Showing 1–41 of 41 results for author: Bolin, B T

The Dust Mineralogy of Interstellar Comet 3I/ATLAS from JWST/MIRI Observations

Authors: Matthew Belyakov, Ian Wong, Carey M. Lisse, M. Ryleigh Davis, Bryce T. Bolin, Audrey Martin, Klaus M. Pontoppidan, Geoffrey A. Blake, Christine Chen, Michael E. Brown

Abstract: We present the first spectroscopic mineralogical analysis of the dust coma of an interstellar object (ISO) from JWST mid-infrared spectroscopy of 3I/ATLAS (3I). 3I exhibits a strong 10-micron emissivity feature commonly seen on asteroids, comets, disks, and the interstellar medium. Characterization of this 10-micron emissivity maximum reveals that 3I's dust composition is dominated by amorphous si… ▽ More We present the first spectroscopic mineralogical analysis of the dust coma of an interstellar object (ISO) from JWST mid-infrared spectroscopy of 3I/ATLAS (3I). 3I exhibits a strong 10-micron emissivity feature commonly seen on asteroids, comets, disks, and the interstellar medium. Characterization of this 10-micron emissivity maximum reveals that 3I's dust composition is dominated by amorphous silicates, and that 3I is unlike Solar System comets, which show significant crystalline silicate dust. Instead, 3I's dust composition is more similar to circumstellar transition disks and the interstellar medium. We suggest 3I may have formed in a distant part of its home system out of interstellar medium-like material, without substantial incorporation of silicates condensed near its host star, unlike the mixing scenarios commonly hypothesized for Solar System comets. Alternatively, 3I's original crystalline silicates may have been amorphized during its Gyr-long journey, although we find this alternative less likely due to 3I's mass loss rate and distinct 10 micron feature as opposed to observed Solar System comets. △ Less

Submitted 25 June, 2026; originally announced June 2026.

Comments: 21 pages, 6 figures, submitted to ApJL

The Volatile Inventory of 3I/ATLAS as seen with JWST/MIRI

Authors: Matthew Belyakov, Ian Wong, Bryce T. Bolin, M. Ryleigh Davis, Steven J. Bromley, Carey M. Lisse, Michael E. Brown

Abstract: We present the first spectroscopic characterization of an interstellar object at mid-infrared wavelengths. Post-perihelion observations of 3I/ATLAS using the JWST/MIRI medium-resolution spectrometer were obtained on 2025 December 15--16 and 27 when the object was at heliocentric distances of 2.20 and 2.54 au, respectively. Our 5--28 micron spectra exhibit fluorescence features from several gaseous… ▽ More We present the first spectroscopic characterization of an interstellar object at mid-infrared wavelengths. Post-perihelion observations of 3I/ATLAS using the JWST/MIRI medium-resolution spectrometer were obtained on 2025 December 15--16 and 27 when the object was at heliocentric distances of 2.20 and 2.54 au, respectively. Our 5--28 micron spectra exhibit fluorescence features from several gaseous species, including the $ν_2$ band of water at 5.8--7.0 microns. the primary $ν_2$ and associated hot bands of carbon dioxide around 15 microns, and a forbidden transition of atomic nickel at 7.507 microns. We also report the first direct detection of methane in an interstellar object. The delayed onset of methane production relative to water suggests past depletion from the outermost layers, with the observed methane emerging from unprocessed subsurface material. Comparison of the volatile production rates measured during the two epochs indicate a significant reduction in overall outgassing over 12 days, with the measured water activity level dropping more steeply than other species. As shown through near-nucleus coma mapping, 3I continues to display an extended source of water production from icy grains entrained within the coma. Our production rate measurements confirm that 3I exhibits a strongly enhanced CO$_2$:H$_2$O mixing ratio relative to typical solar system comets, as well as a somewhat enriched CH$_4$:H$_2$O value. △ Less

Submitted 9 April, 2026; v1 submitted 29 January, 2026; originally announced January 2026.

Comments: 13 pages, 5 figures, 1 table. Submitted to ApJL

Journal ref: ApJL 1001 L11 (2026)

Gaia and IRTF abundance of A-type main belt asteroids

Authors: Marco Delbo, Chrysa Avdellidou, Marjorie Galinier, Ullas Bhat, Thomas Dyer, Bryce T. Bolin, Laurent Galluccio

Abstract: The Missing Mantle Problem refers to the apparent scarcity of olivine rich (A-type) asteroids in the main belt, despite expectations that such bodies should be common if differentiated parent bodies were widely disrupted. Conversely, A-types appear relatively more abundant among near-Earth asteroids. We present a revised estimate of the A-type abundance in the main belt by combining Gaia Data Rele… ▽ More The Missing Mantle Problem refers to the apparent scarcity of olivine rich (A-type) asteroids in the main belt, despite expectations that such bodies should be common if differentiated parent bodies were widely disrupted. Conversely, A-types appear relatively more abundant among near-Earth asteroids. We present a revised estimate of the A-type abundance in the main belt by combining Gaia Data Release 3 (DR3) reflectance spectra with near-infrared observations from NASA IRTF. We applied principal component analysis (PCA) to Gaia DR3 visible spectra to identify A-type candidates and confirmed a subset through IRTF spectroscopy. Using these data and literature results, we derived the A-type probability distribution as a function of DR3 principal components, and from this, estimated their abundance across heliocentric distances and collisional families. We find that A-types constitute (2.00 +/- 0.15)% of main-belt asteroids significantly higher than previous estimates. Some families, such as Vesta and Flora, show enhanced A-type fractions, while others (e.g. Themis, Hygiea) contain few or none. The elevated abundance in the Flora family supports the existence of an additional differentiated parent body in the inner belt, besides Vesta. These findings indicate that olivine-rich material is more widespread than previously thought, offering new constraints on the Missing Mantle Problem and on early Solar System differentiation processes. △ Less

Submitted 2 November, 2025; originally announced November 2025.

Comments: 18 pages, 6 main figures, 5 appendix figures. Accepted for publication in Astronomy and Astrophysics

Journal ref: A&A 705, A46 (2026)

Very Large Telescope Observations of Interstellar Comet 3I/ATLAS. II. From Quiescence to Glow: Dramatic Rise of Ni i Emission and Incipient CN Outgassing at Large Heliocentric Distances*

Authors: Rohan Rahatgaonkar, Juan Pablo Carvajal, Thomas H. Puzia, Baltasar Luco, Emmanuel Jehin, Damien Hutsemékers, Cyrielle Opitom, Jean Manfroid, K. Aravind, Michaël Marsset, Bin Yang, Laura Buchanan, Wesley C. Fraser, John Forbes, Michele Bannister, Dennis Bodewits, Bryce T. Bolin, Matthew Belyakov, Matthew M. Knight, Colin Snodgrass, Erica Bufanda, Rosemary Dorsey, Léa Ferellec, Fiorangela La Forgia, Manuela Lippi , et al. (3 additional authors not shown)

Abstract: We report VLT spectroscopy of the interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS (C/2025~N1) from $r_{\rm h}\!\simeq\!4.4$ to $2.85$~au using X-shooter (300--550\,nm, $R\!\simeq\!3000$) and UVES (optical, $R\!\simeq\!35k-80k$). The coma is dust-dominated with a fairly constant red optical continuum slope ($\sim$21--22\%/1000Å). We report detection of CN emission and also detect numerous Ni\,\textsc{ii}~lines while F… ▽ More We report VLT spectroscopy of the interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS (C/2025~N1) from $r_{\rm h}\!\simeq\!4.4$ to $2.85$~au using X-shooter (300--550\,nm, $R\!\simeq\!3000$) and UVES (optical, $R\!\simeq\!35k-80k$). The coma is dust-dominated with a fairly constant red optical continuum slope ($\sim$21--22\%/1000Å). We report detection of CN emission and also detect numerous Ni\,\textsc{ii}~lines while Fe\,\textsc{i}~remains undetected, potentially implying efficiently released gas-phase Ni. At $r_{\rm h}\!\simeq\!3.14$~au we derive $3σ$ limits of $Q({\rm OH})<{1.48\times10^{26}}\ {\rm s^{-1}}$, but find no indications for [O\,\textsc{i}], C$_2$, C$_3$ or NH$_2$. From our latest X-shooter measurements conducted on 2025-08-21 ($r_{\rm h} = 2.85$\,au) we measure production rates of $\log~Q(\mathrm{CN}) = {24.81\pm 0.01}$ molecules s$^{-1}$ and $\log~Q$(Ni) $= {23.30\pm0.07}$ atoms s$^{-1}$, and characterize their evolution as the comet approaches perihelion.~We observe a steep heliocentric-distance scaling for the production rates $Q(\mathrm{Ni}) \propto r_h^{-7.7 \pm 1.0}$ and for $Q(\mathrm{CN}) \propto r_h^{-6.7 \pm 0.2}$, and predict a Ni--CO$_{(2)}$ correlation if the Ni\,\textsc{ii}\ emission is driven by the carbonyl formation channel.~Energetic considerations of activation barriers show that this behavior is inconsistent with direct sublimation of canonical metal/sulfide phases and instead favors low--activation--energy release from dust, e.g.~photon-stimulated desorption or mild thermolysis of metalated organics or Ni-rich nanophases, possibly including Ni--carbonyl-like complexes.~These hypotheses are testable with future coordinated ground-based and space-based monitoring as 3I becomes more active during its continued passage through the solar system. △ Less

Submitted 14 December, 2025; v1 submitted 25 August, 2025; originally announced August 2025.

Comments: 16 pages, 4 figures, 2 tables, published in ApJL

Journal ref: ApJL 995 L34 (2025)

NSF-DOE Vera C. Rubin Observatory Observations of Interstellar Comet 3I/ATLAS (C/2025 N1)

Authors: Colin Orion Chandler, Pedro H. Bernardinelli, Mario Jurić, Devanshi Singh, Henry H. Hsieh, Ian Sullivan, R. Lynne Jones, Jacob A. Kurlander, Dmitrii Vavilov, Siegfried Eggl, Matthew Holman, Federica Spoto, Megan E. Schwamb, Lauren A. MacArthur, Rahil Makadia, Marco Micheli, Aren Heinze, Eric J. Christensen, Wilson Beebe, Aaron Roodman, Kian-Tat Lim, Tim Jenness, James Bosch, Brianna M. Smart, Eric Bellm , et al. (283 additional authors not shown)

Abstract: We report on the observation and measurement of astrometry, photometry, morphology, and activityof the interstellar object 3I/ATLAS, also designated C/2025 N1 (ATLAS) with the NSF-DOE Vera C. Rubin Observatory. Comet 3I/ATLAS, the third known interstellar object, was discovered on UT 2025 July 1. Rubin Observatory had coincidentally collected images of the object's region of the sky during routine… ▽ More We report on the observation and measurement of astrometry, photometry, morphology, and activityof the interstellar object 3I/ATLAS, also designated C/2025 N1 (ATLAS) with the NSF-DOE Vera C. Rubin Observatory. Comet 3I/ATLAS, the third known interstellar object, was discovered on UT 2025 July 1. Rubin Observatory had coincidentally collected images of the object's region of the sky during routine commissioning. Facilitated by Rubin's high resolution and large aperture, we successfully recovered object detections from Rubin observations spanning UT 2025 June 21 (10 days before discovery, when 3I/ATLAS was 4.5 au from the Sun) through the date of discovery, and we acquired additional images through UT 2025 July 20 as part of commissioning. We measure on-sky locations of 3I/ATLAS in Rubin ugrizy bands, with a typical precision of about 70 mas, and briefly describe the reason this is coarser than our measured static source astrometric precision of about 3 mas in Rubin images. We measure grizy magnitudes of 3I/ATLAS photometry at about 0.01 mag precision, detecting no short-term photometric variability above 0.01 mag. We derive an estimated near-nucleus dust-to-nucleus scattering cross-section ratio of eta >= 13 on UT 2025 July 2 based on Rubin photometry and an upper limit nucleus size computed from Hubble Space Telescope observations. We find Rubin colors of g - r = (0.657 +/- 0.013) mag, r - i = (0.235 +/- 0.018) mag, i - z = (0.147 +/- 0.042) mag, z - y = (0.047 +/- 0.052) mag. These data represent the earliest observations of this object by a large (>=8-meter class) telescope and illustrate the type of measurements (and discoveries) Rubin's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) will begin to provide after it begins in early 2026. △ Less

Submitted 7 April, 2026; v1 submitted 17 July, 2025; originally announced July 2025.

