the significance of the neutrino excess is at 3$σ$ level (uncorrected for trials), makes B3 2247+381 an unlikely source of the IceCube multiplet. We conclude that the neutrino excess is likely a background fluctuation.
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Submitted 6 February, 2025;
originally announced February 2025.
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Search for Extremely-High-Energy Neutrinos and First Constraints on the Ultrahigh-Energy Cosmic-Ray Proton Fraction with IceCube
Authors:
IceCube Collaboration,
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
A. Balagopal V.,
M. Baricevic,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
J. Beise
, et al. (402 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
We present a search for the diffuse extremely-high-energy neutrino flux using $12.6$ years of IceCube data. The nonobservation of neutrinos with energies well above $10 \, \mathrm{PeV}$ constrains the all-flavor neutrino flux at $10^{18} \, \mathrm{eV}$ to a level of $E^2 Φ_{ν_e + ν_μ+ ν_τ} \simeq 10^{-8} \, \mathrm{GeV} \, \mathrm{cm}^{-2} \, \mathrm{s}^{-1} \, \mathrm{sr}^{-1}$, the most stringe…
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We present a search for the diffuse extremely-high-energy neutrino flux using $12.6$ years of IceCube data. The nonobservation of neutrinos with energies well above $10 \, \mathrm{PeV}$ constrains the all-flavor neutrino flux at $10^{18} \, \mathrm{eV}$ to a level of $E^2 Φ_{ν_e + ν_μ+ ν_τ} \simeq 10^{-8} \, \mathrm{GeV} \, \mathrm{cm}^{-2} \, \mathrm{s}^{-1} \, \mathrm{sr}^{-1}$, the most stringent limit to date. Using these data, we constrain the proton fraction of ultra-high-energy cosmic rays (UHECRs) above $\simeq 30 \, \mathrm{EeV}$ to be $\lesssim 70\,$% (at $90\,$% CL) if the cosmological evolution of the sources is comparable to or stronger than the star formation rate. This is the first result to disfavor the ``proton-only" hypothesis for UHECRs in this evolution regime using neutrino data. This result complements direct air-shower measurements by being insensitive to uncertainties associated with hadronic interaction models. We also evaluate the tension between IceCube's nonobservation and the $\sim 200 \, \mathrm{PeV}$ KM3NeT neutrino candidate (KM3-230213A), finding it to be $\sim 2.9 σ$ based on a joint-livetime fit between neutrino datasets.
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Submitted 9 July, 2025; v1 submitted 3 February, 2025;
originally announced February 2025.
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Time-Integrated Southern-Sky Neutrino Source Searches with 10 Years of IceCube Starting-Track Events at Energies Down to 1 TeV
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
A. Balagopal V.,
M. Baricevic,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
J. Beise,
C. Bellenghi
, et al. (402 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
In the IceCube Neutrino Observatory, a signal of astrophysical neutrinos is obscured by backgrounds from atmospheric neutrinos and muons produced in cosmic-ray interactions. IceCube event selections used to isolate the astrophysical neutrino signal often focus on t/he morphology of the light patterns recorded by the detector. The analyses presented here use the new IceCube Enhanced Starting Track…
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In the IceCube Neutrino Observatory, a signal of astrophysical neutrinos is obscured by backgrounds from atmospheric neutrinos and muons produced in cosmic-ray interactions. IceCube event selections used to isolate the astrophysical neutrino signal often focus on t/he morphology of the light patterns recorded by the detector. The analyses presented here use the new IceCube Enhanced Starting Track Event Selection (ESTES), which identifies events likely generated by muon neutrino interactions within the detector geometry, focusing on neutrino energies of 1-500 TeV with a median angular resolution of 1.4°. Selecting for starting track events filters out not only the atmospheric-muon background, but also the atmospheric-neutrino background in the southern sky. This improves IceCube's muon neutrino sensitivity to southern-sky neutrino sources, especially for Galactic sources that are not expected to produce a substantial flux of neutrinos above 100 TeV. In this work, the ESTES sample was applied for the first time to searches for astrophysical sources of neutrinos, including a search for diffuse neutrino emission from the Galactic plane. No significant excesses were identified from any of the analyses; however, constraining limits are set on the hadronic emission from TeV gamma-ray Galactic plane objects and models of the diffuse Galactic plane neutrino flux.
