Showing 1–50 of 62 results for author: Moreira, C

Shattering the Shortcut: A Topology-Regularized Benchmark for Multi-hop Medical Reasoning in LLMs

Authors: Xing Zi, Xinying Zhou, Jinghao Xiao, Catarina Moreira, Mukesh Prasad

Abstract: While Large Language Models (LLMs) achieve expert-level performance on standard medical benchmarks through single-hop factual recall, they severely struggle with the complex, multi-hop diagnostic reasoning required in real-world clinical settings. A primary obstacle is "shortcut learning", where models exploit highly connected, generic hub nodes (e.g., "inflammation") in knowledge graphs to bypass… ▽ More While Large Language Models (LLMs) achieve expert-level performance on standard medical benchmarks through single-hop factual recall, they severely struggle with the complex, multi-hop diagnostic reasoning required in real-world clinical settings. A primary obstacle is "shortcut learning", where models exploit highly connected, generic hub nodes (e.g., "inflammation") in knowledge graphs to bypass authentic micro-pathological cascades. To address this, we introduce ShatterMed-QA, a bilingual benchmark of 10,558 multi-hop clinical questions designed to rigorously evaluate deep diagnostic reasoning. Our framework constructs a topology-regularized medical Knowledge Graph using a novel $k$-Shattering algorithm, which physically prunes generic hubs to explicitly sever logical shortcuts. We synthesize the evaluation vignettes by applying implicit bridge entity masking and topology-driven hard negative sampling, forcing models to navigate biologically plausible distractors without relying on superficial elimination. Comprehensive evaluations of 21 LLMs reveal massive performance degradation on our multi-hop tasks, particularly among domain-specific models. Crucially, restoring the masked evidence via Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) triggers near-universal performance recovery, validating ShatterMed-QA's structural fidelity and proving its efficacy in diagnosing the fundamental reasoning deficits of current medical AI. Explore the dataset, interactive examples, and full leaderboards at our project website: https://shattermed-qa-web.vercel.app/ △ Less

Submitted 12 March, 2026; originally announced March 2026.

Beyond Pixels: A Training-Free, Text-to-Text Framework for Remote Sensing Image Retrieval

Authors: J. Xiao, Y. Guo, X. Zi, K. Thiyagarajan, C. Moreira, M. Prasad

Abstract: Semantic retrieval of remote sensing (RS) images is a critical task fundamentally challenged by the \textquote{semantic gap}, the discrepancy between a model's low-level visual features and high-level human concepts. While large Vision-Language Models (VLMs) offer a promising path to bridge this gap, existing methods often rely on costly, domain-specific training, and there is a lack of benchmarks… ▽ More Semantic retrieval of remote sensing (RS) images is a critical task fundamentally challenged by the \textquote{semantic gap}, the discrepancy between a model's low-level visual features and high-level human concepts. While large Vision-Language Models (VLMs) offer a promising path to bridge this gap, existing methods often rely on costly, domain-specific training, and there is a lack of benchmarks to evaluate the practical utility of VLM-generated text in a zero-shot retrieval context. To address this research gap, we introduce the Remote Sensing Rich Text (RSRT) dataset, a new benchmark featuring multiple structured captions per image. Based on this dataset, we propose a fully training-free, text-only retrieval reference called TRSLLaVA. Our methodology reformulates cross-modal retrieval as a text-to-text (T2T) matching problem, leveraging rich text descriptions as queries against a database of VLM-generated captions within a unified textual embedding space. This approach completely bypasses model training or fine-tuning. Experiments on the RSITMD and RSICD benchmarks show our training-free method is highly competitive with state-of-the-art supervised models. For instance, on RSITMD, our method achieves a mean Recall of 42.62\%, nearly doubling the 23.86\% of the standard zero-shot CLIP baseline and surpassing several top supervised models. This validates that high-quality semantic representation through structured text provides a powerful and cost-effective paradigm for remote sensing image retrieval. △ Less

Submitted 11 December, 2025; originally announced December 2025.

Comments: 6 pages, 1 figure

Size Matters: The Impact of Avatar Size on User Experience in Healthcare Applications

Authors: Navid Ashrafi, Francesco Vona, Sina Hinzmann, Juliane Henning, Maurizio Vergari, Maximilian Warsinke, Catarina Pinto Moreira, Jan-Niklas Voigt-Antons

Abstract: The usage of virtual avatars in healthcare applications has become widely popular; however, certain critical aspects, such as social distancing and avatar size, remain insufficiently explored. This research investigates user experience and preferences when interacting with a healthcare application utilizing virtual avatars displayed in different sizes. For our study, we had 23 participants interac… ▽ More The usage of virtual avatars in healthcare applications has become widely popular; however, certain critical aspects, such as social distancing and avatar size, remain insufficiently explored. This research investigates user experience and preferences when interacting with a healthcare application utilizing virtual avatars displayed in different sizes. For our study, we had 23 participants interacting with five different avatars (a human-size avatar followed by four smaller avatars in a randomized order) varying in size, projected on a wall in front of them. The avatars were fully integrated with an artificial intelligence chatbot to make them conversational. Users were asked to rate the usability of the system after interacting with each avatar and complete a survey regarding trust and an additional questionnaire on social presence. The results of this study show that avatar size significantly influences the perceived attractiveness and perspicuity, with the medium-sized avatars receiving the highest ratings. Social presence correlated strongly with stimulation and attractiveness, suggesting that an avatar's visual appeal and interactivity influenced user engagement more than its physical size. Additionally, we observed a tendency for gender-specific differences on some of the UEQ+ scales, with male participants tending to prefer human-sized representations, while female participants slightly favored smaller avatars. These findings highlight the importance of avatar design and representation in optimizing user experience and trust in virtual healthcare environments. △ Less

Submitted 8 December, 2025; originally announced December 2025.

Comments: 7 pages, 3 figures

ACM Class: H.5.2

HeadZoom: Hands-Free Zooming and Panning for 2D Image Navigation Using Head Motion

Authors: Kaining Zhang, Catarina Moreira, Pedro Belchior, Gun Lee, Mark Billinghurst, Joaquim Jorge

Abstract: We introduce \textit{HeadZoom}, a hands-free interaction technique for navigating two-dimensional visual content using head movements. HeadZoom enables fluid zooming and panning using only real-time head tracking. It supports natural control in applications such as map exploration, radiograph inspection, and image browsing, where physical interaction is limited. We evaluated HeadZoom in a within-s… ▽ More We introduce \textit{HeadZoom}, a hands-free interaction technique for navigating two-dimensional visual content using head movements. HeadZoom enables fluid zooming and panning using only real-time head tracking. It supports natural control in applications such as map exploration, radiograph inspection, and image browsing, where physical interaction is limited. We evaluated HeadZoom in a within-subjects study comparing three interaction techniques-Static, Tilt Zoom, and Parallel Zoom-across spatial, error, and subjective metrics. Parallel Zoom significantly reduced total head movement compared to Static and Tilt modes. Users reported significantly lower perceived exertion for Parallel Zoom, confirming its suitability for prolonged or precision-based tasks. By minimizing movement demands while maintaining task effectiveness, HeadZoom advances the design of head-based 2D interaction in VR and creates new opportunities for accessible hands-free systems for image exploration. △ Less

Submitted 11 August, 2025; v1 submitted 3 August, 2025; originally announced August 2025.

Crafting Imperceptible On-Manifold Adversarial Attacks for Tabular Data

Authors: Zhipeng He, Alexander Stevens, Chun Ouyang, Johannes De Smedt, Alistair Barros, Catarina Moreira

Abstract: Adversarial attacks on tabular data present unique challenges due to the heterogeneous nature of mixed categorical and numerical features. Unlike images where pixel perturbations maintain visual similarity, tabular data lacks intuitive similarity metrics, making it difficult to define imperceptible modifications. Additionally, traditional gradient-based methods prioritise $\ell_p$-norm constraints… ▽ More Adversarial attacks on tabular data present unique challenges due to the heterogeneous nature of mixed categorical and numerical features. Unlike images where pixel perturbations maintain visual similarity, tabular data lacks intuitive similarity metrics, making it difficult to define imperceptible modifications. Additionally, traditional gradient-based methods prioritise $\ell_p$-norm constraints, often producing adversarial examples that deviate from the original data distributions. To address this, we propose a latent-space perturbation framework using a mixed-input Variational Autoencoder (VAE) to generate statistically consistent adversarial examples. The proposed VAE integrates categorical embeddings and numerical features into a unified latent manifold, enabling perturbations that preserve statistical consistency. We introduce In-Distribution Success Rate (IDSR) to jointly evaluate attack effectiveness and distributional alignment. Evaluation across six publicly available datasets and three model architectures demonstrates that our method achieves substantially lower outlier rates and more consistent performance compared to traditional input-space attacks and other VAE-based methods adapted from image domain approaches, achieving substantially lower outlier rates and higher IDSR across six datasets and three model architectures. Our comprehensive analyses of hyperparameter sensitivity, sparsity control, and generative architecture demonstrate that the effectiveness of VAE-based attacks depends strongly on reconstruction quality and the availability of sufficient training data. When these conditions are met, the proposed framework achieves superior practical utility and stability compared with input-space methods. This work underscores the importance of maintaining on-manifold perturbations for generating realistic and robust adversarial examples in tabular domains. △ Less

Submitted 21 November, 2025; v1 submitted 15 July, 2025; originally announced July 2025.