Comments: Collaboration between the NSF-DOE Vera C. Rubin Observatory and the LSST Solar System Science Collaboration (SSSC)

Palomar and Apache Point Spectrophotometry of Interstellar Comet 3I/ATLAS

Authors: Matthew Belyakov, Christoffer Fremling, Matthew J. Graham, Bryce T. Bolin, Mukremin Kilic, Gracyn Jewett, Carey M. Lisse, Carl Ingebretsen, M. Ryleigh Davis, Ian Wong

Abstract: On July 1st 2025 the third interstellar object, 3I/ATLAS or C/2025 N1 (ATLAS), was discovered, with an eccentricity of $e=6.15 \pm 0.01$ and perihelion of $q=1.357\pm0.001$ au. We report our initial visible to near-infrared (420-1000 nm) spectrophotometry of 3I/ATLAS using both the Palomar 200 inch telescope and Apache Point Observatory. We measure 3I/ATLAS to have a red spectral slope of 19 %/100… ▽ More On July 1st 2025 the third interstellar object, 3I/ATLAS or C/2025 N1 (ATLAS), was discovered, with an eccentricity of $e=6.15 \pm 0.01$ and perihelion of $q=1.357\pm0.001$ au. We report our initial visible to near-infrared (420-1000 nm) spectrophotometry of 3I/ATLAS using both the Palomar 200 inch telescope and Apache Point Observatory. We measure 3I/ATLAS to have a red spectral slope of 19 %/100 nm in the 420-700 nm range, and a more neutral 6 %/100 nm slope over 700-1000 nm. We detect no notable emission features such as from C$_2$. △ Less

Submitted 15 July, 2025; originally announced July 2025.

Comments: Submitted to RNAAS, 4 pages, 1 figure

Multi-epoch spectro-photometric characterization of the minimoon 2024 PT$_5$ in the visible and near-infrared

Authors: Jin Beniyama, Bryce T. Bolin, Alexey V. Sergeyev, Marco Delbo, Laura-May Abron, Matthew Belyakov, Tomohiko Sekiguchi, Seiko Takagi

Abstract: 2024 PT$_5$ is a tiny ($D\leq10$ m) near-Earth asteroid (NEA) discovered in August 2024. 2024 PT$_5$ was gravitationally bound to the Earth-Moon system from September to November 2024 and classified as a minimoon. Several quick response observations suggest the lunar ejecta origin of 2024 PT$_5$, while rotation state and albedo, essential properties to investigate its origin, are not well constrai… ▽ More 2024 PT$_5$ is a tiny ($D\leq10$ m) near-Earth asteroid (NEA) discovered in August 2024. 2024 PT$_5$ was gravitationally bound to the Earth-Moon system from September to November 2024 and classified as a minimoon. Several quick response observations suggest the lunar ejecta origin of 2024 PT$_5$, while rotation state and albedo, essential properties to investigate its origin, are not well constrained. We performed visible to near-infrared multicolor photometry of 2024 PT$_5$ from data taken using the TriColor CMOS Camera and Spectrograph (TriCCS) on the Seimei 3.8 m telescope during 2025 January 4-10. The Seimei/TriCCS observations of 2024 PT$_5$ cover phase angles from 14 deg to 27 deg, and were obtained in the $g$, $r$, $i$, and $z$ bands in the Pan-STARRS system. In addition, we analyzed $Y$, $J$, $H$, and $K$ photometry taken with the Multi-Object Spectrograph for Infrared Exploration (MOSFIRE) on the Keck I 10-m telescope taken on 2025 January 16-17. Our lightcurves show brightness variations over time periods of several tens of minutes. We infer that 2024 PT$_5$ is in a tumbling state and has a lightcurve amplitude of about 0.3 mag. Visible and near-infrared color indices of 2024 PT$_5$, $g-r=0.567\pm0.044$, $r-i=0.155\pm0.009$, $r-z=0.147\pm0.066$, $Y-J=0.557\pm0.046$, $J-H=0.672\pm0.078$, and $H-Ks=0.148\pm0.098$, indicate that 2024 PT$_5$ is an S-complex asteroid, largely consistent with previous observations. Using the $H$-$G$ model, we derived an absolute magnitude $H_{V,HG}$ of $27.72\pm0.09$ and a slope parameter $G_V$ of $0.223\pm0.073$ in V-band. A geometric albedo of 2024 PT$_5$ is derived to be $0.26\pm0.07$ from the slope of its photometric phase curve. This albedo value is typical of the S- and Q-type NEAs. The color properties of 2024 PT$_5$ derived from our observations match rock samples taken from the lunar surface, which agrees with previous studies. △ Less

Submitted 14 July, 2025; originally announced July 2025.

Comments: Accepted for publication in Astronomy & Astrophysics (A&A). Abstract shortened for arXiv. Any comments are welcome

Journal ref: A&A 700, A183 (2025)

Interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS: discovery and physical description

Authors: Bryce T. Bolin, Matthew Belyakov, Christoffer Fremling, Matthew J. Graham, Ahmed. M. Abdelaziz, Eslam Elhosseiny, Candace L. Gray, Carl Ingebretsen, Gracyn Jewett, Sergey Karpov, Mukremin Kilic, Martin Mašek, Mona Molham, Diana Roderick, Ali Takey, Carey M. Lisse, Laura-May Abron, Michael W. Coughlin, Cheng-Han Hsieh, Keith S. Noll, Ian Wong

Abstract: We describe the physical characteristics of interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS, discovered on 2025 July 1 by the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System. The comet has eccentricity, $e$ $\simeq$ 6.08 and velocity at infinity, v$_{\infty}$ $\simeq$ 57 km/s, indicating an interstellar origin. \textbf{We obtained B,V, R, I, g, r, i, and z photometry with the Kottamia Astronomical Observatory 1.88-m te… ▽ More We describe the physical characteristics of interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS, discovered on 2025 July 1 by the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System. The comet has eccentricity, $e$ $\simeq$ 6.08 and velocity at infinity, v$_{\infty}$ $\simeq$ 57 km/s, indicating an interstellar origin. \textbf{We obtained B,V, R, I, g, r, i, and z photometry with the Kottamia Astronomical Observatory 1.88-m telescope, the Palomar 200-inch telescope, and the Astrophysical Research Consortium 3.5-m telescope on 2025 July 2, 3, and 6. We measured colour indices B-V=0.98$\pm$0.23, V-R=0.71$\pm$0.09, R-I=0.14$\pm$0.10, g-r=0.84$\pm$0.05 mag, r-i=0.16$\pm$0.03 mag, i-z=-0.02$\pm$0.07 mag, and g-i=1.00$\pm$0.05 mag and a spectral slope of 16.0$\pm$1.9 $\%$/100 nm.} We calculate the dust cross-section within 10,000 km of the comet to be 184.6$\pm$4.6 km$^2$, assuming an albedo of 0.10. 3I/ATLAS's coma has FWHM$\simeq$2.2 arcsec and A(0$^\circ$)f$ρ$=280.8$\pm$3.2 cm. \textbf{We estimate that 3I/ATLAS's \textmu m-scale to mm-scale dust is ejected at $\sim$0.01-1 m/s, implying a dust production of $\sim$0.1 - 1.0 kg/s. △ Less

Submitted 17 July, 2025; v1 submitted 7 July, 2025; originally announced July 2025.

Comments: 8 pages, 5 figures, 3 tables, in press at MNRAS:L, accepted 2025 July 15, received 2025 July 14, in original form 2025 July 7

Journal ref: Mon Not R Astron Soc Lett (2025) L139-L143

Apache Point rapid response characterization of primitive imminent impactor 2024 RW$_1$

Authors: Carl Ingebretsen, Bryce T. Bolin, Robert Jedicke, Peter Vereš, Christine H. Chen, Carey M. Lisse, Russet McMillan, Torrie Sutherland, Amanda J. Townsend

Abstract: Imminent impactors may be detected only a few hours before their impact with Earth, providing a brief opportunity to characterize them before impact. We describe the characterization of imminent impactor 2024 RW$_1$, which was discovered by the Catalina Sky Survey on 2024 September 4 at 05:43 UTC, before it entered the atmosphere near the northern Philippines at 16:39 UTC. We observed 2024 RW$_1$… ▽ More Imminent impactors may be detected only a few hours before their impact with Earth, providing a brief opportunity to characterize them before impact. We describe the characterization of imminent impactor 2024 RW$_1$, which was discovered by the Catalina Sky Survey on 2024 September 4 at 05:43 UTC, before it entered the atmosphere near the northern Philippines at 16:39 UTC. We observed 2024 RW$_1$ with the Astrophysical Research Consortium Telescope Imaging Camera on the Apache Point Astrophysical Research Consortium's 3.5-m telescope on 2024 September 4 10:16 UTC. We obtained g, r, i, and z photometry of 2024 RW$_1$, yielding color indices of g-r = 0.47$\pm$0.04, r-i = 0.13$\pm$0.04, i-z = -0.11$\pm$0.07, and g-i = 0.60$\pm$0.04, corresponding to a spectral slope of 0.67$\pm$0.40~$\%$/100 nm. The closest match to an asteroid spectral type is with B-type asteroids from the C-complex. We detect variations in the time series photometry of the asteroid with an amplitude of $\sim$0.75, and a double-peaked rotation period of $\sim$1900 s. Assuming a visible albedo of 0.07$\pm$0.03, a density of $\sim$1500 kg/m$^3$, and a calculated absolute magnitude of 30.92$\pm$0.05, we estimate that the asteroid has a diameter of 3.3$\pm$0.7 m and a total mass of $\sim$28,000 kg. Comparing our astrometric orbital solutions to NEOMOD3, the most likely source of 2024 RW$_1$ is the 3:1 main belt mean motion resonance (77\% probability) followed by the $ν_6$ resonance (13\% probability), consistent with its organic B-type nature. △ Less

Submitted 15 September, 2025; v1 submitted 29 May, 2025; originally announced May 2025.

Comments: 12 pages, 5 figures, 1 table, submitted to AJ

Water ice in the debris disk around HD 181327

Authors: Chen Xie, Christine H. Chen, Carey M. Lisse, Dean C. Hines, Tracy Beck, Sarah K. Betti, Noemí Pinilla-Alonso, Carl Ingebretsen, Kadin Worthen, András Gáspár, Schuyler G. Wolff, Bryce T. Bolin, Laurent Pueyo, Marshall D. Perrin, John A. Stansberry, Jarron M. Leisenring

Abstract: Debris disks are exoplanetary systems that contain planets, minor bodies (i.e., asteroids, Kuiper belt objects, comets, etc.), and micron-sized debris dust. Since water ice is the most common frozen volatile, it plays an essential role in the formation of planets and minor bodies. Although water ice has been commonly found in Kuiper belt objects and comets in the Solar System, no definitive eviden… ▽ More Debris disks are exoplanetary systems that contain planets, minor bodies (i.e., asteroids, Kuiper belt objects, comets, etc.), and micron-sized debris dust. Since water ice is the most common frozen volatile, it plays an essential role in the formation of planets and minor bodies. Although water ice has been commonly found in Kuiper belt objects and comets in the Solar System, no definitive evidence for water ice in debris disks has been obtained to date. Here, we report the discovery of water ice in the HD 181327 disk using the James Webb Space Telescope Near-Infrared Spectrograph. We detect the solid-state broad absorption feature of water ice at 3 $μ$m and a distinct Fresnel peak feature at 3.1 $μ$m, a characteristic of large water-ice particles. This implies the presence of a water-ice reservoir in the HD 181327 exoKuiper belt. Gradients of water-ice features at different stellocentric distances reveal a dynamic process of destroying and replenishing water ice in the disk, with estimated water-ice mass fractions ranging from 0.1% at ~85 au to 14% at ~113 au. It is highly plausible that the icy bodies that release water ice in HD 181327 could be the extra-solar counterparts of some of the Kuiper belt objects in our Solar System, supported by their spectral similarity. △ Less

Submitted 6 January, 2026; v1 submitted 13 May, 2025; originally announced May 2025.