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Submitted 27 January, 2025;
originally announced January 2025.
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Search for neutrino doublets and triplets using 11.4 years of IceCube data
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
A. Balagopal V.,
M. Baricevic,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
J. Beise,
C. Bellenghi
, et al. (402 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
We report a search for high-energy astrophysical neutrino multiplets, detections of multiple neutrino clusters in the same direction within 30 days, based on an analysis of 11.4 years of IceCube data. A new search method optimized for transient neutrino emission with a monthly time scale is employed, providing a higher sensitivity to neutrino fluxes. This result is sensitive to neutrino transient…
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We report a search for high-energy astrophysical neutrino multiplets, detections of multiple neutrino clusters in the same direction within 30 days, based on an analysis of 11.4 years of IceCube data. A new search method optimized for transient neutrino emission with a monthly time scale is employed, providing a higher sensitivity to neutrino fluxes. This result is sensitive to neutrino transient emission, reaching per-flavor flux of approximately $10^{-10}\ {\rm erg}\ {\rm cm}^{-2}\ {\rm sec}^{-1}$ from the Northern sky in the energy range $E\gtrsim 50$~TeV. The number of doublets and triplets identified in this search is compatible with the atmospheric background hypothesis, which leads us to set limits on the nature of neutrino transient sources with emission timescales of one month.
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Submitted 15 January, 2025;
originally announced January 2025.
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Search for continuous gravitational waves from known pulsars in the first part of the fourth LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observing run
Authors:
The LIGO Scientific Collaboration,
the Virgo Collaboration,
the KAGRA Collaboration,
A. G. Abac,
R. Abbott,
I. Abouelfettouh,
F. Acernese,
K. Ackley,
S. Adhicary,
N. Adhikari,
R. X. Adhikari,
V. K. Adkins,
D. Agarwal,
M. Agathos,
M. Aghaei Abchouyeh,
O. D. Aguiar,
I. Aguilar,
L. Aiello,
A. Ain,
P. Ajith,
T. Akutsu,
S. Albanesi,
R. A. Alfaidi,
A. Al-Jodah,
C. Alléné
, et al. (1794 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
Continuous gravitational waves (CWs) emission from neutron stars carries information about their internal structure and equation of state, and it can provide tests of General Relativity. We present a search for CWs from a set of 45 known pulsars in the first part of the fourth LIGO--Virgo--KAGRA observing run, known as O4a. We conducted a targeted search for each pulsar using three independent ana…
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Continuous gravitational waves (CWs) emission from neutron stars carries information about their internal structure and equation of state, and it can provide tests of General Relativity. We present a search for CWs from a set of 45 known pulsars in the first part of the fourth LIGO--Virgo--KAGRA observing run, known as O4a. We conducted a targeted search for each pulsar using three independent analysis methods considering the single-harmonic and the dual-harmonic emission models. We find no evidence of a CW signal in O4a data for both models and set upper limits on the signal amplitude and on the ellipticity, which quantifies the asymmetry in the neutron star mass distribution. For the single-harmonic emission model, 29 targets have the upper limit on the amplitude below the theoretical spin-down limit. The lowest upper limit on the amplitude is $6.4\!\times\!10^{-27}$ for the young energetic pulsar J0537-6910, while the lowest constraint on the ellipticity is $8.8\!\times\!10^{-9}$ for the bright nearby millisecond pulsar J0437-4715. Additionally, for a subset of 16 targets we performed a narrowband search that is more robust regarding the emission model, with no evidence of a signal. We also found no evidence of non-standard polarizations as predicted by the Brans-Dicke theory.
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Submitted 26 September, 2025; v1 submitted 2 January, 2025;
originally announced January 2025.