Comments: Final Version

Journal ref: Applied Soft Computing 186, Part D (2026) 114286

Explainable AI Systems Must Be Contestable: Here's How to Make It Happen

Authors: Catarina Moreira, Anna Palatkina, Dacia Braca, Dylan M. Walsh, Peter J. Leihn, Fang Chen, Nina C. Hubig

Abstract: As AI regulations around the world intensify their focus on system safety, contestability has become a mandatory, yet ill-defined, safeguard. In XAI, "contestability" remains an empty promise: no formal definition exists, no algorithm guarantees it, and practitioners lack concrete guidance to satisfy regulatory requirements. Grounded in a systematic literature review, this paper presents the first… ▽ More As AI regulations around the world intensify their focus on system safety, contestability has become a mandatory, yet ill-defined, safeguard. In XAI, "contestability" remains an empty promise: no formal definition exists, no algorithm guarantees it, and practitioners lack concrete guidance to satisfy regulatory requirements. Grounded in a systematic literature review, this paper presents the first rigorous formal definition of contestability in explainable AI, directly aligned with stakeholder requirements and regulatory mandates. We introduce a modular framework of by-design and post-hoc mechanisms spanning human-centered interfaces, technical architectures, legal processes, and organizational workflows. To operationalize our framework, we propose the Contestability Assessment Scale, a composite metric built on more than twenty quantitative criteria. Through multiple case studies across diverse application domains, we reveal where state-of-the-art systems fall short and show how our framework drives targeted improvements. By converting contestability from regulatory theory into a practical framework, our work equips practitioners with the tools to embed genuine recourse and accountability into AI systems. △ Less

Submitted 2 June, 2025; originally announced June 2025.

TabAttackBench: A Benchmark for Adversarial Attacks on Tabular Data

Authors: Zhipeng He, Chun Ouyang, Lijie Wen, Cong Liu, Catarina Moreira

Abstract: Adversarial attacks pose a significant threat to machine learning models by inducing incorrect predictions through imperceptible perturbations to input data. While these attacks are well studied in unstructured domains such as images, their behaviour on tabular data remains underexplored due to mixed feature types and complex inter-feature dependencies. This study introduces a comprehensive benchm… ▽ More Adversarial attacks pose a significant threat to machine learning models by inducing incorrect predictions through imperceptible perturbations to input data. While these attacks are well studied in unstructured domains such as images, their behaviour on tabular data remains underexplored due to mixed feature types and complex inter-feature dependencies. This study introduces a comprehensive benchmark that evaluates adversarial attacks on tabular datasets with respect to both effectiveness and imperceptibility. We assess five white-box attack algorithms (FGSM, BIM, PGD, DeepFool, and C\&W) across four representative models (LR, MLP, TabTransformer and FT-Transformer) using eleven datasets spanning finance, energy, and healthcare domains. The benchmark employs four quantitative imperceptibility metrics (proximity, sparsity, deviation, and sensitivity) to characterise perturbation realism. The analysis quantifies the trade-off between these two aspects and reveals consistent differences between attack types, with $\ell_\infty$-based attacks achieving higher success but lower subtlety, and $\ell_2$-based attacks offering more realistic perturbations. The benchmark findings offer actionable insights for designing more imperceptible adversarial attacks, advancing the understanding of adversarial vulnerability in tabular machine learning. △ Less

Submitted 12 October, 2025; v1 submitted 27 May, 2025; originally announced May 2025.

Comments: 71 pages, 21 figures, 11 tables

Journal ref: Expert Systems with Applications 301 (2026) 130491

Curation and Analysis of MIMICEL -- An Event Log for MIMIC-IV Emergency Department

Authors: Jia Wei, Chun Ouyang, Bemali Wickramanayake, Zhipeng He, Keshara Perera, Catarina Moreira

Abstract: The global issue of overcrowding in emergency departments (ED) necessitates the analysis of patient flow through ED to enhance efficiency and alleviate overcrowding. However, traditional analytical methods are time-consuming and costly. The healthcare industry is embracing process mining tools to analyse healthcare processes and patient flows. Process mining aims to discover, monitor, and enhance… ▽ More The global issue of overcrowding in emergency departments (ED) necessitates the analysis of patient flow through ED to enhance efficiency and alleviate overcrowding. However, traditional analytical methods are time-consuming and costly. The healthcare industry is embracing process mining tools to analyse healthcare processes and patient flows. Process mining aims to discover, monitor, and enhance processes by obtaining knowledge from event log data. However, the availability of event logs is a prerequisite for applying process mining techniques. Hence, this paper aims to generate an event log for analysing processes in ED. In this study, we extract an event log from the MIMIC-IV-ED dataset and name it MIMICEL. MIMICEL captures the process of patient journey in ED, allowing for analysis of patient flows and improving ED efficiency. We present analyses conducted using MIMICEL to demonstrate the utility of the dataset. The curation of MIMICEL facilitates extensive use of MIMIC-IV-ED data for ED analysis using process mining techniques, while also providing the process mining research communities with a valuable dataset for study. △ Less

Submitted 25 May, 2025; originally announced May 2025.

Gaze-Hand Steering for Travel and Multitasking in Virtual Environments

Authors: Mona Zavichi, André Santos, Catarina Moreira, Anderson Maciel, Joaquim Jorge

Abstract: As head-mounted displays (HMDs) with eye-tracking become increasingly accessible, the need for effective gaze-based interfaces in virtual reality (VR) grows. Traditional gaze- or hand-based navigation often limits user precision or impairs free viewing, making multitasking difficult. We present a gaze-hand steering technique that combines eye-tracking with hand-pointing: users steer only when gaze… ▽ More As head-mounted displays (HMDs) with eye-tracking become increasingly accessible, the need for effective gaze-based interfaces in virtual reality (VR) grows. Traditional gaze- or hand-based navigation often limits user precision or impairs free viewing, making multitasking difficult. We present a gaze-hand steering technique that combines eye-tracking with hand-pointing: users steer only when gaze aligns with a hand-defined target, reducing unintended actions and enabling free look. Speed is controlled via either a joystick or a waist-level speed circle. We evaluated our method in a user study (N=20) across multitasking and single-task scenarios, comparing it to a similar technique. Results show that gaze-hand steering maintains performance and enhances user comfort and spatial awareness during multitasking. Our findings support the use of gaze-hand steering in gaze-dominant VR applications requiring precision and simultaneous interaction. Our method significantly improves VR navigation in gaze-dominant, multitasking-intensive applications, supporting immersion and efficient control. △ Less

Submitted 2 April, 2025; originally announced April 2025.

Comments: 15 pages, 11 figures, 4 tables

TagGAN: A Generative Model for Data Tagging

Authors: Muhammad Nawaz, Basma Nasir, Tehseen Zia, Zawar Hussain, Catarina Moreira

Abstract: Precise identification and localization of disease-specific features at the pixel-level are particularly important for early diagnosis, disease progression monitoring, and effective treatment in medical image analysis. However, conventional diagnostic AI systems lack decision transparency and cannot operate well in environments where there is a lack of pixel-level annotations. In this study, we pr… ▽ More Precise identification and localization of disease-specific features at the pixel-level are particularly important for early diagnosis, disease progression monitoring, and effective treatment in medical image analysis. However, conventional diagnostic AI systems lack decision transparency and cannot operate well in environments where there is a lack of pixel-level annotations. In this study, we propose a novel Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs)-based framework, TagGAN, which is tailored for weakly-supervised fine-grained disease map generation from purely image-level labeled data. TagGAN generates a pixel-level disease map during domain translation from an abnormal image to a normal representation. Later, this map is subtracted from the input abnormal image to convert it into its normal counterpart while preserving all the critical anatomical details. Our method is first to generate fine-grained disease maps to visualize disease lesions in a weekly supervised setting without requiring pixel-level annotations. This development enhances the interpretability of diagnostic AI by providing precise visualizations of disease-specific regions. It also introduces automated binary mask generation to assist radiologists. Empirical evaluations carried out on the benchmark datasets, CheXpert, TBX11K, and COVID-19, demonstrate the capability of TagGAN to outperform current top models in accurately identifying disease-specific pixels. This outcome highlights the capability of the proposed model to tag medical images, significantly reducing the workload for radiologists by eliminating the need for binary masks during training. △ Less

Submitted 24 February, 2025; originally announced February 2025.