Comments: Published in Nature on May 14th, 2025, https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-025-08920-4

Journal ref: Nature 641, 608-611 2025

The discovery and characterization of Earth-crossing asteroid 2024 YR$_4$

Authors: Bryce T. Bolin, Josef Hanuš, Larry Denneau, Roberto Bonamico, Laura-May Abron, Marco Delbo, Josef Ďurech, Robert Jedicke, Leo Y. Alcorn, Aleksandar Cikota, Swayamtrupta Panda, Henrique Reggiani

Abstract: We describe observations and physical characteristics of Earth-crossing asteroid 2024 YR$_4$, discovered on 2024 December 27 by the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System. The asteroid has semi-major axis, $a$ = 2.52 au, eccentricity, $e$ = 0.66, inclination $i$ = 3.41$^{\circ}$, and a $\sim$0.003 au Earth minimum orbit intersection distance. We obtained g, r, i, and Z imaging with the Gemi… ▽ More We describe observations and physical characteristics of Earth-crossing asteroid 2024 YR$_4$, discovered on 2024 December 27 by the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System. The asteroid has semi-major axis, $a$ = 2.52 au, eccentricity, $e$ = 0.66, inclination $i$ = 3.41$^{\circ}$, and a $\sim$0.003 au Earth minimum orbit intersection distance. We obtained g, r, i, and Z imaging with the Gemini South/Gemini Multi-Object Spectrograph on 2025 February 7 and Y and J imaging with the Keck/Multi-Object Spectrometer For Infra-Red Exploration on 2025 February 12. We measured a g-i spectral slope of 13$\pm$3 $\%$/100 nm, and color indices g-r = 0.70 $\pm$ 0.10, r-i = 0.25$\pm$0.06, i-Z = -0.27 $\pm$ 0.10, and Y-J = 0.41 $\pm$ 0.10. 2024 YR$_4$ has a spectrum that best matches R-type and Sa-type asteroids and a diameter of $\sim$30-65 m using our measured absolute magnitude of 23.9 $\pm$ 0.3 mag, and assuming an albedo of 0.15-0.4. The lightcurve of 2024 YR$_4$ shows $\sim$0.4 mag variations with a rotation period of $\sim$1170 s. We use photometry of 2024 YR$_4$ from Gemini and other sources taken between 2024 December to 2025 February to determine the asteroid's spin vector and shape, finding that it has an oblate, $\sim$3:1 a:c axial ratio and a pole direction of $λ$, $β$ = $\sim$42$^{\circ}$, $\sim$-25$^{\circ}$. Finally, we compare the orbital elements of 2024 YR$_4$ with the NEO population model and find that its most likely sources are resonances between the inner and central Main Belt. △ Less

Submitted 4 April, 2025; v1 submitted 7 March, 2025; originally announced March 2025.

Comments: 21 pages, 10 figures, 2 tables, accepted for publication in The Astrophysical Journal Letters

Keck and Gemini characterization of $Hayabusa2\#$ rendezvous target 1998 KY$_{26}$

Authors: Bryce T. Bolin, Christoffer Fremling, Matthew Belyakov, Jin Beniyama, Marco Delbo, Robert Jedicke, Ian Wong, Laura-May Abron, Keith S. Noll, Andrew W. Stephens

Abstract: Near-earth object (NEO) 1998 KY$_{26}$ is a target of the $Hayabusa2\#$ spacecraft, which it will rendezvous with in July 2031. The asteroid is a rapid rotator and has a large out-of-plane nongravitational acceleration. We present deep $g$ and $R$ band imaging obtained with the Keck I/Low Resolution Imaging Spectrometer and visible spectroscopy from Gemini North/Gemini Multi-Object Spectrograph ta… ▽ More Near-earth object (NEO) 1998 KY$_{26}$ is a target of the $Hayabusa2\#$ spacecraft, which it will rendezvous with in July 2031. The asteroid is a rapid rotator and has a large out-of-plane nongravitational acceleration. We present deep $g$ and $R$ band imaging obtained with the Keck I/Low Resolution Imaging Spectrometer and visible spectroscopy from Gemini North/Gemini Multi-Object Spectrograph taken of 1998 KY$_{26}$ on 2024 June 8-9 when the asteroid was $\sim$0.037 au from the Earth. The asteroid lacks evidence of a dust coma in the deep images and its spectrum most closely resembles Xe-type asteroids, possessing a spectral slope of 6.71$\pm$0.43 $\%$ 100 nm$^{-1}$, and colors $g$-$r$ = 0.63$\pm$0.03, $r$-$i$ = 0.15$\pm$0.03, $i$-$z$ = 0.05$\pm$0.04, and implies a diameter of $\sim$10 m. From our images, we compute a 3$σ$ upper limit on the dust production of 1998 KY$_{26}$ of $<$10$^{-5}$ kg s$^{-1}$, $<$10$^{-2}$ kg s$^{-1}$, and $<$10$^{-1}$ kg s$^{-1}$ assuming $\mathrmμ$m, mm, and cm size dust particles. Additionally, we compare the orbit of 1998 KY$_{26}$ and large nongravitational parameters asteroids to NEO population models and find that the majority, including 1998 KY$_{26}$, likely originated from the inner Main Belt, while the second most numerous group originates from the outer Main Belt, followed by a third group originating from the Jupiter Family Comet population. Given its inner Main Belt origin, its Xe-type spectrum, and rapid rotation, we hypothesize that the nongravitational acceleration of 1998 KY$_{26}$ may be caused by the shedding of large dust grains from its surface due to its rotation rather than H$_2$O vapor outgassing. △ Less

Submitted 12 April, 2025; v1 submitted 28 January, 2025; originally announced January 2025.

Comments: 12 pages, 2 figures, 1 table, accepted for publication in AJ

Tuning the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) Observing Strategy for Solar System Science: Incremental Templates in Year 1

Authors: James E. Robinson, Megan E. Schwamb, R. Lynne Jones, Mario Jurić, Peter Yoachim, Bryce T. Bolin, Colin O. Chandler, Steven R. Chesley, Grigori Fedorets, Wesley C. Fraser, Sarah Greenstreet, Henry H. Hsieh, Lauren J. McGinley, Stephanie R. Merritt, Cyrielle Opitom, John K. Parejko

Abstract: The Vera C. Rubin Observatory is due to commence the 10-year Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) at the end of 2025. To detect transient/variable sources and identify solar system objects (SSOs), the processing pipelines require templates of the static sky to perform difference imaging. During the first year of the LSST, templates must be generated as the survey progresses, otherwise SSOs canno… ▽ More The Vera C. Rubin Observatory is due to commence the 10-year Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) at the end of 2025. To detect transient/variable sources and identify solar system objects (SSOs), the processing pipelines require templates of the static sky to perform difference imaging. During the first year of the LSST, templates must be generated as the survey progresses, otherwise SSOs cannot be discovered nightly. The incremental template generation strategy has not been finalized; therefore, we use the Metric Analysis Framework (MAF) and a simulation of the survey cadence (one_snap_v4.0_10yrs}) to explore template generation in Year 1. We have assessed the effects of generating templates over timescales of days-weeks, when at least four images of sufficient quality are available for $\geq90\%$ of the visit. We predict that SSO discoveries will begin $\sim$2-3 months after the start of the survey. We find that the ability of the LSST to discover SSOs in real-time is reduced in Year 1. This is especially true for detections in areas of the sky that receive fewer visits, such as the North Ecliptic Spur (NES), and in less commonly used filters, such as the $u$ and $g$-bands. The lack of templates in the NES dominates the loss of real-time SSO discoveries; across the whole sky the MAF Main-Belt asteroid (MBA) discovery metric decreases by up to $63\%$ compared to the baseline observing strategy, whereas the metric decreases by up to $79\%$ for MBAs in the NES alone. △ Less

Submitted 19 March, 2025; v1 submitted 29 November, 2024; originally announced November 2024.

Comments: Accepted for publication in the ApJS Rubin LSST Survey Strategy Optimization Focus Issue. The manuscript has been updated with changes arising from the review. Supplementary animations are available in the source files and derived data products are available from https://doi.org/10.7488/ds/7893

The discovery and characterization of minimoon 2024 PT$_5$

Authors: Bryce T. Bolin, Larry Denneau, Laura-May Abron, Robert Jedicke, Kristin Chiboucas, Carl Ingerbretsen, Brian C. Lemaux

Abstract: Minimoons are asteroids that become temporarily captured by the Earth-Moon system. We present the discovery of 2024 PT$_5$, a minimoon discovered by the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System (ATLAS) Sutherland telescope on 2024 August 7. The minimoon with heliocentric semi-major axis, $a$$\sim$1.01 au, and perihelion, $q$$\sim$0.99 au, became captured by the Earth-Moon system on 2024 Septe… ▽ More Minimoons are asteroids that become temporarily captured by the Earth-Moon system. We present the discovery of 2024 PT$_5$, a minimoon discovered by the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System (ATLAS) Sutherland telescope on 2024 August 7. The minimoon with heliocentric semi-major axis, $a$$\sim$1.01 au, and perihelion, $q$$\sim$0.99 au, became captured by the Earth-Moon system on 2024 September 29 and left on 2024 November 25 UTC. Visible g, r, i, and Z spectrophotometry was obtained using Gemini North/Gemini Multi-Object Spectrograph (GMOS) on 2024 September 27. The color indices are g-r = 0.58$\pm$0.04, r-i = 0.29$\pm$0.04, i-Z = -0.27$\pm$0.06, and the spectrum best matches lunar rock samples followed by S-complex asteroids. Assuming an albedo of 0.21 and using our measured absolute magnitude of 28.64$\pm$0.04, 2024 PT$_5$ has a diameter of 5.4$\pm$1.2 m. We also detect variations in the lightcurve of 2024 PT$_5$ with a 0.28$\pm$0.07 magnitude amplitude and a double-peaked period of $\sim$2600$\pm$500 s. We improve the orbital solution of 2024 PT$_5$ with our astrometry and estimate the effect of radiation pressure on its deriving an area-to-mass ratio of 7.02$\pm$2.05$\times$10$^{-5}$ m$^2$/kg, implying a density of $\sim$3.9$\pm$2.1 g/cm$^3$, compatible with having a rocky composition. If we assume 2024 PT$_5$ is from the NEO population, its most likely sources are resonances in the inner Main Belt by comparing its orbit with the NEO population model, though this does not exclude a lunar origin. △ Less

Submitted 3 December, 2024; v1 submitted 12 November, 2024; originally announced November 2024.