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Observation of Cosmic-Ray Anisotropy in the Southern Hemisphere with 12 yr of Data Collected by the IceCube Neutrino Observatory
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
T. Aguado,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
S. N. Axani,
R. Babu,
X. Bai,
A. Balagopal V.,
M. Baricevic,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
J. Beise
, et al. (413 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
We analyzed the 7.92$\times 10^{11}$ cosmic-ray-induced muon events collected by the IceCube Neutrino Observatory from May 13, 2011, when the fully constructed experiment started to take data, to May 12, 2023. This dataset provides an up-to-date cosmic-ray arrival direction distribution in the Southern Hemisphere with unprecedented statistical accuracy covering more than a full period length of a…
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We analyzed the 7.92$\times 10^{11}$ cosmic-ray-induced muon events collected by the IceCube Neutrino Observatory from May 13, 2011, when the fully constructed experiment started to take data, to May 12, 2023. This dataset provides an up-to-date cosmic-ray arrival direction distribution in the Southern Hemisphere with unprecedented statistical accuracy covering more than a full period length of a solar cycle. Improvements in Monte Carlo event simulation and better handling of year-to-year differences in data processing significantly reduce systematic uncertainties below the level of statistical fluctuations compared to the previously published results. We confirm the observation of a change in the angular structure of the cosmic-ray anisotropy between 10 TeV and 1 PeV, more specifically in the 100-300 TeV energy range.
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Submitted 28 July, 2025; v1 submitted 6 December, 2024;
originally announced December 2024.
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Search for gravitational waves emitted from SN 2023ixf
Authors:
The LIGO Scientific Collaboration,
the Virgo Collaboration,
the KAGRA Collaboration,
A. G. Abac,
R. Abbott,
I. Abouelfettouh,
F. Acernese,
K. Ackley,
S. Adhicary,
N. Adhikari,
R. X. Adhikari,
V. K. Adkins,
D. Agarwal,
M. Agathos,
M. Aghaei Abchouyeh,
O. D. Aguiar,
I. Aguilar,
L. Aiello,
A. Ain,
T. Akutsu,
S. Albanesi,
R. A. Alfaidi,
A. Al-Jodah,
C. Alléné,
A. Allocca
, et al. (1758 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
We present the results of a search for gravitational-wave transients associated with core-collapse supernova SN 2023ixf, which was observed in the galaxy Messier 101 via optical emission on 2023 May 19th, during the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA 15th Engineering Run. We define a five-day on-source window during which an accompanying gravitational-wave signal may have occurred. No gravitational waves have been…
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We present the results of a search for gravitational-wave transients associated with core-collapse supernova SN 2023ixf, which was observed in the galaxy Messier 101 via optical emission on 2023 May 19th, during the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA 15th Engineering Run. We define a five-day on-source window during which an accompanying gravitational-wave signal may have occurred. No gravitational waves have been identified in data when at least two gravitational-wave observatories were operating, which covered $\sim 14\%$ of this five-day window. We report the search detection efficiency for various possible gravitational-wave emission models. Considering the distance to M101 (6.7 Mpc), we derive constraints on the gravitational-wave emission mechanism of core-collapse supernovae across a broad frequency spectrum, ranging from 50 Hz to 2 kHz where we assume the gravitational-wave emission occurred when coincident data are available in the on-source window. Considering an ellipsoid model for a rotating proto-neutron star, our search is sensitive to gravitational-wave energy $1 \times 10^{-4} M_{\odot} c^2$ and luminosity $2.6 \times 10^{-4} M_{\odot} c^2/s$ for a source emitting at 82 Hz. These constraints are around an order of magnitude more stringent than those obtained so far with gravitational-wave data. The constraint on the ellipticity of the proto-neutron star that is formed is as low as 1.08, at frequencies above 1200 Hz, surpassing past results.
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Submitted 11 March, 2025; v1 submitted 21 October, 2024;
originally announced October 2024.