Weakly Supervised Pixel-Level Annotation with Visual Interpretability

Authors: Basma Nasir, Tehseen Zia, Muhammad Nawaz, Catarina Moreira

Abstract: Medical image annotation is essential for diagnosing diseases, yet manual annotation is time-consuming, costly, and prone to variability among experts. To address these challenges, we propose an automated explainable annotation system that integrates ensemble learning, visual explainability, and uncertainty quantification. Our approach combines three pre-trained deep learning models - ResNet50, Ef… ▽ More Medical image annotation is essential for diagnosing diseases, yet manual annotation is time-consuming, costly, and prone to variability among experts. To address these challenges, we propose an automated explainable annotation system that integrates ensemble learning, visual explainability, and uncertainty quantification. Our approach combines three pre-trained deep learning models - ResNet50, EfficientNet, and DenseNet - enhanced with XGrad-CAM for visual explanations and Monte Carlo Dropout for uncertainty quantification. This ensemble mimics the consensus of multiple radiologists by intersecting saliency maps from models that agree on the diagnosis while uncertain predictions are flagged for human review. We evaluated our system using the TBX11K medical imaging dataset and a Fire segmentation dataset, demonstrating its robustness across different domains. Experimental results show that our method outperforms baseline models, achieving 93.04% accuracy on TBX11K and 96.4% accuracy on the Fire dataset. Moreover, our model produces precise pixel-level annotations despite being trained with only image-level labels, achieving Intersection over Union IoU scores of 36.07% and 64.7%, respectively. By enhancing the accuracy and interpretability of image annotations, our approach offers a reliable and transparent solution for medical diagnostics and other image analysis tasks. △ Less

Submitted 24 February, 2025; originally announced February 2025.

PROMPTHEUS: A Human-Centered Pipeline to Streamline SLRs with LLMs

Authors: João Pedro Fernandes Torres, Catherine Mulligan, Joaquim Jorge, Catarina Moreira

Abstract: The growing volume of academic publications poses significant challenges for researchers conducting timely and accurate Systematic Literature Reviews, particularly in fast-evolving fields like artificial intelligence. This growth of academic literature also makes it increasingly difficult for lay people to access scientific knowledge effectively, meaning academic literature is often misrepresented… ▽ More The growing volume of academic publications poses significant challenges for researchers conducting timely and accurate Systematic Literature Reviews, particularly in fast-evolving fields like artificial intelligence. This growth of academic literature also makes it increasingly difficult for lay people to access scientific knowledge effectively, meaning academic literature is often misrepresented in the popular press and, more broadly, in society. Traditional SLR methods are labor-intensive and error-prone, and they struggle to keep up with the rapid pace of new research. To address these issues, we developed \textit{PROMPTHEUS}: an AI-driven pipeline solution that automates the SLR process using Large Language Models. We aimed to enhance efficiency by reducing the manual workload while maintaining the precision and coherence required for comprehensive literature synthesis. PROMPTHEUS automates key stages of the SLR process, including systematic search, data extraction, topic modeling using BERTopic, and summarization with transformer models. Evaluations conducted across five research domains demonstrate that PROMPTHEUS reduces review time, achieves high precision, and provides coherent topic organization, offering a scalable and effective solution for conducting literature reviews in an increasingly crowded research landscape. In addition, such tools may reduce the increasing mistrust in science by making summarization more accessible to laypeople. The code for this project can be found on the GitHub repository at https://github.com/joaopftorres/PROMPTHEUS.git △ Less

Submitted 22 October, 2024; v1 submitted 21 October, 2024; originally announced October 2024.

Developing Guidelines for Functionally-Grounded Evaluation of Explainable Artificial Intelligence using Tabular Data

Authors: Mythreyi Velmurugan, Chun Ouyang, Yue Xu, Renuka Sindhgatta, Bemali Wickramanayake, Catarina Moreira

Abstract: Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) techniques are used to provide transparency to complex, opaque predictive models. However, these techniques are often designed for image and text data, and it is unclear how fit-for-purpose they are when applied to tabular data. As XAI techniques are rarely evaluated in settings with tabular data, the applicability of existing evaluation criteria and metho… ▽ More Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) techniques are used to provide transparency to complex, opaque predictive models. However, these techniques are often designed for image and text data, and it is unclear how fit-for-purpose they are when applied to tabular data. As XAI techniques are rarely evaluated in settings with tabular data, the applicability of existing evaluation criteria and methods are also unclear and needs (re-)examination. For example, some works suggest that evaluation methods may unduly influence the evaluation results when using tabular data. This lack of clarity on evaluation procedures can lead to reduced transparency and ineffective use of XAI techniques in real world settings. In this study, we examine literature on XAI evaluation to derive guidelines on functionally-grounded assessment of local, post hoc XAI techniques. We identify 20 evaluation criteria and associated evaluation methods, and derive guidelines on when and how each criterion should be evaluated. We also identify key research gaps to be addressed by future work. Our study contributes to the body of knowledge on XAI evaluation through in-depth examination of functionally-grounded XAI evaluation protocols, and has laid the groundwork for future research on XAI evaluation. △ Less

Submitted 30 September, 2024; originally announced October 2024.

Load Balancing-based Topology Adaptation for Integrated Access and Backhaul Networks

Authors: Raul Victor de O. Paiva, Fco. Italo G. Carvalho, Fco. Rafael M. Lima, Victor F. Monteiro, Diego A. Sousa, Darlan C. Moreira, Tarcisio F. Maciel, Behrooz Makki

Abstract: Integrated access and backhaul (IAB) technology is a flexible solution for network densification. IAB nodes can also be deployed in moving nodes such as buses and trains, i.e., mobile IAB (mIAB). As mIAB nodes can move around the coverage area, the connection between mIAB nodes and their parent macro base stations (BSs), IAB donor, is sometimes required to change in order to keep an acceptable bac… ▽ More Integrated access and backhaul (IAB) technology is a flexible solution for network densification. IAB nodes can also be deployed in moving nodes such as buses and trains, i.e., mobile IAB (mIAB). As mIAB nodes can move around the coverage area, the connection between mIAB nodes and their parent macro base stations (BSs), IAB donor, is sometimes required to change in order to keep an acceptable backhaul link, the so called topology adaptation (TA). The change from one IAB donor to another may strongly impact the system load distribution, possibly causing unsatisfactory backhaul service due to the lack of radio resources. Based on this, TA should consider both backhaul link quality and traffic load. In this work, we propose a load balancing algorithm based on TA for IAB networks, and compare it with an approach in which TA is triggered based on reference signal received power (RSRP) only. The results show that our proposed algorithm improves the passengers worst connections throughput in uplink (UL) and, more modestly, also in downlink (DL), without impairing the pedestrian quality of service (QoS) significantly. △ Less

Submitted 3 October, 2024; originally announced October 2024.

Comments: Paper submitted to Journal of Communication and Information Systems (JCIS)

Cellular Network Densification: a System-level Analysis with IAB, NCR and RIS

Authors: Gabriel C. M. da Silva, Victor F. Monteiro, Diego A. Sousa, Darlan C. Moreira, Tarcisio F. Maciel, Fco. Rafael M. Lima, Behrooz Makki

Abstract: As the number of user equipments increases in fifth generation (5G) and beyond, it is desired to densify the cellular network with auxiliary nodes assisting the base stations. Examples of these nodes are integrated access and backhaul (IAB) nodes, network-controlled repeaters (NCRs) and reconfigurable intelligent surfaces (RISs). In this context, this work presents a system level overview of these… ▽ More As the number of user equipments increases in fifth generation (5G) and beyond, it is desired to densify the cellular network with auxiliary nodes assisting the base stations. Examples of these nodes are integrated access and backhaul (IAB) nodes, network-controlled repeaters (NCRs) and reconfigurable intelligent surfaces (RISs). In this context, this work presents a system level overview of these three nodes. Moreover, this work evaluates through simulations the impact of network planning aiming at enhancing the performance of a network used to cover an outdoor sport event. We show that, in the considered scenario, in general, IAB nodes provide an improved signal to interference-plus-noise ratio and throughput, compared to NCRs and RISs. However, there are situations where NCR outperforms IAB due to higher level of interference caused by the latter. Finally, we show that the deployment of these nodes in unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) also achieves performance gains due to their aerial mobility. However, UAV constraints related to aerial deployment may prevent these nodes from reaching results as good as the ones achieved by their stationary deployment. △ Less

Submitted 3 October, 2024; originally announced October 2024.