Comments: 23 pages, 7 figures, 3 tables, accepted for publication in The Astrophysical Journal Letters. arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:2008.05384

Rubin ToO 2024: Envisioning the Vera C. Rubin Observatory LSST Target of Opportunity program

Authors: Igor Andreoni, Raffaella Margutti, John Banovetz, Sarah Greenstreet, Claire-Alice Hebert, Tim Lister, Antonella Palmese, Silvia Piranomonte, S. J. Smartt, Graham P. Smith, Robert Stein, Tomas Ahumada, Shreya Anand, Katie Auchettl, Michele T. Bannister, Eric C. Bellm, Joshua S. Bloom, Bryce T. Bolin, Clecio R. Bom, Daniel Brethauer, Melissa J. Brucker, David A. H. Buckley, Poonam Chandra, Ryan Chornock, Eric Christensen , et al. (64 additional authors not shown)

Abstract: The Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) at Vera C. Rubin Observatory is planned to begin in the Fall of 2025. The LSST survey cadence has been designed via a community-driven process regulated by the Survey Cadence Optimization Committee (SCOC), which recommended up to 3% of the observing time to carry out Target of Opportunity (ToO) observations. Experts from the scientific community, Rubin Ob… ▽ More The Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) at Vera C. Rubin Observatory is planned to begin in the Fall of 2025. The LSST survey cadence has been designed via a community-driven process regulated by the Survey Cadence Optimization Committee (SCOC), which recommended up to 3% of the observing time to carry out Target of Opportunity (ToO) observations. Experts from the scientific community, Rubin Observatory personnel, and members of the SCOC were brought together to deliver a recommendation for the implementation of the ToO program during a workshop held in March 2024. Four main science cases were identified: gravitational wave multi-messenger astronomy, high energy neutrinos, Galactic supernovae, and small potentially hazardous asteroids possible impactors. Additional science cases were identified and briefly addressed in the documents, including lensed or poorly localized gamma-ray bursts and twilight discoveries. Trigger prioritization, automated response, and detailed strategies were discussed for each science case. This document represents the outcome of the Rubin ToO 2024 workshop, with additional contributions from members of the Rubin Science Collaborations. The implementation of the selection criteria and strategies presented in this document has been endorsed in the SCOC Phase 3 Recommendations document (PSTN-056). Although the ToO program is still to be finalized, this document serves as a baseline plan for ToO observations with the Rubin Observatory. △ Less

Submitted 7 November, 2024; originally announced November 2024.

The Palomar twilight survey of 'Ayló'chaxnim, Atiras, and comets

Authors: B. T. Bolin, F. J. Masci, M. W. Coughlin, D. A. Duev, Ž. Ivezić, R. L. Jones, P. Yoachim, T. Ahumada, V. Bhalerao, H. Choudhary, C. Contreras, Y. -C. Cheng, C. M. Copperwheat, K. Deshmukh, C. Fremling, M. Granvik, K. K. Hardegree-Ullman, A. Y. Q. Ho, R. Jedicke, M. Kasliwal, H. Kumar, Z. -Y. Lin, A. Mahabal, A. Monson, J. D. Neill , et al. (7 additional authors not shown)

Abstract: Near-sun sky twilight observations allow for the detection of asteroid interior to the orbit of Venus (Aylos), the Earth (Atiras), and comets. We present the results of observations with the Palomar 48-inch telescope (P48)/Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF) camera in 30 s r-band exposures taken during evening astronomical twilight from 2019 Sep 20 to 2022 March 7 and during morning astronomical twili… ▽ More Near-sun sky twilight observations allow for the detection of asteroid interior to the orbit of Venus (Aylos), the Earth (Atiras), and comets. We present the results of observations with the Palomar 48-inch telescope (P48)/Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF) camera in 30 s r-band exposures taken during evening astronomical twilight from 2019 Sep 20 to 2022 March 7 and during morning astronomical twilight sky from 2019 Sep 21 to 2022 Sep 29. More than 46,000 exposures were taken in evening and morning astronomical twilight within 31 to 66 degrees from the Sun with an r-band limiting magnitude between 18.1 and 20.9. The twilight pointings show a slight seasonal dependence in limiting magnitude and ability to point closer towards the Sun, with limiting magnitude slightly improving during summer. In total, the one Aylo, (594913) 'Ayló'chaxnim, and 4 Atiras, 2020 OV1, 2021 BS1, 2021 PB2, and 2021 VR3, were discovered in evening and morning twilight observations. Additional twilight survey discoveries also include 6 long-period comets: C/2020 T2, C/2020 V2, C/2021 D2, C/2021 E3, C/2022 E3, and C/2022 P3, and two short-period comets: P/2021 N1 and P/2022 P2 using deep learning comet detection pipelines. The P48/ZTF twilight survey also recovered 11 known Atiras, one Aylo, three short-period comes, two long-period comets, and one interstellar object. Lastly, the Vera Rubin Observatory will conduct a twilight survey starting in its first year of operations and will cover the sky within 45 degrees of the Sun. Twilight surveys such as those by ZTF and future surveys will provide opportunities for discovering asteroids inside the orbits of Earth and Venus. △ Less

Submitted 23 September, 2024; originally announced September 2024.

Comments: 26 pages, 13 figures, 4 tables, accepted for publication in Icarus

Identification and Localization of Cometary Activity in Solar System Objects with Machine Learning

Authors: Bryce T. Bolin, Michael W. Coughlin

Abstract: In this chapter, we will discuss the use of Machine Learning methods for the identification and localization of cometary activity for Solar System objects in ground and in space-based wide-field all-sky surveys. We will begin the chapter by discussing the challenges of identifying known and unknown active, extended Solar System objects in the presence of stellar-type sources and the application of… ▽ More In this chapter, we will discuss the use of Machine Learning methods for the identification and localization of cometary activity for Solar System objects in ground and in space-based wide-field all-sky surveys. We will begin the chapter by discussing the challenges of identifying known and unknown active, extended Solar System objects in the presence of stellar-type sources and the application of classical pre-ML identification techniques and their limitations. We will then transition to the discussion of implementing ML techniques to address the challenge of extended object identification. We will finish with prospective future methods and the application to future surveys such as the Vera C. Rubin Observatory. △ Less

Submitted 23 September, 2024; originally announced September 2024.

Comments: 25 pages, 9 figures, accepted chapter in Machine Learning for Small Bodies in the Solar System, Valerio Carruba, Evgeny Smirnov, and Dagmara Oszkiewicz, Elsevier, 2024, p. 209-227

Spin states of X-complex asteroids in the inner main belt -- I. Investigating the Athor and Zita collisional families

Authors: D. Athanasopoulos, J. Hanuš, C. Avdellidou, G. van Belle, A. Ferrero, R. Bonamico, K. Gazeas, M. Delbo, J. P. Rivet, G. Apostolovska, N. Todorović, B. Novakovic, E. V. Bebekovska, Y. Romanyuk, B. T. Bolin, W. Zhou, H. Agrusa

Abstract: The aim of our study is to characterise the spin states of the members of the Athor and Zita collisional families and test whether these members have a spin distribution consistent with a common origin from the break up of their respective family parent asteroids. Our method is based on the asteroid family evolution, which indicates that there should be a statistical predominance of retrograde-rot… ▽ More The aim of our study is to characterise the spin states of the members of the Athor and Zita collisional families and test whether these members have a spin distribution consistent with a common origin from the break up of their respective family parent asteroids. Our method is based on the asteroid family evolution, which indicates that there should be a statistical predominance of retrograde-rotating asteroids on the inward side of family's V-shape, and prograde-rotating asteroids on the outward side. We used photometric data from our campaign and the literature in order to reveal the spin states of the asteroids belonging to these families. We combined dense and sparse photometric data in order to construct lightcurves; we performed the lightcurve inversion method to estimate the sidereal period, spin axis and convex shape of several family members. We obtained 34 new asteroid models for Athor family members and 17 for Zita family members. Along with the literature and revised models, the Athor family contains 60% of retrograde asteroids on the inward side and, 76% of prograde asteroids on the outward side. We also found that the Zita family exhibits 80% of retrograde asteroids on the inward side and an equal amount of prograde and retrograde rotators on the outward side. However, when we applied Kernel density estimation, we also found a clear peak for prograde asteroids on the outward side, as expected from the theory. The spin states of these asteroids validate the existence of both families, with the Athor family exhibiting a stronger signature for the presence of retrograde-rotating and prograde-rotating asteroids on the inner and outer side of the family, respectively. Our work provides an independent confirmation and characterisation of these very old families, whose presence and characteristics offer constraints for theories and models of the Solar System's evolution. △ Less

Submitted 5 September, 2024; originally announced September 2024.

Journal ref: A&A 690, A215 (2024)

Rotation periods and colours of 10-m scale near-Earth asteroids from CFHT target of opportunity streak photometry

Authors: B. T. Bolin, M. Ghosal, R. Jedicke

Abstract: The rotational properties of $\sim$10~m-scale asteroids are poorly understood with only a few measurements. Additionally, collisions or thermal recoil can spin their rotations to periods less than a few seconds obfuscating their study due to the observational cadence imposed by the long read-out times of charge-coupled device imagers. We present a method to measure the rotation periods of 10~m-sca… ▽ More The rotational properties of $\sim$10~m-scale asteroids are poorly understood with only a few measurements. Additionally, collisions or thermal recoil can spin their rotations to periods less than a few seconds obfuscating their study due to the observational cadence imposed by the long read-out times of charge-coupled device imagers. We present a method to measure the rotation periods of 10~m-scale asteroids using the target of opportunity capability of the Canada France Hawaii Telescope and its MegaCam imager by intentionally streaking their detections in single exposures when they are at their brightest. Periodic changes in brightness as small as $\sim$0.05 mag along the streak can be measured as short as a few seconds. Additionally, the streak photometry is taken in multiple g, r, and i filter exposures enabling the measurement of asteroid colours. The streak photometry method was tested on CFHT observations of three 10~m-scale asteroids, 2016 GE$_1$, 2016 CG$_{18}$, and 2016 EV$_{84}$. Our 3 targets are among the smallest known asteroids with measured rotation periods/colours having some of the shortest known rotation periods. We compare our rotation period and taxonomic results with independent data from the literature and discuss applications of the method to future small asteroid observations. △ Less

Submitted 13 October, 2023; originally announced October 2023.

Comments: Revised version, MNRAS:L, 13 pages, 10 figures, 3 tables

Palomar discovery and initial characterization of naked-eye long period comet C/2022 E3 (ZTF)

Authors: B. T. Bolin, F. J. Masci, D. A. Duev, J. W. Milburn, J. N. Purdum, C. Avdellidou, Y. -C. Cheng, M. Delbo, C. Fremling, M. Ghosal, Z. -Y. Lin, C. M. Lisse, A. Mahabal, M. Saki

Abstract: Long-period comets are planetesimal remnants constraining the environment and volatiles of the protoplanetary disc. We report the discovery of hyperbolic long-period comet C/2022 E3 (ZTF), which has a perihelion $\sim$1.11 au, an eccentricity $\gtrsim$1 and an inclination $\sim$109$^{\circ}$, from images taken with the Palomar 48-inch telescope during morning twilight on 2022 Mar 2. Additionally,… ▽ More Long-period comets are planetesimal remnants constraining the environment and volatiles of the protoplanetary disc. We report the discovery of hyperbolic long-period comet C/2022 E3 (ZTF), which has a perihelion $\sim$1.11 au, an eccentricity $\gtrsim$1 and an inclination $\sim$109$^{\circ}$, from images taken with the Palomar 48-inch telescope during morning twilight on 2022 Mar 2. Additionally, we report the characterization of C/2022 E3 (ZTF) from observations taken with the Palomar 200-inch, the Palomar 60-inch, and the NASA Infrared Telescope Facility in early 2023 February to 2023 March when the comet passed within $\sim$0.28 au of the Earth and reached a visible magnitude of $\sim$5. We measure g-r = 0.70$\pm$0.01, r-i = 0.20$\pm$0.01, i-z = 0.06$\pm$0.01, z-J = 0.90$\pm$0.01, J-H = 0.38$\pm$0.01 and H-K = 0.15$\pm$0.01 colours for the comet from observations. We measure the A(0$^\circ$)f$ρ$ (0.8~$μ$m) in a 6500~km radius from the nucleus of 1483$\pm$40~cm, and CN, C$_3$, and C$_2$ production of 5.43$\pm0.11\times$10$^{25}$~mol/s, 2.01$\pm0.04\times$10$^{24}$, and 3.08$\pm0.5\times$10$^{25}$~mol/s, similar to other long period comets. We additionally observe the appearance of jet-like structures at a scale of $\sim$4,000 km in wide-field g-band images, which may be caused by the presence of CN gas in the near-nucleus coma. △ Less

Submitted 25 September, 2023; originally announced September 2023.