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A search using GEO600 for gravitational waves coincident with fast radio bursts from SGR 1935+2154
Authors:
The LIGO Scientific Collaboration,
the Virgo Collaboration,
the KAGRA Collaboration,
A. G. Abac,
R. Abbott,
I. Abouelfettouh,
F. Acernese,
K. Ackley,
S. Adhicary,
N. Adhikari,
R. X. Adhikari,
V. K. Adkins,
D. Agarwal,
M. Agathos,
M. Aghaei Abchouyeh,
O. D. Aguiar,
I. Aguilar,
L. Aiello,
A. Ain,
P. Ajith,
T. Akutsu,
S. Albanesi,
R. A. Alfaidi,
A. Al-Jodah,
C. Alléné
, et al. (1758 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
The magnetar SGR 1935+2154 is the only known Galactic source of fast radio bursts (FRBs). FRBs from SGR 1935+2154 were first detected by CHIME/FRB and STARE2 in 2020 April, after the conclusion of the LIGO, Virgo, and KAGRA Collaborations' O3 observing run. Here we analyze four periods of gravitational wave (GW) data from the GEO600 detector coincident with four periods of FRB activity detected by…
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The magnetar SGR 1935+2154 is the only known Galactic source of fast radio bursts (FRBs). FRBs from SGR 1935+2154 were first detected by CHIME/FRB and STARE2 in 2020 April, after the conclusion of the LIGO, Virgo, and KAGRA Collaborations' O3 observing run. Here we analyze four periods of gravitational wave (GW) data from the GEO600 detector coincident with four periods of FRB activity detected by CHIME/FRB, as well as X-ray glitches and X-ray bursts detected by NICER and NuSTAR close to the time of one of the FRBs. We do not detect any significant GW emission from any of the events. Instead, using a short-duration GW search (for bursts $\leq$ 1 s) we derive 50\% (90\%) upper limits of $10^{48}$ ($10^{49}$) erg for GWs at 300 Hz and $10^{49}$ ($10^{50}$) erg at 2 kHz, and constrain the GW-to-radio energy ratio to $\leq 10^{14} - 10^{16}$. We also derive upper limits from a long-duration search for bursts with durations between 1 and 10 s. These represent the strictest upper limits on concurrent GW emission from FRBs.
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Submitted 21 May, 2025; v1 submitted 11 October, 2024;
originally announced October 2024.
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Swift-BAT GUANO follow-up of gravitational-wave triggers in the third LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observing run
Authors:
Gayathri Raman,
Samuele Ronchini,
James Delaunay,
Aaron Tohuvavohu,
Jamie A. Kennea,
Tyler Parsotan,
Elena Ambrosi,
Maria Grazia Bernardini,
Sergio Campana,
Giancarlo Cusumano,
Antonino D'Ai,
Paolo D'Avanzo,
Valerio D'Elia,
Massimiliano De Pasquale,
Simone Dichiara,
Phil Evans,
Dieter Hartmann,
Paul Kuin,
Andrea Melandri,
Paul O'Brien,
Julian P. Osborne,
Kim Page,
David M. Palmer,
Boris Sbarufatti,
Gianpiero Tagliaferri
, et al. (1797 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
We present results from a search for X-ray/gamma-ray counterparts of gravitational-wave (GW) candidates from the third observing run (O3) of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) network using the Swift Burst Alert Telescope (Swift-BAT). The search includes 636 GW candidates received in low latency, 86 of which have been confirmed by the offline analysis and included in the third cumulative Gravitational-Wav…
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We present results from a search for X-ray/gamma-ray counterparts of gravitational-wave (GW) candidates from the third observing run (O3) of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) network using the Swift Burst Alert Telescope (Swift-BAT). The search includes 636 GW candidates received in low latency, 86 of which have been confirmed by the offline analysis and included in the third cumulative Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalogs (GWTC-3). Targeted searches were carried out on the entire GW sample using the maximum--likelihood NITRATES pipeline on the BAT data made available via the GUANO infrastructure. We do not detect any significant electromagnetic emission that is temporally and spatially coincident with any of the GW candidates. We report flux upper limits in the 15-350 keV band as a function of sky position for all the catalog candidates. For GW candidates where the Swift-BAT false alarm rate is less than 10$^{-3}$ Hz, we compute the GW--BAT joint false alarm rate. Finally, the derived Swift-BAT upper limits are used to infer constraints on the putative electromagnetic emission associated with binary black hole mergers.