Comments: Paper submitted to IEEE Systems Journal

Investigating Imperceptibility of Adversarial Attacks on Tabular Data: An Empirical Analysis

Authors: Zhipeng He, Chun Ouyang, Laith Alzubaidi, Alistair Barros, Catarina Moreira

Abstract: Adversarial attacks are a potential threat to machine learning models by causing incorrect predictions through imperceptible perturbations to the input data. While these attacks have been extensively studied in unstructured data like images, applying them to tabular data, poses new challenges. These challenges arise from the inherent heterogeneity and complex feature interdependencies in tabular d… ▽ More Adversarial attacks are a potential threat to machine learning models by causing incorrect predictions through imperceptible perturbations to the input data. While these attacks have been extensively studied in unstructured data like images, applying them to tabular data, poses new challenges. These challenges arise from the inherent heterogeneity and complex feature interdependencies in tabular data, which differ from the image data. To account for this distinction, it is necessary to establish tailored imperceptibility criteria specific to tabular data. However, there is currently a lack of standardised metrics for assessing the imperceptibility of adversarial attacks on tabular data. To address this gap, we propose a set of key properties and corresponding metrics designed to comprehensively characterise imperceptible adversarial attacks on tabular data. These are: proximity to the original input, sparsity of altered features, deviation from the original data distribution, sensitivity in perturbing features with narrow distribution, immutability of certain features that should remain unchanged, feasibility of specific feature values that should not go beyond valid practical ranges, and feature interdependencies capturing complex relationships between data attributes. We evaluate the imperceptibility of five adversarial attacks, including both bounded attacks and unbounded attacks, on tabular data using the proposed imperceptibility metrics. The results reveal a trade-off between the imperceptibility and effectiveness of these attacks. The study also identifies limitations in current attack algorithms, offering insights that can guide future research in the area. The findings gained from this empirical analysis provide valuable direction for enhancing the design of adversarial attack algorithms, thereby advancing adversarial machine learning on tabular data. △ Less

Submitted 4 October, 2024; v1 submitted 16 July, 2024; originally announced July 2024.

Comments: 36 pages

Journal ref: Intelligent Systems with Applications 25 (2025) 200461

DALL-M: Context-Aware Clinical Data Augmentation with LLMs

Authors: Chihcheng Hsieh, Catarina Moreira, Isabel Blanco Nobre, Sandra Costa Sousa, Chun Ouyang, Margot Brereton, Joaquim Jorge, Jacinto C. Nascimento

Abstract: X-ray images are vital in medical diagnostics, but their effectiveness is limited without clinical context. Radiologists often find chest X-rays insufficient for diagnosing underlying diseases, necessitating the integration of structured clinical features with radiology reports. To address this, we introduce DALL-M, a novel framework that enhances clinical datasets by generating contextual synth… ▽ More X-ray images are vital in medical diagnostics, but their effectiveness is limited without clinical context. Radiologists often find chest X-rays insufficient for diagnosing underlying diseases, necessitating the integration of structured clinical features with radiology reports. To address this, we introduce DALL-M, a novel framework that enhances clinical datasets by generating contextual synthetic data. DALL-M augments structured patient data, including vital signs (e.g., heart rate, oxygen saturation), radiology findings (e.g., lesion presence), and demographic factors. It integrates this tabular data with contextual knowledge extracted from radiology reports and domain-specific resources (e.g., Radiopaedia, Wikipedia), ensuring clinical consistency and reliability. DALL-M follows a three-phase process: (i) clinical context storage, (ii) expert query generation, and (iii) context-aware feature augmentation. Using large language models (LLMs), it generates both contextual synthetic values for existing clinical features and entirely new, clinically relevant features. Applied to 799 cases from the MIMIC-IV dataset, DALL-M expanded the original 9 clinical features to 91. Empirical validation with machine learning models (including Decision Trees, Random Forests, XGBoost, and TabNET) demonstrated a 16.5% improvement in F1 score and a 25% increase in Precision and Recall. DALL-M bridges an important gap in clinical data augmentation by preserving data integrity while enhancing predictive modeling in healthcare. Our results show that integrating LLM-generated synthetic features significantly improves model performance, making DALL-M a scalable and practical approach for AI-driven medical diagnostics. △ Less

Submitted 15 March, 2025; v1 submitted 11 July, 2024; originally announced July 2024.

ACM Class: I.5.1; J.3; H.3.3; I.2.7

Impact of Network Deployment on the Performance of NCR-assisted Networks

Authors: Gabriel C. M. da Silva, Diego A. Sousa, Victor F. Monteiro, Darlan C. Moreira, Tarcisio F. Maciel, Fco. Rafael M. Lima, Behrooz Makki

Abstract: To address the need of coverage enhancement in the fifth generation (5G) of wireless cellular telecommunications, while taking into account possible bottlenecks related to deploying fiber based backhaul (e.g., required cost and time), the 3rd generation partnership project (3GPP) proposed in Release 18 the concept of network-controlled repeaters (NCRs). NCRs enhance previous radio frequency (RF) r… ▽ More To address the need of coverage enhancement in the fifth generation (5G) of wireless cellular telecommunications, while taking into account possible bottlenecks related to deploying fiber based backhaul (e.g., required cost and time), the 3rd generation partnership project (3GPP) proposed in Release 18 the concept of network-controlled repeaters (NCRs). NCRs enhance previous radio frequency (RF) repeaters by exploring beamforming transmissions controlled by the network through side control information. In this context, this paper introduces the concept of NCR. Furthermore, we present a system level model that allows the performance evaluation of an NCR-assisted network. Finally, we evaluate the network deployment impact on the performance of NCR-assisted networks. As we show, with proper network planning, NCRs can boost the signal to interference-plus-noise ratio (SINR) of the user equipments (UEs) in a poor coverage of a macro base station. Furthermore, celledge UEs and uplink (UL) communications are the ones that benefit the most from the presence of NCRs. △ Less

Submitted 2 July, 2024; originally announced July 2024.

Comments: Paper accepted for publication in the conference proceedings of "19th International Symposium on Wireless Communication Systems" (ISWCS)

SPARC: Shared Perspective with Avatar Distortion for Remote Collaboration in VR

Authors: João Simões, Anderson Maciel, Catarina Moreira, Joaquim Jorge

Abstract: Telepresence VR systems allow for face-to-face communication, promoting the feeling of presence and understanding of nonverbal cues. However, when discussing virtual 3D objects, limitations to presence and communication cause deictic gestures to lose meaning due to disparities in orientation. Current approaches use shared perspective, and avatar overlap to restore these references, which cause occ… ▽ More Telepresence VR systems allow for face-to-face communication, promoting the feeling of presence and understanding of nonverbal cues. However, when discussing virtual 3D objects, limitations to presence and communication cause deictic gestures to lose meaning due to disparities in orientation. Current approaches use shared perspective, and avatar overlap to restore these references, which cause occlusions and discomfort that worsen when multiple users participate. We introduce a new approach to shared perspective in multi-user collaboration where the avatars are not co-located. Each person sees the others' avatars at their positions around the workspace while having a first-person view of the workspace. Whenever a user manipulates an object, others will see his/her arms stretching to reach that object in their perspective. SPARC combines a shared orientation and supports nonverbal communication, minimizing occlusions. We conducted a user study (n=18) to understand how the novel approach impacts task performance and workspace awareness. We found evidence that SPARC is more efficient and less mentally demanding than life-like settings. △ Less

Submitted 6 April, 2025; v1 submitted 7 June, 2024; originally announced June 2024.