Comments: Accepted for publication in MNRAS:L, 9 pages, 6 figures, 2 tables

NEOMOD: A New Orbital Distribution Model for Near Earth Objects

Authors: David Nesvorny, Rogerio Deienno, William F. Bottke, Robert Jedicke, Shantanu Naidu, Steven R. Chesley, Paul W. Chodas, Mikael Granvik, David Vokrouhlicky, Miroslav Broz, Alessandro Morbidelli, Eric Christensen, Bryce T. Bolin

Abstract: Near Earth Objects (NEOs) are a transient population of small bodies with orbits near or in the terrestrial planet region. They represent a mid-stage in the dynamical cycle of asteroids and comets, which starts with their removal from the respective source regions -- the main belt and trans-Neptunian scattered disk -- and ends as bodies impact planets, disintegrate near the Sun, or are ejected fro… ▽ More Near Earth Objects (NEOs) are a transient population of small bodies with orbits near or in the terrestrial planet region. They represent a mid-stage in the dynamical cycle of asteroids and comets, which starts with their removal from the respective source regions -- the main belt and trans-Neptunian scattered disk -- and ends as bodies impact planets, disintegrate near the Sun, or are ejected from the Solar System. Here we develop a new orbital model of NEOs by numerically integrating asteroid orbits from main belt sources and calibrating the results on observations of the Catalina Sky Survey. The results imply a size-dependent sampling of the main belt with the $ν_6$ and 3:1 resonances producing $\simeq 30$\% of NEOs with absolute magnitudes $H = 15$ and $\simeq 80$\% of NEOs with $H = 25$. Hence, the large and small NEOs have different orbital distributions. The inferred flux of $H<18$ bodies into the 3:1 resonance can be sustained only if the main-belt asteroids near the resonance drift toward the resonance at the maximal Yarkovsky rate ($\simeq 2 \times 10^{-4}$ au Myr$^{-1}$ for diameter $D=1$ km and semimajor axis $a=2.5$~au). This implies obliquities $θ\simeq 0^\circ$ for $a<2.5$~au and $θ\simeq 180^\circ$ for $a>2.5$~au, both in the immediate neighborhood of the resonance (the same applies to other resonances as well). We confirm the size-dependent disruption of asteroids near the Sun found in previous studies. An interested researcher can use the publicly available NEOMOD Simulator to generate user-defined samples of NEOs from our model. △ Less

Submitted 15 June, 2023; originally announced June 2023.

Comments: AJ

Keck and Gemini spectral characterization of Lucy mission fly-by target (152830) Dinkinesh

Authors: B. T. Bolin, K. S. Noll, I. Caiazzo, C. Fremling, R. P. Binzel

Abstract: Recently, the inner main belt asteroid (152830) Dinkinesh was identified as an additional fly-by target for the Lucy mission. The heliocentric orbit and approximate absolute magnitude of Dinkinesh are known, but little additional information was available prior to its selection as a target. In particular, the lack of color spectrophotometry or spectra made it impossible to assign a spectral type t… ▽ More Recently, the inner main belt asteroid (152830) Dinkinesh was identified as an additional fly-by target for the Lucy mission. The heliocentric orbit and approximate absolute magnitude of Dinkinesh are known, but little additional information was available prior to its selection as a target. In particular, the lack of color spectrophotometry or spectra made it impossible to assign a spectral type to Dinkinesh from which its albedo could be estimated. We set out to remedy this knowledge gap by obtaining visible wavelength spectra with the Keck telescope on 2022 November 23 and with Gemini-South on 2022 December 27. The spectra measured with the Keck I/Low Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (LRIS) and the Gemini South/Gemini Multi-Object Spectrograph South (GMOS-S) are most similar to the average spectrum of S- and Sq-type asteroids. The most diagnostic feature is the $\approx$15$\pm$1$\%$ silicate absorption feature at $\approx$0.9-1.0~micron. Small S- and Sq-type asteroids have moderately high albedos ranging from 0.17-0.35. Using this albedo range for Dinkinesh in combination with measured absolute magnitude, it is possible to derive an effective diameter and surface brightness for this body. The albedo, size and surface brightness are important inputs required for planning a successful encounter by the Lucy spacecraft. △ Less

Submitted 7 April, 2023; v1 submitted 14 March, 2023; originally announced March 2023.

Comments: 7 pages, 1 figure. Accepted for publication in Icarus

Tuning the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) Observing Strategy for Solar System Science

Authors: Megan E. Schwamb, R. Lynne Jones, Peter Yoachim, Kathryn Volk, Rosemary C. Dorsey, Cyrielle Opitom, Sarah Greenstreet, Tim Lister, Colin Snodgrass, Bryce T. Bolin, Laura Inno, Michele T. Bannister, Siegfried Eggl, Michael Solontoi, Michael S. P. Kelley, Mario Jurić, Hsing Wen Lin, Darin Ragozzine, Pedro H. Bernardinelli, Steven R. Chesley, Tansu Daylan, Josef Ďurech, Wesley C. Fraser, Mikael Granvik, Matthew M. Knight , et al. (5 additional authors not shown)

Abstract: The Vera C. Rubin Observatory is expected to start the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) in early to mid-2025. This multi-band wide-field synoptic survey will transform our view of the solar system, with the discovery and monitoring of over 5 million small bodies.The final survey strategy chosen for LSST has direct implications on the discoverability and characterization of solar system minor… ▽ More The Vera C. Rubin Observatory is expected to start the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) in early to mid-2025. This multi-band wide-field synoptic survey will transform our view of the solar system, with the discovery and monitoring of over 5 million small bodies.The final survey strategy chosen for LSST has direct implications on the discoverability and characterization of solar system minor planets and passing interstellar objects. Creating an inventory of the solar system is one of the four main LSST science drivers. The LSST observing cadence is a complex optimization problem that must balance the priorities and needs of all the key LSST science areas. To design the best LSST survey strategy, a series of operation simulations using the Rubin Observatory scheduler have been generated to explore the various options for tuning observing parameters and prioritizations. We explore the impact of the various simulated LSST observing strategies on studying the solar system's small body reservoirs. We examine what are the best observing scenarios and review what are the important considerations for maximizing LSST solar system science. In general, most of the LSST cadence simulations produce +/-5% or less variations in our chosen key metrics, but a subset of the simulations significantly hinder science returns with much larger losses in the discovery and light curve metrics. △ Less

Submitted 6 March, 2023; v1 submitted 4 March, 2023; originally announced March 2023.

Comments: Accepted to ApJS, 103 pages (including references), 43 figures, 9 Tables. Videos will be available in the online journal formatted and published version of the paper [v2.0 submission corrects the author list metadata from the arxiv initial submission and updates the abstract]

Keck, Gemini, and Palomar 200-inch visible photometry of red and very-red Neptunian Trojans

Authors: B. T. Bolin, C. Fremling, A. Morbidelli, K. S. Noll, J. van Roestel, E. K. Deibert, M. Delbo, G. Gimeno, J. -E. Heo, C. M. Lisse, T. Seccull, H. Suh

Abstract: Neptunian Trojans (NTs), trans-Neptunian objects in 1:1 mean-motion resonance with Neptune, are generally thought to have been captured from the original trans-Neptunian protoplanetary disk into co-orbital resonance with the ice giant during its outward migration. It is possible, therefore, that the colour distribution of NTs is a constraint on the location of any colour transition zones that may… ▽ More Neptunian Trojans (NTs), trans-Neptunian objects in 1:1 mean-motion resonance with Neptune, are generally thought to have been captured from the original trans-Neptunian protoplanetary disk into co-orbital resonance with the ice giant during its outward migration. It is possible, therefore, that the colour distribution of NTs is a constraint on the location of any colour transition zones that may have been present in the disk. In support of this possible test, we obtained $g$, $r$, and $i$-band observations of 18 NTs, more than doubling the sample of NTs with known visible colours to 31 objects. Out of the combined sample, we found $\approx$4 objects with $g$-$i$ colours of $>$1.2 mags placing them in the very red (VR) category as typically defined. We find, without taking observational selection effects into account, that the NT $g$-$i$ colour distribution is statistically distinct from other trans-Neptunian dynamical classes. The optical colours of Jovian Trojans and NTs are shown to be less similar than previously claimed with additional VR NTs. The presence of VR objects among the NTs may suggest that the location of the red to VR colour transition zone in the protoplanetary disk was interior to 30-35 au. △ Less

Submitted 8 February, 2023; originally announced February 2023.

Comments: 8 pages, 3 figures, 3 tables, accepted for publication in MNRAS:Letters

The discovery and characterization of a kilometre sized asteroid inside the orbit of Venus

Authors: Bryce T. Bolin, T. Ahumada, P. van Dokkum, C. Fremling, M. Granvik, K. K. Hardegree-Ullman, Y. Harikane, J. N. Purdum, E. Serabyn, J. Southworth, C. Zhai

Abstract: Near-Earth asteroid population models predict the existence of bodies located inside the orbit of Venus. Despite searches up to the end of 2019, none had been found. We report discovery and follow-up observations of (594913) 'Ayló'chaxnim, an asteroid with an orbit entirely interior to Venus. (594913) 'Ayló'chaxnim has an aphelion distance of ~0.65 au, is ~2 km in diameter and is red in colour. Th… ▽ More Near-Earth asteroid population models predict the existence of bodies located inside the orbit of Venus. Despite searches up to the end of 2019, none had been found. We report discovery and follow-up observations of (594913) 'Ayló'chaxnim, an asteroid with an orbit entirely interior to Venus. (594913) 'Ayló'chaxnim has an aphelion distance of ~0.65 au, is ~2 km in diameter and is red in colour. The detection of such a large asteroid inside the orbit of Venus is surprising given their rarity according to near-Earth asteroid population models. As the first officially numbered and named asteroid located entirely within the orbit of Venus, we propose that the class of interior to Venus asteroids be referred to as 'Ayló'chaxnim asteroids. △ Less

Submitted 15 August, 2022; originally announced August 2022.

Comments: 7 pages, 8 figures, 1 table. Published in Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society: Letters (2022). arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:2009.04125

Characterizing Sparse Asteroid Light Curves with Gaussian Processes

Authors: Christina Willecke Lindberg, Daniela Huppenkothen, R. Lynne Jones, Bryce T. Bolin, Mario Juric, V. Zach Golkhou, Eric C. Bellm, Andrew J. Drake, Matthew J. Graham, Russ R. Laher, Ashish A. Mahabal, Frank J. Masci, Reed Riddle, Kyung Min Shin

Abstract: In the era of wide-field surveys like the Zwicky Transient Facility and the Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time, sparse photometric measurements constitute an increasing percentage of asteroid observations, particularly for asteroids newly discovered in these large surveys. Follow-up observations to supplement these sparse data may be prohibitively expensive in many cases, so to ov… ▽ More In the era of wide-field surveys like the Zwicky Transient Facility and the Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time, sparse photometric measurements constitute an increasing percentage of asteroid observations, particularly for asteroids newly discovered in these large surveys. Follow-up observations to supplement these sparse data may be prohibitively expensive in many cases, so to overcome these sampling limitations, we introduce a flexible model based on Gaussian Processes to enable Bayesian parameter inference of asteroid time series data. This model is designed to be flexible and extensible, and can model multiple asteroid properties such as the rotation period, light curve amplitude, changing pulse profile, and magnitude changes due to the phase angle evolution at the same time. Here, we focus on the inference of rotation periods. Based on both simulated light curves and real observations from the Zwicky Transient Facility, we show that the new model reliably infers rotational periods from sparsely sampled light curves, and generally provides well-constrained posterior probability densities for the model parameters. We propose this framework as an intermediate method between fast, but very limited period detection algorithms and much more comprehensive, but computationally expensive shape modeling based on ray-tracing codes. △ Less

Submitted 24 November, 2021; originally announced November 2021.