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Submitted 27 March, 2025; v1 submitted 13 July, 2024;
originally announced July 2024.
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Enhancing the significance of astrophysical events with multimessenger coincidences
Authors:
Doğa Veske,
Albert Zhang,
Zsuzsa Márka,
Szabolcs Márka
Abstract:
Coincident multimessenger observations of cosmic sources can offer numerous benefits, especially when used in the context of synergistic astrophysics. One significant advantage is enhancing the detection significance of separate detectors by correlating their data and assuming joint emission. We have formulated an approach for updating the Bayesian posterior probability of an astrophysical origin,…
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Coincident multimessenger observations of cosmic sources can offer numerous benefits, especially when used in the context of synergistic astrophysics. One significant advantage is enhancing the detection significance of separate detectors by correlating their data and assuming joint emission. We have formulated an approach for updating the Bayesian posterior probability of an astrophysical origin, namely $p_{\rm astro}$, relying on multimessenger coincidences assuming an emission model. The description is applicable to any combination of messengers. We demonstrated the formalism for the gravitational waves and high-energy neutrinos case. Applying our method to the public data of candidate coincident high-energy neutrinos with subthreshold gravitational-wave triggers, we found that in the case of highly energetic neutrino coincidences, $p_{\rm astro}$ can increase from approximately $\sim 0.1$ to $\sim 0.9$. The amount of improvement depends on the assumed joint emission model. If models are trusted, the marked improvement makes subthreshold detections much more confident. Moreover, the model dependency can also be used to test the consistency of different models. This work is a crucial step toward the goal of uniting all detectors on equal footing into a statistically integrated, Earth-sized observatory for comprehensive multimessenger astrophysics.
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Submitted 9 May, 2025; v1 submitted 11 July, 2024;
originally announced July 2024.
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Probing the connection between IceCube neutrinos and MOJAVE AGN
Authors:
R. Abbasi,
M. Ackermann,
J. Adams,
S. K. Agarwalla,
J. A. Aguilar,
M. Ahlers,
J. M. Alameddine,
N. M. Amin,
K. Andeen,
C. Argüelles,
Y. Ashida,
S. Athanasiadou,
L. Ausborm,
S. N. Axani,
X. Bai,
A. Balagopal V.,
M. Baricevic,
S. W. Barwick,
S. Bash,
V. Basu,
R. Bay,
J. J. Beatty,
J. Becker Tjus,
J. Beise,
C. Bellenghi
, et al. (399 additional authors not shown)
Abstract:
Active Galactic Nuclei (AGN) are prime candidate sources of the high-energy, astrophysical neutrinos detected by IceCube. This is demonstrated by the real-time multi-messenger detection of the blazar TXS 0506+056 and the recent evidence of neutrino emission from NGC 1068 from a separate time-averaged study. However, the production mechanism of the astrophysical neutrinos in AGN is not well establi…
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Active Galactic Nuclei (AGN) are prime candidate sources of the high-energy, astrophysical neutrinos detected by IceCube. This is demonstrated by the real-time multi-messenger detection of the blazar TXS 0506+056 and the recent evidence of neutrino emission from NGC 1068 from a separate time-averaged study. However, the production mechanism of the astrophysical neutrinos in AGN is not well established which can be resolved via correlation studies with photon observations. For neutrinos produced due to photohadronic interactions in AGN, in addition to a correlation of neutrinos with high-energy photons, there would also be a correlation of neutrinos with photons emitted at radio wavelengths. In this work, we perform an in-depth stacking study of the correlation between 15 GHz radio observations of AGN reported in the MOJAVE XV catalog, and ten years of neutrino data from IceCube. We also use a time-dependent approach which improves the statistical power of the stacking analysis. No significant correlation was found for both analyses and upper limits are reported. When compared to the IceCube diffuse flux, at 100 TeV and for a spectral index of 2.5, the upper limits derived are $\sim3\%$ and $\sim9\%$ for the time-averaged and time-dependent case, respectively.
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Submitted 1 July, 2024;
originally announced July 2024.