Comments: 14 pages 8 figures

SelfReDepth: Self-Supervised Real-Time Depth Restoration for Consumer-Grade Sensors

Authors: Alexandre Duarte, Francisco Fernandes, João M. Pereira, Catarina Moreira, Jacinto C. Nascimento, Joaquim Jorge

Abstract: Depth maps produced by consumer-grade sensors suffer from inaccurate measurements and missing data from either system or scene-specific sources. Data-driven denoising algorithms can mitigate such problems. However, they require vast amounts of ground truth depth data. Recent research has tackled this limitation using self-supervised learning techniques, but it requires multiple RGB-D sensors. More… ▽ More Depth maps produced by consumer-grade sensors suffer from inaccurate measurements and missing data from either system or scene-specific sources. Data-driven denoising algorithms can mitigate such problems. However, they require vast amounts of ground truth depth data. Recent research has tackled this limitation using self-supervised learning techniques, but it requires multiple RGB-D sensors. Moreover, most existing approaches focus on denoising single isolated depth maps or specific subjects of interest, highlighting a need for methods to effectively denoise depth maps in real-time dynamic environments. This paper extends state-of-the-art approaches for depth-denoising commodity depth devices, proposing SelfReDepth, a self-supervised deep learning technique for depth restoration, via denoising and hole-filling by inpainting full-depth maps captured with RGB-D sensors. The algorithm targets depth data in video streams, utilizing multiple sequential depth frames coupled with color data to achieve high-quality depth videos with temporal coherence. Finally, SelfReDepth is designed to be compatible with various RGB-D sensors and usable in real-time scenarios as a pre-processing step before applying other depth-dependent algorithms. Our results demonstrate our approach's real-time performance on real-world datasets. They show that it outperforms state-of-the-art denoising and restoration performance at over 30fps on Commercial Depth Cameras, with potential benefits for augmented and mixed-reality applications. △ Less

Submitted 5 June, 2024; originally announced June 2024.

Comments: 13pp, 5 figures, 1 table

Journal ref: Journal of Real-Time Image Processing 2024

Network-Controlled Repeater -- An Introduction

Authors: Fco. Italo G. Carvalho, Raul Victor de O. Paiva, Tarcisio F. Maciel, Victor F. Monteiro, Fco. Rafael M. Lima, Darlan C. Moreira, Diego A. Sousa, Behrooz Makki, Magnus Astrom, Lei Bao

Abstract: In fifth generation (5G) wireless cellular networks, millimeter wave spectrum opens room for several potential improvements in throughput, reliability, latency, among other aspects. However, it also brings challenges, such as a higher influence of blockage which may significantly limit the coverage. In this context, network-controlled repeaters (NCRs) are network nodes with low complexity that rep… ▽ More In fifth generation (5G) wireless cellular networks, millimeter wave spectrum opens room for several potential improvements in throughput, reliability, latency, among other aspects. However, it also brings challenges, such as a higher influence of blockage which may significantly limit the coverage. In this context, network-controlled repeaters (NCRs) are network nodes with low complexity that represent a technique to overcome coverage problems. In this paper, we introduce the NCR concept and study its performance gains and deployment options. Particularly, presenting the main specifications of NCR as agreed in 3rd generation partnership project (3GPP) Rel-18, we analyze different NCR deployments in an urban scenario and compare its performance with alternative deployments. As demonstrated, with a proper network planning and beamforming design, NCR is an attractive solution to cover blind spots the base stations (BSs) may have. △ Less

Submitted 14 March, 2024; originally announced March 2024.

Comments: Submmited to IEEE Communications Standards Magazine

Generating Feasible and Plausible Counterfactual Explanations for Outcome Prediction of Business Processes

Authors: Alexander Stevens, Chun Ouyang, Johannes De Smedt, Catarina Moreira

Abstract: In recent years, various machine and deep learning architectures have been successfully introduced to the field of predictive process analytics. Nevertheless, the inherent opacity of these algorithms poses a significant challenge for human decision-makers, hindering their ability to understand the reasoning behind the predictions. This growing concern has sparked the introduction of counterfactual… ▽ More In recent years, various machine and deep learning architectures have been successfully introduced to the field of predictive process analytics. Nevertheless, the inherent opacity of these algorithms poses a significant challenge for human decision-makers, hindering their ability to understand the reasoning behind the predictions. This growing concern has sparked the introduction of counterfactual explanations, designed as human-understandable what if scenarios, to provide clearer insights into the decision-making process behind undesirable predictions. The generation of counterfactual explanations, however, encounters specific challenges when dealing with the sequential nature of the (business) process cases typically used in predictive process analytics. Our paper tackles this challenge by introducing a data-driven approach, REVISEDplus, to generate more feasible and plausible counterfactual explanations. First, we restrict the counterfactual algorithm to generate counterfactuals that lie within a high-density region of the process data, ensuring that the proposed counterfactuals are realistic and feasible within the observed process data distribution. Additionally, we ensure plausibility by learning sequential patterns between the activities in the process cases, utilising Declare language templates. Finally, we evaluate the properties that define the validity of counterfactuals. △ Less

Submitted 14 March, 2024; originally announced March 2024.

Comments: Journal Submission

MDF-Net for abnormality detection by fusing X-rays with clinical data

Authors: Chihcheng Hsieh, Isabel Blanco Nobre, Sandra Costa Sousa, Chun Ouyang, Margot Brereton, Jacinto C. Nascimento, Joaquim Jorge, Catarina Moreira

Abstract: This study investigates the effects of including patients' clinical information on the performance of deep learning (DL) classifiers for disease location in chest X-ray images. Although current classifiers achieve high performance using chest X-ray images alone, our interviews with radiologists indicate that clinical data is highly informative and essential for interpreting images and making prope… ▽ More This study investigates the effects of including patients' clinical information on the performance of deep learning (DL) classifiers for disease location in chest X-ray images. Although current classifiers achieve high performance using chest X-ray images alone, our interviews with radiologists indicate that clinical data is highly informative and essential for interpreting images and making proper diagnoses. In this work, we propose a novel architecture consisting of two fusion methods that enable the model to simultaneously process patients' clinical data (structured data) and chest X-rays (image data). Since these data modalities are in different dimensional spaces, we propose a spatial arrangement strategy, spatialization, to facilitate the multimodal learning process in a Mask R-CNN model. We performed an extensive experimental evaluation using MIMIC-Eye, a dataset comprising modalities: MIMIC-CXR (chest X-ray images), MIMIC IV-ED (patients' clinical data), and REFLACX (annotations of disease locations in chest X-rays). Results show that incorporating patients' clinical data in a DL model together with the proposed fusion methods improves the disease localization in chest X-rays by 12\% in terms of Average Precision compared to a standard Mask R-CNN using only chest X-rays. Further ablation studies also emphasize the importance of multimodal DL architectures and the incorporation of patients' clinical data in disease localization. The architecture proposed in this work is publicly available to promote the scientific reproducibility of our study (https://github.com/ChihchengHsieh/multimodal-abnormalities-detection) △ Less

Submitted 27 December, 2023; v1 submitted 26 February, 2023; originally announced February 2023.

Development of an Immersive Virtual Colonoscopy Viewer for Colon Growths Diagnosis

Authors: João Serras, Anderson Maciel, Soraia Paulo, Andrew Duchowski, Regis Kopper, Catarina Moreira, Joaquim Jorge

Abstract: Desktop-based virtual colonoscopy has been proven to be an asset in the identification of colon anomalies. The process is accurate, although time-consuming. The use of immersive interfaces for virtual colonoscopy is incipient and not yet understood. In this work, we present a new design exploring elements of the VR paradigm to make the immersive analysis more efficient while still effective. We al… ▽ More Desktop-based virtual colonoscopy has been proven to be an asset in the identification of colon anomalies. The process is accurate, although time-consuming. The use of immersive interfaces for virtual colonoscopy is incipient and not yet understood. In this work, we present a new design exploring elements of the VR paradigm to make the immersive analysis more efficient while still effective. We also plan the conduction of experiments with experts to assess the multi-factor influences of coverage, duration, and diagnostic accuracy. △ Less

Submitted 4 May, 2023; v1 submitted 6 February, 2023; originally announced February 2023.

Comments: A version of this paper has been accepted for presentation at the 2nd XR Health workshop - XR Technologies for Healthcare and Wellbeing https://ieeevr.org/2023/contribute/workshoppapers/#XRHealth

Integrating Eye-Gaze Data into CXR DL Approaches: A Preliminary study

Authors: André Luís, Chihcheng Hsieh, Isabel Blanco Nobre, Sandra Costa Sousa, Anderson Maciel, Catarina Moreira, Joaquim Jorge

Abstract: This paper proposes a novel multimodal DL architecture incorporating medical images and eye-tracking data for abnormality detection in chest x-rays. Our results show that applying eye gaze data directly into DL architectures does not show superior predictive performance in abnormality detection chest X-rays. These results support other works in the literature and suggest that human-generated data,… ▽ More This paper proposes a novel multimodal DL architecture incorporating medical images and eye-tracking data for abnormality detection in chest x-rays. Our results show that applying eye gaze data directly into DL architectures does not show superior predictive performance in abnormality detection chest X-rays. These results support other works in the literature and suggest that human-generated data, such as eye gaze, needs a more thorough investigation before being applied to DL architectures. △ Less

Submitted 6 February, 2023; originally announced February 2023.