Comments: 27 pages, 18 figures, accepted for publication in AJ, associated software available at https://github.com/dirac-institute/asterogap/tree/v0.1

Tails: Chasing Comets with the Zwicky Transient Facility and Deep Learning

Authors: Dmitry A. Duev, Bryce T. Bolin, Matthew J. Graham, Michael S. P. Kelley, Ashish Mahabal, Eric C. Bellm, Michael W. Coughlin, Richard Dekany, George Helou, Shrinivas R. Kulkarni, Frank J. Masci, Thomas A. Prince, Reed Riddle, Maayane T. Soumagnac, Stéfan J. van der Walt

Abstract: We present Tails, an open-source deep-learning framework for the identification and localization of comets in the image data of the Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF), a robotic optical time-domain survey currently in operation at the Palomar Observatory in California, USA. Tails employs a custom EfficientDet-based architecture and is capable of finding comets in single images in near real time, rath… ▽ More We present Tails, an open-source deep-learning framework for the identification and localization of comets in the image data of the Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF), a robotic optical time-domain survey currently in operation at the Palomar Observatory in California, USA. Tails employs a custom EfficientDet-based architecture and is capable of finding comets in single images in near real time, rather than requiring multiple epochs as with traditional methods. The system achieves state-of-the-art performance with 99% recall, 0.01% false positive rate, and 1-2 pixel root mean square error in the predicted position. We report the initial results of the Tails efficiency evaluation in a production setting on the data of the ZTF Twilight survey, including the first AI-assisted discovery of a comet (C/2020 T2) and the recovery of a comet (P/2016 J3 = P/2021 A3). △ Less

Submitted 26 February, 2021; originally announced February 2021.

Time-series and Phasecurve Photometry of Episodically-Active Asteroid (6478) Gault in a Quiescent State Using APO, GROWTH, P200 and ZTF

Authors: Josiah N. Purdum, Zhong-Yi Lin, Bryce T. Bolin, Kritti Sharma, Philip I. Choi, Varun Bhalerao, Harsh Kumar, Robert Quimby, Joannes C. Van Roestel, Chengxing Zhai, Yanga R. Fernandez, Josef Hanuš, Carey M. Lisse, Dennis Bodewits, Christoffer Fremling, Nathan Ryan Golovich, Chen-Yen Hsu, Wing-Huen Ip, Chow-Choong Ngeow, Navtej S. Saini, Michael Shao, Yuhan Yao, Tomás Ahumada, Shreya Anand, Igor Andreoni , et al. (27 additional authors not shown)

Abstract: We observed Episodically Active Asteroid (6478) Gault in 2020 with multiple telescopes in Asia and North America and have found that it is no longer active after its recent outbursts at the end of 2018 and start of 2019. The inactivity during this apparation allowed us to measure the absolute magnitude of Gault of H_r = 14.63 +/- 0.02, G_r = 0.21 +/- 0.02 from our secular phasecurve observations.… ▽ More We observed Episodically Active Asteroid (6478) Gault in 2020 with multiple telescopes in Asia and North America and have found that it is no longer active after its recent outbursts at the end of 2018 and start of 2019. The inactivity during this apparation allowed us to measure the absolute magnitude of Gault of H_r = 14.63 +/- 0.02, G_r = 0.21 +/- 0.02 from our secular phasecurve observations. In addition, we were able to constrain Gault's rotation period using time-series photometric lightcurves taken over 17 hours on multiple days in 2020 August, September and October. The photometric lightcurves have a repeating $\lesssim$0.05 magnitude feature suggesting that (6478) Gault has a rotation period of ~2.5 hours and may have a semi-spherical or top-like shape, much like Near-Earth Asteroids Ryugu and Bennu. The rotation period of ~2.5 hours is near to the expected critical rotation period for an asteroid with the physical properties of (6478) Gault suggesting that its activity observed over multiple epochs is due to surface mass shedding from its fast rotation spun up by the Yarkovsky-O'Keefe-Radzievskii-Paddack effect. △ Less

Submitted 27 March, 2021; v1 submitted 25 February, 2021; originally announced February 2021.

Comments: 23 pages, 18 figures; Accepted by ApJ Letters

Initial Characterization of Active Transitioning Centaur, P/2019 LD2 (ATLAS), using Hubble, Spitzer, ZTF, Keck, APO and GROWTH Visible & Infrared Imaging and Spectroscopy

Authors: Bryce T. Bolin, Yanga R. Fernandez, Carey M. Lisse, Timothy R. Holt, Zhong-Yi Lin, Josiah N. Purdum, Kunal P. Deshmukh, James M. Bauer, Eric C. Bellm, Dennis Bodewits, Kevin B. Burdge, Sean J. Carey, Chris M. Copperwheat, George Helou, Anna Y. Q. Ho, Jonathan Horner, Jan van Roestel, Varun Bhalerao, Chan-Kao Chang, Christine Chen, Chen-Yen Hsu, Wing-Huen Ip, Mansi M. Kasliwal, Frank J. Masci, Chow-Choong Ngeow , et al. (21 additional authors not shown)

Abstract: We present visible and mid-infrared imagery and photometry of temporary Jovian co-orbital comet P/2019 LD$_2$ taken with HST/WFC3, Spitzer/IRAC, the GROWTH telescope network, visible spectroscopy from Keck/LRIS and archival ZTF observations taken between 2019 April and 2020 August. Our observations indicate that the nucleus of LD$_2$ has a radius between 0.2-1.8 km assuming a 0.08 albedo and a com… ▽ More We present visible and mid-infrared imagery and photometry of temporary Jovian co-orbital comet P/2019 LD$_2$ taken with HST/WFC3, Spitzer/IRAC, the GROWTH telescope network, visible spectroscopy from Keck/LRIS and archival ZTF observations taken between 2019 April and 2020 August. Our observations indicate that the nucleus of LD$_2$ has a radius between 0.2-1.8 km assuming a 0.08 albedo and a coma dominated by $\sim$100$μ$ m-scale dust ejected at $\sim$1 m/s speeds with a $\sim$1'' jet pointing in the SW direction. LD$_2$ experienced a total dust mass loss of $\sim$10$^8$ kg at a loss rate of $\sim$6 kg/s with Af$ρ$/cross-section varying between $\sim$85 cm/125 km$^2$ and $\sim$200 cm/310 km$^2$ from 2019 April 9 to 2019 Nov 8. If the increase in Af$ρ$/cross-section remained constant, it implies LD$_2$'s activity began $\sim$2018 November when within 4.8 au of the Sun, implying the onset of H$_2$O sublimation. We measure CO/CO$_2$ gas production of $\lesssim$10$^{27}$ mol/s /$\lesssim$10$^{26}$ mol/s from our 4.5 $μ$m Spitzer observations, $g$-$r$ = 0.59$\pm$0.03, $r$-$i$ = 0.18$\pm$0.05, $i$-$z$ = 0.01$\pm$0.07 from GROWTH observations, H$_2$O gas production of $\lesssim$80 kg/s scaling from our estimated $C_2$ production of $Q_{C_2}\lesssim$7.5$\times10^{24}$ mol/s from Keck/LRIS spectroscopy. We determine that the long-term orbit of LD$_2$ is similar to Jupiter family comets having close encounters with Jupiter within $\sim$0.5 Hill radius in the last $\sim$3 y, within 0.8 Hill radius in $\sim$9 y. Additionally, 78.8$\%$ of our orbital clones are ejected from the Solar System within $1 \times 10^{6}$ years having a dynamical half-life of 3.4 $\times 10^5$ years. △ Less

Submitted 5 January, 2021; v1 submitted 7 November, 2020; originally announced November 2020.

Comments: 28 pages, 8 figures, 2 Tables, accepted for publication in AJ

The Scientific Impact of the Vera C. Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) for Solar System Science

Authors: Vera C. Rubin Observatory LSST Solar System Science Collaboration, R. Lynne Jones, Michelle T. Bannister, Bryce T. Bolin, Colin Orion Chandler, Steven R. Chesley, Siegfried Eggl, Sarah Greenstreet, Timothy R. Holt, Henry H. Hsieh, Zeljko Ivezić, Mario Jurić, Michael S. P. Kelley, Matthew M. Knight, Renu Malhotra, William J. Oldroyd, Gal Sarid, Megan E. Schwamb, Colin Snodgrass, Michael Solontoi, David E. Trilling

Abstract: Vera C. Rubin Observatory will be a key facility for small body science in planetary astronomy over the next decade. It will carry out the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), observing the sky repeatedly in u, g, r, i, z, and y over the course of ten years using a 6.5 m effective diameter telescope with a 9.6 square degree field of view, reaching approximately r = 24.5 mag (5-σ depth) per visi… ▽ More Vera C. Rubin Observatory will be a key facility for small body science in planetary astronomy over the next decade. It will carry out the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), observing the sky repeatedly in u, g, r, i, z, and y over the course of ten years using a 6.5 m effective diameter telescope with a 9.6 square degree field of view, reaching approximately r = 24.5 mag (5-σ depth) per visit. The resulting dataset will provide extraordinary opportunities for both discovery and characterization of large numbers (10--100 times more than currently known) of small solar system bodies, furthering studies of planetary formation and evolution. This white paper summarizes some of the expected science from the ten years of LSST, and emphasizes that the planetary astronomy community should remain invested in the path of Rubin Observatory once the LSST is complete. △ Less

Submitted 14 September, 2020; originally announced September 2020.

Comments: White paper submitted to the 2020 Planetary Astronomy Decadal Survey (7 pages, 1 figure)

Preliminary estimates of the Zwicky Transient Facility 'Ayló'chaxnim asteroid population completeness

Authors: B. T. Bolin, T. Ahumada, P. van Dokkum, C. Fremling, K. K. Hardegree-Ullman, J. N. Purdum, E. Serabyn, J. Southworth

Abstract: Near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) are organized into five main classes: Amor, Apollo, Aten, Atira and 'Ayló'chaxnim. Asteroids belonging to the 'Ayló'chaxnim class are located entirely within the orbit of Venus making them difficult to detect by ground-based observatories. The first-known asteroid of this class, (594913) 'Ayló'chaxnim, was discovered by the Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF) in 2020 Januar… ▽ More Near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) are organized into five main classes: Amor, Apollo, Aten, Atira and 'Ayló'chaxnim. Asteroids belonging to the 'Ayló'chaxnim class are located entirely within the orbit of Venus making them difficult to detect by ground-based observatories. The first-known asteroid of this class, (594913) 'Ayló'chaxnim, was discovered by the Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF) in 2020 January during a twilight search for asteroids at small solar elongations that ran between September 2019 and January 2020. Due to its large diameter of $\sim$2 km, the discovery of (594913) 'Ayló'chaxnim is surprising because contemporary NEA population models predict a scarcity of asteroids of this size located inside the orbit of Venus. To compare the discovery of (594913) 'Ayló'chaxnim by ZTF with the predictions of NEA population models, we estimated the ZTF survey completeness at detecting 'Ayló'chaxnim asteroids and the number of 'Ayló'chaxnim asteroids expected to have been discovered by simulating observations of synthetic 'Ayló'chaxnim asteroids. We find that the 'Ayló'chaxnim population completeness of the survey is $\sim$18$\%$ and there is only a 5$\%$ probability that a single 'Ayló'chaxnim asteroid would have been discovered. Given the small chance for (594913) 'Ayló'chaxnim to have been discovered, its presence is either a statistical fluke or it implies that asteroid population models may need to be revised. △ Less

Submitted 19 January, 2023; v1 submitted 9 September, 2020; originally announced September 2020.