Comments: A version of this paper has been accepted for presentation at the 2nd XR Health workshop - XR Technologies for Healthcare and Wellbeing https://ieeevr.org/2023/contribute/workshoppapers/#XRHealth

AMORETTO: A Method for Deriving IoT-enriched Event Logs

Authors: Jia Wei, Chun Ouyang, Arthur H. M. ter Hofstede, Catarina Moreira

Abstract: Process analytics aims to gain insights into the behaviour and performance of business processes through the analysis of event logs, which record the execution of processes. With the widespread use of the Internet of Things (IoT), IoT data has become readily available and can provide valuable context information about business processes. As such, process analytics can benefit from incorporating Io… ▽ More Process analytics aims to gain insights into the behaviour and performance of business processes through the analysis of event logs, which record the execution of processes. With the widespread use of the Internet of Things (IoT), IoT data has become readily available and can provide valuable context information about business processes. As such, process analytics can benefit from incorporating IoT data into event logs to support more comprehensive, context-aware analyses. However, most existing studies focus on enhancing business process models with IoT data, whereas little attention has been paid to incorporating IoT data into event logs for process analytics. Hence, this paper aims to systematically integrate IoT data into event logs to support context-aware process analytics. To this end, we propose AMORETTO - a method for deriving IoT-enriched event logs. Firstly, we provide a classification of context data, referred to as the IoT-Pro context classification, which encompasses two context dimensions: IoT context and process context. Next, we present a method for integrating IoT data with event logs, guided by IoT-Pro, to yield IoT-enriched event logs. To demonstrate the applicability of AMORETTO, we applied it to a real-life use case and examined whether the derived IoT-enriched event log sufficed to address certain specific analytical questions. △ Less

Submitted 5 December, 2022; originally announced December 2022.

Benchmarking Instance-Centric Counterfactual Algorithms for XAI: From White Box to Black Box

Authors: Catarina Moreira, Yu-Liang Chou, Chihcheng Hsieh, Chun Ouyang, João Madeiras Pereira, Joaquim Jorge

Abstract: This study investigates the impact of machine learning models on the generation of counterfactual explanations by conducting a benchmark evaluation over three different types of models: a decision tree (fully transparent, interpretable, white-box model), a random forest (semi-interpretable, grey-box model), and a neural network (fully opaque, black-box model). We tested the counterfactual generati… ▽ More This study investigates the impact of machine learning models on the generation of counterfactual explanations by conducting a benchmark evaluation over three different types of models: a decision tree (fully transparent, interpretable, white-box model), a random forest (semi-interpretable, grey-box model), and a neural network (fully opaque, black-box model). We tested the counterfactual generation process using four algorithms (DiCE, WatcherCF, prototype, and GrowingSpheresCF) in the literature in 25 different datasets. Our findings indicate that: (1) Different machine learning models have little impact on the generation of counterfactual explanations; (2) Counterfactual algorithms based uniquely on proximity loss functions are not actionable and will not provide meaningful explanations; (3) One cannot have meaningful evaluation results without guaranteeing plausibility in the counterfactual generation. Algorithms that do not consider plausibility in their internal mechanisms will lead to biased and unreliable conclusions if evaluated with the current state-of-the-art metrics; (4) A counterfactual inspection analysis is strongly recommended to ensure a robust examination of counterfactual explanations and the potential identification of biases. △ Less

Submitted 11 June, 2024; v1 submitted 4 March, 2022; originally announced March 2022.

Journal ref: ACM Computing Surveys, 2024/6/3

Improving X-ray Diagnostics through Eye-Tracking and XR

Authors: Catarina Moreira, Isabel Blanco Nobre, Sandra Costa Sousa, João Madeiras Pereira, Joaquim Jorge

Abstract: There is a growing need to assist radiologists in performing X-ray readings and diagnoses fast, comfortably, and effectively. As radiologists strive to maximize productivity, it is essential to consider the impact of reading rooms in interpreting complex examinations and ensure that higher volume and reporting speeds do not compromise patient outcomes. Virtual Reality (VR) is a disruptive technolo… ▽ More There is a growing need to assist radiologists in performing X-ray readings and diagnoses fast, comfortably, and effectively. As radiologists strive to maximize productivity, it is essential to consider the impact of reading rooms in interpreting complex examinations and ensure that higher volume and reporting speeds do not compromise patient outcomes. Virtual Reality (VR) is a disruptive technology for clinical practice in assessing X-ray images. We argue that conjugating eye-tracking with VR devices and Machine Learning may overcome obstacles posed by inadequate ergonomic postures and poor room conditions that often cause erroneous diagnostics when professionals examine digital images. △ Less

Submitted 3 March, 2022; originally announced March 2022.

Journal ref: 1st International Workshop on XR for Healthcare and Wellbeing, 2022

An Extension Of Combinatorial Contextuality For Cognitive Protocols

Authors: Abdul Karim Obeid, Peter Bruza, Catarina Moreira, Axel Bruns, Daniel Angus

Abstract: This article extends the combinatorial approach to support the determination of contextuality amidst causal influences. Contextuality is an active field of study in Quantum Cognition, in systems relating to mental phenomena, such as concepts in human memory [Aerts et al., 2013]. In the cognitive field of study, a contemporary challenge facing the determination of whether a phenomenon is contextual… ▽ More This article extends the combinatorial approach to support the determination of contextuality amidst causal influences. Contextuality is an active field of study in Quantum Cognition, in systems relating to mental phenomena, such as concepts in human memory [Aerts et al., 2013]. In the cognitive field of study, a contemporary challenge facing the determination of whether a phenomenon is contextual has been the identification and management of disturbances [Dzhafarov et al., 2016]. Whether or not said disturbances are identified through the modelling approach, constitute causal influences, or are disregardableas as noise is important, as contextuality cannot be adequately determined in the presence of causal influences [Gleason, 1957]. To address this challenge, we first provide a formalisation of necessary elements of the combinatorial approach within the language of canonical9 causal models. Through this formalisation, we extend the combinatorial approach to support a measurement and treatment of disturbance, and offer techniques to separately distinguish noise and causal influences. Thereafter, we develop a protocol through which these elements may be represented within a cognitive experiment. As human cognition seems rife with causal influences, cognitive modellers may apply the extended combinatorial approach to practically determine the contextuality of cognitive phenomena. △ Less

Submitted 14 February, 2022; originally announced February 2022.

Comments: 28 pages, 10 figures, 5 tables

Building Interpretable Models for Business Process Prediction using Shared and Specialised Attention Mechanisms

Authors: Bemali Wickramanayake, Zhipeng He, Chun Ouyang, Catarina Moreira, Yue Xu, Renuka Sindhgatta

Abstract: In this paper, we address the "black-box" problem in predictive process analytics by building interpretable models that are capable to inform both what and why is a prediction. Predictive process analytics is a newly emerged discipline dedicated to providing business process intelligence in modern organisations. It uses event logs, which capture process execution traces in the form of multi-dimens… ▽ More In this paper, we address the "black-box" problem in predictive process analytics by building interpretable models that are capable to inform both what and why is a prediction. Predictive process analytics is a newly emerged discipline dedicated to providing business process intelligence in modern organisations. It uses event logs, which capture process execution traces in the form of multi-dimensional sequence data, as the key input to train predictive models. These predictive models, often built upon deep learning techniques, can be used to make predictions about the future states of business process execution. We apply attention mechanism to achieve model interpretability. We propose i) two types of attentions: event attention to capture the impact of specific process events on a prediction, and attribute attention to reveal which attribute(s) of an event influenced the prediction; and ii) two attention mechanisms: shared attention mechanism and specialised attention mechanism to reflect different design decisions in when to construct attribute attention on individual input features (specialised) or using the concatenated feature tensor of all input feature vectors (shared). These lead to two distinct attention-based models, and both are interpretable models that incorporate interpretability directly into the structure of a process predictive model. We conduct experimental evaluation of the proposed models using real-life dataset, and comparative analysis between the models for accuracy and interpretability, and draw insights from the evaluation and analysis results. △ Less

Submitted 25 April, 2022; v1 submitted 3 September, 2021; originally announced September 2021.

Comments: Accepted manuscripts; 40 pages, 22 figures, 13 tables

Explainable AI Enabled Inspection of Business Process Prediction Models

Authors: Chun Ouyang, Renuka Sindhgatta, Catarina Moreira

Abstract: Modern data analytics underpinned by machine learning techniques has become a key enabler to the automation of data-led decision making. As an important branch of state-of-the-art data analytics, business process predictions are also faced with a challenge in regard to the lack of explanation to the reasoning and decision by the underlying `black-box' prediction models. With the development of int… ▽ More Modern data analytics underpinned by machine learning techniques has become a key enabler to the automation of data-led decision making. As an important branch of state-of-the-art data analytics, business process predictions are also faced with a challenge in regard to the lack of explanation to the reasoning and decision by the underlying `black-box' prediction models. With the development of interpretable machine learning techniques, explanations can be generated for a black-box model, making it possible for (human) users to access the reasoning behind machine learned predictions. In this paper, we aim to present an approach that allows us to use model explanations to investigate certain reasoning applied by machine learned predictions and detect potential issues with the underlying methods thus enhancing trust in business process prediction models. A novel contribution of our approach is the proposal of model inspection that leverages both the explanations generated by interpretable machine learning mechanisms and the contextual or domain knowledge extracted from event logs that record historical process execution. Findings drawn from this work are expected to serve as a key input to developing model reliability metrics and evaluation in the context of business process predictions. △ Less

Submitted 16 July, 2021; originally announced July 2021.

Comments: 17 pages, 6 figures, 1 table

DiCE4EL: Interpreting Process Predictions using a Milestone-Aware Counterfactual Approach

Authors: Chihcheng Hsieh, Catarina Moreira, Chun Ouyang

Abstract: Predictive process analytics often apply machine learning to predict the future states of a running business~process. However, the internal mechanisms of many existing predictive algorithms are opaque and a human decision-maker is unable to understand \emph{why} a certain activity was predicted. Recently, counterfactuals have been proposed in the literature to derive human-understandable explanati… ▽ More Predictive process analytics often apply machine learning to predict the future states of a running business~process. However, the internal mechanisms of many existing predictive algorithms are opaque and a human decision-maker is unable to understand \emph{why} a certain activity was predicted. Recently, counterfactuals have been proposed in the literature to derive human-understandable explanations from predictive models. Current counterfactual approaches consist of finding the minimum feature change that can make a certain prediction flip its outcome. Although many algorithms have been proposed, their application to multi-dimensional sequence data like event logs has not been explored in the literature. In this paper, we explore the use of a recent, popular model-agnostic counterfactual algorithm, DiCE, in the context of predictive process analytics. The analysis reveals that DiCE is unable to derive explanations for process predictions, due to (1) process domain knowledge not being taken into account, (2) long traces of process execution that often tend to be less understandable, and (3) difficulties in optimising the counterfactual search with categorical variables. We design an extension of DiCE, namely DiCE4EL (DiCE for Event Logs), that can generate counterfactual explanations for process prediction, and propose an approach that supports deriving milestone-aware counterfactual explanations at key intermediate stages along process execution to promote interpretability. We apply our approach to a publicly available real-life event log and the analysis results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach. △ Less

Submitted 30 September, 2021; v1 submitted 19 July, 2021; originally announced July 2021.

Journal ref: Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Process Mining, 2021 (ICPM2021)

Developing a Fidelity Evaluation Approach for Interpretable Machine Learning

Authors: Mythreyi Velmurugan, Chun Ouyang, Catarina Moreira, Renuka Sindhgatta

Abstract: Although modern machine learning and deep learning methods allow for complex and in-depth data analytics, the predictive models generated by these methods are often highly complex, and lack transparency. Explainable AI (XAI) methods are used to improve the interpretability of these complex models, and in doing so improve transparency. However, the inherent fitness of these explainable methods can… ▽ More Although modern machine learning and deep learning methods allow for complex and in-depth data analytics, the predictive models generated by these methods are often highly complex, and lack transparency. Explainable AI (XAI) methods are used to improve the interpretability of these complex models, and in doing so improve transparency. However, the inherent fitness of these explainable methods can be hard to evaluate. In particular, methods to evaluate the fidelity of the explanation to the underlying black box require further development, especially for tabular data. In this paper, we (a) propose a three phase approach to developing an evaluation method; (b) adapt an existing evaluation method primarily for image and text data to evaluate models trained on tabular data; and (c) evaluate two popular explainable methods using this evaluation method. Our evaluations suggest that the internal mechanism of the underlying predictive model, the internal mechanism of the explainable method used and model and data complexity all affect explanation fidelity. Given that explanation fidelity is so sensitive to context and tools and data used, we could not clearly identify any specific explainable method as being superior to another. △ Less

Submitted 15 June, 2021; originally announced June 2021.

Order Effects in Bayesian Updates

Authors: Catarina Moreira, Jose Acacio de Barros

Abstract: Order effects occur when judgments about a hypothesis's probability given a sequence of information do not equal the probability of the same hypothesis when the information is reversed. Different experiments have been performed in the literature that supports evidence of order effects. We proposed a Bayesian update model for order effects where each question can be thought of as a mini-experimen… ▽ More Order effects occur when judgments about a hypothesis's probability given a sequence of information do not equal the probability of the same hypothesis when the information is reversed. Different experiments have been performed in the literature that supports evidence of order effects. We proposed a Bayesian update model for order effects where each question can be thought of as a mini-experiment where the respondents reflect on their beliefs. We showed that order effects appear, and they have a simple cognitive explanation: the respondent's prior belief that two questions are correlated. The proposed Bayesian model allows us to make several predictions: (1) we found certain conditions on the priors that limit the existence of order effects; (2) we show that, for our model, the QQ equality is not necessarily satisfied (due to symmetry assumptions); and (3) the proposed Bayesian model has the advantage of possessing fewer parameters than its quantum counterpart. △ Less

Submitted 23 September, 2021; v1 submitted 16 May, 2021; originally announced May 2021.

Journal ref: In Proceedings of the 43rd Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society, 2021

Counterfactuals and Causability in Explainable Artificial Intelligence: Theory, Algorithms, and Applications

Authors: Yu-Liang Chou, Catarina Moreira, Peter Bruza, Chun Ouyang, Joaquim Jorge

Abstract: There has been a growing interest in model-agnostic methods that can make deep learning models more transparent and explainable to a user. Some researchers recently argued that for a machine to achieve a certain degree of human-level explainability, this machine needs to provide human causally understandable explanations, also known as causability. A specific class of algorithms that have the pote… ▽ More There has been a growing interest in model-agnostic methods that can make deep learning models more transparent and explainable to a user. Some researchers recently argued that for a machine to achieve a certain degree of human-level explainability, this machine needs to provide human causally understandable explanations, also known as causability. A specific class of algorithms that have the potential to provide causability are counterfactuals. This paper presents an in-depth systematic review of the diverse existing body of literature on counterfactuals and causability for explainable artificial intelligence. We performed an LDA topic modelling analysis under a PRISMA framework to find the most relevant literature articles. This analysis resulted in a novel taxonomy that considers the grounding theories of the surveyed algorithms, together with their underlying properties and applications in real-world data. This research suggests that current model-agnostic counterfactual algorithms for explainable AI are not grounded on a causal theoretical formalism and, consequently, cannot promote causability to a human decision-maker. Our findings suggest that the explanations derived from major algorithms in the literature provide spurious correlations rather than cause/effects relationships, leading to sub-optimal, erroneous or even biased explanations. This paper also advances the literature with new directions and challenges on promoting causability in model-agnostic approaches for explainable artificial intelligence. △ Less

Submitted 8 June, 2021; v1 submitted 6 March, 2021; originally announced March 2021.

Evaluating Explainable Methods for Predictive Process Analytics: A Functionally-Grounded Approach

Authors: Mythreyi Velmurugan, Chun Ouyang, Catarina Moreira, Renuka Sindhgatta

Abstract: Predictive process analytics focuses on predicting the future states of running instances of a business process. While advanced machine learning techniques have been used to increase accuracy of predictions, the resulting predictive models lack transparency. Current explainable machine learning methods, such as LIME and SHAP, can be used to interpret black box models. However, it is unclear how fi… ▽ More Predictive process analytics focuses on predicting the future states of running instances of a business process. While advanced machine learning techniques have been used to increase accuracy of predictions, the resulting predictive models lack transparency. Current explainable machine learning methods, such as LIME and SHAP, can be used to interpret black box models. However, it is unclear how fit for purpose these methods are in explaining process predictive models. In this paper, we draw on evaluation measures used in the field of explainable AI and propose functionally-grounded evaluation metrics for assessing explainable methods in predictive process analytics. We apply the proposed metrics to evaluate the performance of LIME and SHAP in interpreting process predictive models built on XGBoost, which has been shown to be relatively accurate in process predictions. We conduct the evaluation using three open source, real-world event logs and analyse the evaluation results to derive insights. The research contributes to understanding the trustworthiness of explainable methods for predictive process analytics as a fundamental and key step towards human user-oriented evaluation. △ Less

Submitted 8 December, 2020; originally announced December 2020.