Comments: 9 pages, 2 figures. Accepted for publication in Icarus

Characterization of Temporarily-Captured Minimoon 2020 CD$_3$ by Keck Time-resolved Spectrophotometry

Authors: Bryce T. Bolin, Christoffer Fremling, Timothy R. Holt, Matthew J. Hankins, Tomás Ahumada, Shreya Anand, Varun Bhalerao, Kevin B. Burdge, Chris M. Copperwheat, Michael Coughlin, Kunal P. Deshmukh, Kishalay De, Mansi M. Kasliwal, Alessandro Morbidelli, Josiah N. Purdum, Robert Quimby, Dennis Bodewits, Chan-Kao Chang, Wing-Huen Ip, Chen-Yen Hsu, Russ R. Laher, Zhong-Yi Lin, Carey M. Lisse, Frank J. Masci, Chow-Choong Ngeow , et al. (20 additional authors not shown)

Abstract: We present time-resolved visible spectrophotometry of minimoon 2020 CD$_3$, the second asteroid known to become temporarily captured by the Earth-Moon system's gravitational field. The spectrophotometry was taken with Keck I/LRIS between wavelengths 434 nm and 912 nm in $B$, $g$, $V$, $R$, $I$ and RG850 filters as it was leaving the Earth-Moon system on 2020 March 23 UTC. The spectrophotometry of… ▽ More We present time-resolved visible spectrophotometry of minimoon 2020 CD$_3$, the second asteroid known to become temporarily captured by the Earth-Moon system's gravitational field. The spectrophotometry was taken with Keck I/LRIS between wavelengths 434 nm and 912 nm in $B$, $g$, $V$, $R$, $I$ and RG850 filters as it was leaving the Earth-Moon system on 2020 March 23 UTC. The spectrophotometry of 2020 CD$_3$ most closely resembles the spectra of V-type asteroids and some Lunar rock samples with a reddish slope of ~18$\%$/100 nm between 434 nm and 761 nm corresponding to colors of $g$-$r$ = 0.62$\pm$0.08, $r$-$i$ = 0.21 $\pm$ 0.06 and an absorption band at ~900 nm corresponding to $i$-$z$ = -0.54$\pm$0.10. Combining our measured 31.9$\pm$0.1 absolute magnitude with an albedo of 0.35 typical for V-type asteroids, we determine 2020 CD$_3$'s diameter to be ~0.9$\pm$0.1 m making it the first minimoon and one of the smallest asteroids to be spectrally studied. We use our time-series photometry to detect periodic lightcurve variations with a $<$10$^{-4}$ false alarm probability corresponding to a lightcurve period of ~573 s and a lightcurve amplitude of ~1 mag implying 2020 CD$_3$ possesses a $b/a$ axial ratio of ~2.5. In addition, we extend the observational arc of 2020 CD$_3$ to 37 days between 2020 February 15 UTC and 2020 March 23 UTC. From the improved orbital solution for 2020 CD$_3$, we estimate its likely duration of its capture to be ~2 y, and we measure the non-gravitation perturbation on its orbit due to radiation pressure with an area-to-mass ratio of 6.9$\pm$2.4$\times$10$^{-4}$ m$^2$/kg implying a density of 2.3$\pm$0.8 g/cm$^3$, broadly compatible with the densities of other meter-scale asteroids and Lunar rock. We searched for pre-discovery detections of 2020 CD$_3$ in the ZTF archive as far back as 2018 October, but were unable to locate any positive detections. △ Less

Submitted 12 August, 2020; originally announced August 2020.

Comments: 26 pages, 8 figures, 3 Tables, accepted for publication in ApJL

Constraints on the Spin-Pole Orientation, Jet Morphology and Rotation of Interstellar Comet 2I/Borisov with Deep HST Imaging

Authors: Bryce T. Bolin, Carey M. Lisse

Abstract: We present high resolution, deep imaging of interstellar comet 2I/Borisov taken with the Hubble Space Telescope/Wide Field Camera 3 (HST/WFC3) on 2019 December 8 UTC and 2020 January 27 UTC (HST GO 16040, PI Bolin) before and after its perihelion passage in combination with HST/WFC3 images taken on 2019 October 12 UTC and 2019 November 16 UTC (HST GO/DD 16009, PI Jewitt) before its outburst and fr… ▽ More We present high resolution, deep imaging of interstellar comet 2I/Borisov taken with the Hubble Space Telescope/Wide Field Camera 3 (HST/WFC3) on 2019 December 8 UTC and 2020 January 27 UTC (HST GO 16040, PI Bolin) before and after its perihelion passage in combination with HST/WFC3 images taken on 2019 October 12 UTC and 2019 November 16 UTC (HST GO/DD 16009, PI Jewitt) before its outburst and fragmentation of March 2020, thus observing the comet in a relatively undisrupted state. We locate 1-2\arcsec~long (2,000 - 3,000 km projected length) jet-like structures near the optocenter of 2I that appear to change position angles from epoch to epoch. With the assumption that the jet is located near the rotational pole supported by its stationary appearance on $\sim$10-100 h time frames in HST images, we determine that 2I's pole points near $α$ = 322$\pm$10$^\circ$, $δ$ = 37$\pm$10$^\circ$ ($λ$ = 341$^\circ$, $β$ = 48$^\circ$) and may be in a simple rotation state. Additionally, we find evidence for possible periodicity in the HST time-series lightcurve on the time scale of $\sim$5.3 h with a small amplitude of $\sim$0.05 mag implying a lower limit on its $b/a$ ratio of $\sim$1.5 unlike the large $\sim$2 mag lightcurve observed for 1I/`Oumuamua. However, these small lightcurve variations may not be the result of the rotation of 2I's nucleus due to its dust-dominated light-scattering cross-section. Therefore, uniquely constraining the pre-Solar System encounter, pre-outburst rotation state of 2I may not be possible even with the resolution and sensitivity provided by HST observations. △ Less

Submitted 23 July, 2020; v1 submitted 13 December, 2019; originally announced December 2019.

Comments: 14 pages, 6 figures and 3 tables, accepted for publication in MNRAS on 23 July 2020

Pre-discovery Activity of New Interstellar Comet 2I/Borisov Beyond 5 AU

Authors: Quanzhi Ye, Michael S. P. Kelley, Bryce T. Bolin, Dennis Bodewits, Davide Farnocchia, Frank J. Masci, Karen J. Meech, Marco Micheli, Robert Weryk, Eric C. Bellm, Eric Christensen, Richard Dekany, Alexandre Delacroix, Matthew J. Graham, Shrinivas R. Kulkarni, Russ R. Laher, Ben Rusholme, Roger M. Smith

Abstract: Comet 2I/Borisov, the first unambiguous interstellar comet ever found, was discovered in August 2019 at $\sim3$ au from the Sun on its inbound leg. No pre-discovery detection beyond 3 au has yet been reported, mostly due to the comet's proximity to the Sun as seen from the Earth. Here we present a search for pre-discovery detections of comet Borisov using images taken by the Catalina Sky Survey (C… ▽ More Comet 2I/Borisov, the first unambiguous interstellar comet ever found, was discovered in August 2019 at $\sim3$ au from the Sun on its inbound leg. No pre-discovery detection beyond 3 au has yet been reported, mostly due to the comet's proximity to the Sun as seen from the Earth. Here we present a search for pre-discovery detections of comet Borisov using images taken by the Catalina Sky Survey (CSS), Pan-STARRS and Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF), with a further comprehensive follow-up campaign being presented in \citet{Bolin2019}. We identified comet Borisov in ZTF images taken in May 2019 and use these data to update its orbit. This allowed us to identify the comet in images acquired as far back as December 2018, when it was 7.8 au from the Sun. The comet was not detected in November 2018 when it was 8.6 au from the Sun, possibly implying an onset of activity around this time. This suggests that the activity of the comet is either driven by a more volatile species other than H$_2$O, such as CO or CO$_2$, or by exothermic crystallization of amorphous ice. We derive the radius of the nucleus to be $<7$ km using the non-detection in November 2018, and estimate an area of $\sim0.5$---$10 \mathrm{km^2}$ has been active between December 2018 and September 2019, though this number is model-dependent and is highly uncertain. The behavior of comet Borisov during its inbound leg is observationally consistent with dynamically new comets observed in our solar system, suggesting some similarities between the two. △ Less

Submitted 23 December, 2019; v1 submitted 13 November, 2019; originally announced November 2019.

Comments: AJ in press

Characterization of the Nucleus, Morphology and Activity of Interstellar Comet 2I/Borisov by Optical and Near-Infrared GROWTH, Apache Point, IRTF, ZTF and Keck Observations

Authors: Bryce T. Bolin, Carey M. Lisse, Mansi M. Kasliwal, Robert Quimby, Hanjie Tan, Chris Copperwheat, Zhong-Yi Lin, Alessandro Morbidelli, Lyu Abe, Philippe Bendjoya, James Bauer, Kevin B. Burdge, Michael Coughlin, Christoffer Fremling, Ryosuke Itoh, Michael Koss, Frank J. Masci, Syota Maeno, Eric E. Mamajek, Federico Marocco, Katsuhiro Murata, Jean-Pierre Rivet, Michael L. Sitko, Daniel Stern, David Vernet , et al. (30 additional authors not shown)

Abstract: We present visible and near-infrared photometric and spectroscopic observations of interstellar object 2I/Borisov taken from 2019 September 10 to 2019 November 29 using the GROWTH, the APO ARC 3.5 m and the NASA/IRTF 3.0 m combined with post and pre-discovery observations of 2I obtained by ZTF from 2019 March 17 to 2019 May 5. Comparison with imaging of distant Solar System comets shows an object… ▽ More We present visible and near-infrared photometric and spectroscopic observations of interstellar object 2I/Borisov taken from 2019 September 10 to 2019 November 29 using the GROWTH, the APO ARC 3.5 m and the NASA/IRTF 3.0 m combined with post and pre-discovery observations of 2I obtained by ZTF from 2019 March 17 to 2019 May 5. Comparison with imaging of distant Solar System comets shows an object very similar to mildly active Solar System comets with an out-gassing rate of $\sim$10$^{27}$ mol/sec. The photometry, taken in filters spanning the visible and NIR range shows a gradual brightening trend of $\sim0.03$ mags/day since 2019 September 10 UTC for a reddish object becoming neutral in the NIR. The lightcurve from recent and pre-discovery data reveals a brightness trend suggesting the recent onset of significant H$_2$O sublimation with the comet being active with super volatiles such as CO at heliocentric distances $>$6 au consistent with its extended morphology. Using the advanced capability to significantly reduce the scattered light from the coma enabled by high-resolution NIR images from Keck adaptive optics taken on 2019 October 04, we estimate a diameter of 2I's nucleus of $\lesssim$1.4 km. We use the size estimates of 1I/'Oumuamua and 2I/Borisov to roughly estimate the slope of the ISO size-distribution resulting in a slope of $\sim$3.4$\pm$1.2, similar to Solar System comets and bodies produced from collisional equilibrium. △ Less

Submitted 12 May, 2020; v1 submitted 30 October, 2019; originally announced October 2019.

Comments: 22 pages, 7 figures, 1 table. Accepted for publication in AJ on 12 May 2020

Maximizing LSST Solar System Science: Approaches, Software Tools, and Infrastructure Needs

Authors: Henry H. Hsieh, Michele T. Bannister, Bryce T. Bolin, Josef Durech, Siegfried Eggl, Wesley C. Fraser, Mikael Granvik, Michael S. P. Kelley, Matthew M. Knight, Rodrigo Leiva, Marco Micheli, Joachim Moeyens, Michael Mommert, Darin Ragozzine, Cristina A. Thomas

Abstract: The Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST) is expected to increase known small solar system object populations by an order of magnitude or more over the next decade, enabling a broad array of transformative solar system science investigations to be performed. In this white paper, we discuss software tools and infrastructure that we anticipate will be needed to conduct these investigations and outl… ▽ More The Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST) is expected to increase known small solar system object populations by an order of magnitude or more over the next decade, enabling a broad array of transformative solar system science investigations to be performed. In this white paper, we discuss software tools and infrastructure that we anticipate will be needed to conduct these investigations and outline possible approaches for implementing them. Feedback from the community or contributions to future updates of this work are welcome. Our aim is for this white paper to encourage further consideration of the software development needs of the LSST solar system science community, and also to be a call to action for working to meet those needs in advance of the expected start of the survey in late 2022. △ Less

Submitted 26 June, 2019; originally announced June 2019.

Comments: 82 pages

Earth's Minimoons: Opportunities for Science and Technology

Authors: Robert Jedicke, Bryce T. Bolin, William F. Bottke, Monique Chyba, Grigori Fedorets, Mikael Granvik, Lynne Jones, Hodei Urrutxua

Abstract: (modified from published version) Twelve years ago the Catalina Sky Survey discovered Earth's first known natural geocentric object other than the Moon, a few-meter diameter asteroid designated 2006 RH120. Despite significant improvements in ground-based telescope and detector technology in the past decade the asteroid surveys have not discovered another temporarily-captured orbiter (TCO; colloqui… ▽ More (modified from published version) Twelve years ago the Catalina Sky Survey discovered Earth's first known natural geocentric object other than the Moon, a few-meter diameter asteroid designated 2006 RH120. Despite significant improvements in ground-based telescope and detector technology in the past decade the asteroid surveys have not discovered another temporarily-captured orbiter (TCO; colloquially known as minimoons). Within a few years the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST) will either begin to regularly detect TCOs or force a re-analysis of the creation and dynamical evolution of small asteroids in the inner solar system. The first studies of the provenance, properties, and dynamics of Earth's minimoons suggested that there should be a steady state population with about one 1- to 2-meter diameter captured objects at any time. That model was then improved and extended to include the population of temporarily-captured flybys (TCFs), objects that fail to make an entire revolution around Earth while energetically bound to the Earth-Moon system. Several different techniques for discovering TCOs have been considered but their small diameters, proximity, and rapid motion make them challenging targets for existing ground-based optical, meteor, and radar surveys. We expect that if the TCO population is confirmed, and new objects are frequently discovered, they can provide new opportunities for 1) studying the dynamics of the Earth-Moon system, 2) testing models of the production and dynamical evolution of small asteroids from the asteroid belt, 3) rapid and frequent low delta-v missions to multiple minimoons, and 4) evaluating in-situ resource utilization techniques on asteroidal material. Here we review the past decade of minimoon studies in preparation for capitalizing on the scientific and commercial opportunities of TCOs in the first decade of LSST operations. △ Less

Submitted 31 May, 2019; originally announced May 2019.

Journal ref: Frontiers in Astronomy and Space Sciences (2018), 5, 13

APO Time Resolved Color Photometry of Highly-Elongated Interstellar Object 1I/'Oumuamua

Authors: Bryce T. Bolin, Harold A. Weaver, Yanga R. Fernandez, Carey M. Lisse, Daniela Huppenkothen, R. Lynne Jones, Mario Juric, Joachim Moeyens, Charles A. Schambeau, Colin T. Slater, Zeljko Ivezic, Andrew J. Connolly

Abstract: We report on $g$, $r$ and $i$ band observations of the Interstellar Object 'Oumuamua (1I) taken on 2017 October 29 from 04:28 to 08:40 UTC by the Apache Point Observatory (APO) 3.5m telescope's ARCTIC camera. We find that 1I's colors are $g-r=0.41\pm0.24$ and $r-i=0.23\pm0.25$, consistent with the visible spectra of Masiero (2017), Ye et al. (2017) and Fitzsimmons et al. (2017), and most comparabl… ▽ More We report on $g$, $r$ and $i$ band observations of the Interstellar Object 'Oumuamua (1I) taken on 2017 October 29 from 04:28 to 08:40 UTC by the Apache Point Observatory (APO) 3.5m telescope's ARCTIC camera. We find that 1I's colors are $g-r=0.41\pm0.24$ and $r-i=0.23\pm0.25$, consistent with the visible spectra of Masiero (2017), Ye et al. (2017) and Fitzsimmons et al. (2017), and most comparable to the population of Solar System C/D asteroids, Trojans, or comets. We find no evidence of any cometary activity at a heliocentric distance of 1.46 au, approximately 1.5 months after 1I's closest approach distance to the Sun. Significant brightness variability was seen in the $r$ observations, with the object becoming notably brighter towards the end of the run. By combining our APO photometric time series data with the Discovery Channel Telescope (DCT) data of Knight et al. (2017), taken 20 h later on 2017 October 30, we construct an almost complete light curve with a most probable lightcurve period of $P \simeq 4~{\rm h}$. Our results imply a double peaked rotation period of 8.1 $\pm$ 0.02 h, with a peak-to-peak amplitude of 1.5 - 2.1 mags. Assuming that 1I's shape can be approximated by an ellipsoid, the amplitude constraint implies that 1I has an axial ratio of 3.5 to 10.3, which is strikingly elongated. Assuming that 1I is rotating above its critical break up limit, our results are compatible with 1I having having modest cohesive strength and may have obtained its elongated shape during a tidal disruption event before being ejected from its home system. Astrometry useful for constraining 1I's orbit was also obtained and published in Weaver et al. (2017). △ Less

Submitted 29 January, 2018; v1 submitted 13 November, 2017; originally announced November 2017.

Comments: 13 pages, 6 figures, 1 table, accepted for publication in the Astrophysical Journal Letters, data are available at: https://github.com/dhuppenkothen/CometPeriodSearch and https://zenodo.org/record/1068392

Size-dependent modification of asteroid family Yarkovsky V-shapes

Authors: Bryce T. Bolin, Alessandro Morbidelli, Kevin J. Walsh

Abstract: The thermal properties of the surfaces of asteroids determine the magnitude of the drift rate cause by the Yarkovsky force. In the general case of Main Belt asteroids, the Yarkovsky force is indirectly proportional to the thermal inertia, $Γ$. Following the proposed relationship between $Γ$ and asteroid diameter $D$, we find that asteroids' Yarkovsky drift rates might have a more complex size depe… ▽ More The thermal properties of the surfaces of asteroids determine the magnitude of the drift rate cause by the Yarkovsky force. In the general case of Main Belt asteroids, the Yarkovsky force is indirectly proportional to the thermal inertia, $Γ$. Following the proposed relationship between $Γ$ and asteroid diameter $D$, we find that asteroids' Yarkovsky drift rates might have a more complex size dependence than previous thought, leading to a curved family V-shape boundary in semi-major axis, a, vs. 1/$D$ space. This implies that asteroids are drifting faster at larger sizes than previously considered decreasing on average the known ages of asteroid families. The V-Shape curvature is determined for $>$25 families located throughout the Main Belt to quantify the Yarkovsky size-dependent drift rate. We find that there is no correlation between family age and V-shape curvature. In addition, the V-shape curvature decreases for asteroid families with larger heliocentric distances suggesting that the relationship between $Γ$ and $D$ is weaker in the outer MB possibly due to homogenous surface roughness among family members. △ Less

Submitted 4 March, 2018; v1 submitted 11 October, 2017; originally announced October 2017.

Comments: 68 Pages, 69 Figures, 4 Tables, accepted for publication in Astronomy & Astrophysics. arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:1708.03662

Journal ref: A&A 611, A82 (2018)

Initial velocity V-shapes of young asteroid families

Authors: Bryce T. Bolin, Kevin J. Walsh, Alessandro Morbidelli, Marco Delbo

Abstract: Ejection velocity fields of asteroid families are largely unconstrained due to the fact that members disperse relatively quickly on Myr time-scales by secular resonances and the Yarkovsky effect. The spreading of fragments in $a$ by the Yarkovsky effect is indistinguishable from the spreading caused by the initial ejection of fragments. By examining families $<$20 Myrs-old, we can use the V-shape… ▽ More Ejection velocity fields of asteroid families are largely unconstrained due to the fact that members disperse relatively quickly on Myr time-scales by secular resonances and the Yarkovsky effect. The spreading of fragments in $a$ by the Yarkovsky effect is indistinguishable from the spreading caused by the initial ejection of fragments. By examining families $<$20 Myrs-old, we can use the V-shape identification technique to separate family shapes that are due to the initial ejection velocity field and those that are due to the Yarkovsky effect. $<$20 Myr-old asteroid families provide an opportunity to study the velocity field of family fragments before they become too dispersed. Only the Karin family's initial velocity field has been determined and scales inversely with diameter, $D^{-1}$. We have applied the V-shape identification technique to constrain young families' initial ejection velocity fields by measuring the curvature of their fragments' V-shape correlation in semi-major axis, $a$, vs. $D^{-1}$ space. Curvature from a straight line implies a deviation from a scaling of $D^{-1}$. We measure the V-shape curvature of 11 young asteroid families including the \FYnospace, Aeolia, Brangane, Brasilia, Clarissa, Iannini, Karin, Konig, Koronis(2), Theobalda and Veritas asteroid families. We find that the majority of asteroid families have initial ejection velocity fields consistent with $\sim D^{-1}$ supporting laboratory impact experiments and computer simulations of disrupting asteroid parent bodies. △ Less

Submitted 26 September, 2017; v1 submitted 11 August, 2017; originally announced August 2017.

Comments: 68 Pages, 25 Figures, 2 Tables, accepted for publication in MNRAS

Yarkovsky V-shape identification of asteroid families

Authors: Bryce T. Bolin, Marco Delbo, Alessandro Morbidelli, Kevin J. Walsh

Abstract: There are only a few known main belt (MB) asteroid families with ages greater than 2 Gyr (Brož et al. 2013, Spoto et al. 2015). Estimates based on the family producing collision rate suggest that the lack of >2 Gyr-old families may be due to a selection bias in current techniques used to identify families. Family fragments disperse in their orbital elements, semi-major axis, $a$, eccentricity,… ▽ More There are only a few known main belt (MB) asteroid families with ages greater than 2 Gyr (Brož et al. 2013, Spoto et al. 2015). Estimates based on the family producing collision rate suggest that the lack of >2 Gyr-old families may be due to a selection bias in current techniques used to identify families. Family fragments disperse in their orbital elements, semi-major axis, $a$, eccentricity, $e$, and inclination, $i$, due to secular resonances, close encounters with massive asteroids and the non-gravitational Yarkovsky force. This causes the family fragments to be indistinguishable from the background of the main belt making them more difficult to identify with the hierarchical clustering method (HCM) with increasing family age. The discovery of the Eulalia and new Polana families in the inner belt relied on new techniques because Yarkovsky spreading made them too disperse to be identified using the classical HCM. The technique used to discover the new Polana and Eulalia families is modified to identify asteroid families by searching for correlations between $a$ and asteroid diameter, $D$, or absolute magnitude, $H$. A group of asteroids is identified as a collisional family if its boundary in the $a$ vs. 1/$D$ or $a$ vs. $H$ planes has a characteristic V-shape which is due to the size dependent Yarkovsky spreading. The V-shape boundary is identified with two separate techniques. The first identifies a border by measuring the drop between the number of objects inside and outside of the border. The second identifies the V-shape border by measuring the number density of objects in $a$ vs. 1/$D$,$H$ space. The V-shape techniques are demonstrated on known families Erigone, Vesta, Koronis, and families difficult to identify by HCM such as Flora, Baptistina, new Polana, Eulalia and Karin. Application of the technique in a search for >2 Gyr-old families throughout the MB is discussed. △ Less

Submitted 20 September, 2016; originally announced September 2016.

Comments: 74 pages, 17 figures, accepted for publication in Icarus