A Multiperiod Workforce Scheduling and Routing Problem with Dependent Tasks

Authors: Dilson Lucas Pereira, Júlio César Alves, Mayron César de Oliveira Moreira

Abstract: In this paper, we study a new Workforce Scheduling and Routing Problem, denoted Multiperiod Workforce Scheduling and Routing Problem with Dependent Tasks. In this problem, customers request services from a company. Each service is composed of dependent tasks, which are executed by teams of varying skills along one or more days. Tasks belonging to a service may be executed by different teams, and c… ▽ More In this paper, we study a new Workforce Scheduling and Routing Problem, denoted Multiperiod Workforce Scheduling and Routing Problem with Dependent Tasks. In this problem, customers request services from a company. Each service is composed of dependent tasks, which are executed by teams of varying skills along one or more days. Tasks belonging to a service may be executed by different teams, and customers may be visited more than once a day, as long as precedences are not violated. The objective is to schedule and route teams so that the makespan is minimized, i.e., all services are completed in the minimum number of days. In order to solve this problem, we propose a Mixed-Integer Programming model, a constructive algorithm and heuristic algorithms based on the Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) metaheuristic. The presence of precedence constraints makes it difficult to develop efficient local search algorithms. This motivates the choice of the ACO metaheuristic, which is effective in guiding the construction process towards good solutions. Computational results show that the model is capable of consistently solving problems with up to about 20 customers and 60 tasks. In most cases, the best performing ACO algorithm was able to match the best solution provided by the model in a fraction of its computational time. △ Less

Submitted 6 August, 2020; originally announced August 2020.

Journal ref: Computers & Operations Research, Volume 118, 2020, 104930, ISSN 0305-0548

An Interpretable Probabilistic Approach for Demystifying Black-box Predictive Models

Authors: Catarina Moreira, Yu-Liang Chou, Mythreyi Velmurugan, Chun Ouyang, Renuka Sindhgatta, Peter Bruza

Abstract: The use of sophisticated machine learning models for critical decision making is faced with a challenge that these models are often applied as a "black-box". This has led to an increased interest in interpretable machine learning, where post hoc interpretation presents a useful mechanism for generating interpretations of complex learning models. In this paper, we propose a novel approach underpinn… ▽ More The use of sophisticated machine learning models for critical decision making is faced with a challenge that these models are often applied as a "black-box". This has led to an increased interest in interpretable machine learning, where post hoc interpretation presents a useful mechanism for generating interpretations of complex learning models. In this paper, we propose a novel approach underpinned by an extended framework of Bayesian networks for generating post hoc interpretations of a black-box predictive model. The framework supports extracting a Bayesian network as an approximation of the black-box model for a specific prediction. Compared to the existing post hoc interpretation methods, the contribution of our approach is three-fold. Firstly, the extracted Bayesian network, as a probabilistic graphical model, can provide interpretations about not only what input features but also why these features contributed to a prediction. Secondly, for complex decision problems with many features, a Markov blanket can be generated from the extracted Bayesian network to provide interpretations with a focused view on those input features that directly contributed to a prediction. Thirdly, the extracted Bayesian network enables the identification of four different rules which can inform the decision-maker about the confidence level in a prediction, thus helping the decision-maker assess the reliability of predictions learned by a black-box model. We implemented the proposed approach, applied it in the context of two well-known public datasets and analysed the results, which are made available in an open-source repository. △ Less

Submitted 21 July, 2020; originally announced July 2020.

Construction of 'Support Vector' Machine Feature Spaces via Deformed Weyl-Heisenberg Algebra

Authors: Shahram Dehdashti, Catarina Moreira, Abdul Karim Obeid, Peter Bruza

Abstract: This paper uses deformed coherent states, based on a deformed Weyl-Heisenberg algebra that unifies the well-known SU(2), Weyl-Heisenberg, and SU(1,1) groups, through a common parameter. We show that deformed coherent states provide the theoretical foundation of a meta-kernel function, that is a kernel which in turn defines kernel functions. Kernel functions drive developments in the field of machi… ▽ More This paper uses deformed coherent states, based on a deformed Weyl-Heisenberg algebra that unifies the well-known SU(2), Weyl-Heisenberg, and SU(1,1) groups, through a common parameter. We show that deformed coherent states provide the theoretical foundation of a meta-kernel function, that is a kernel which in turn defines kernel functions. Kernel functions drive developments in the field of machine learning and the meta-kernel function presented in this paper opens new theoretical avenues for the definition and exploration of kernel functions. The meta-kernel function applies associated revolution surfaces as feature spaces identified with non-linear coherent states. An empirical investigation compares the deformed SU(2) and SU(1,1) kernels derived from the meta-kernel which shows performance similar to the Radial Basis kernel, and offers new insights (based on the deformed Weyl-Heisenberg algebra). △ Less

Submitted 2 June, 2020; originally announced June 2020.

QuLBIT: Quantum-Like Bayesian Inference Technologies for Cognition and Decision

Authors: Catarina Moreira, Matheus Hammes, Rasim Serdar Kurdoglu, Peter Bruza

Abstract: This paper provides the foundations of a unified cognitive decision-making framework (QulBIT) which is derived from quantum theory. The main advantage of this framework is that it can cater for paradoxical and irrational human decision making. Although quantum approaches for cognition have demonstrated advantages over classical probabilistic approaches and bounded rationality models, they still la… ▽ More This paper provides the foundations of a unified cognitive decision-making framework (QulBIT) which is derived from quantum theory. The main advantage of this framework is that it can cater for paradoxical and irrational human decision making. Although quantum approaches for cognition have demonstrated advantages over classical probabilistic approaches and bounded rationality models, they still lack explanatory power. To address this, we introduce a novel explanatory analysis of the decision-maker's belief space. This is achieved by exploiting quantum interference effects as a way of both quantifying and explaining the decision-maker's uncertainty. We detail the main modules of the unified framework, the explanatory analysis method, and illustrate their application in situations violating the Sure Thing Principle. △ Less

Submitted 28 June, 2021; v1 submitted 30 May, 2020; originally announced June 2020.

Journal ref: Proceedings of the 42nd Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society, 2020

Bistable Probabilities: A Unified Framework for Studying Rationality and Irrationality in Classical and Quantum Games

Authors: Shahram Dehdashti, Lauren Fell, Abdul Karim Obeid, Catarina Moreira, Peter Bruza

Abstract: This article presents a unified probabilistic framework that allows both rational and irrational decision making to be theoretically investigated and simulated in classical and quantum games. Rational choice theory is a basic component of game theoretic models, which assumes that a decision maker chooses the best action according to their preferences. In this article, we define irrationality as a… ▽ More This article presents a unified probabilistic framework that allows both rational and irrational decision making to be theoretically investigated and simulated in classical and quantum games. Rational choice theory is a basic component of game theoretic models, which assumes that a decision maker chooses the best action according to their preferences. In this article, we define irrationality as a deviation from a rational choice. Bistable probabilities are proposed as a principled and straight forward means for modeling irrational decision making in games. Bistable variants of classical and quantum Prisoner's Dilemma, Stag Hunt and Chicken are analyzed in order to assess the effect of irrationality on agent utility and Nash equilibria. It was found that up to three Nash equilibria exist for all three classical bistable games and maximal utility was attained when agents were rational. Up to three Nash equilibria exist for all three quantum bistable games, however, utility was shown to increase according to higher levels of agent irrationality. △ Less

Submitted 4 April, 2020; originally announced April 2020.

MSC Class: 91A10

An Investigation of Interpretability Techniques for Deep Learning in Predictive Process Analytics

Authors: Catarina Moreira, Renuka Sindhgatta, Chun Ouyang, Peter Bruza, Andreas Wichert

Abstract: This paper explores interpretability techniques for two of the most successful learning algorithms in medical decision-making literature: deep neural networks and random forests. We applied these algorithms in a real-world medical dataset containing information about patients with cancer, where we learn models that try to predict the type of cancer of the patient, given their set of medical activi… ▽ More This paper explores interpretability techniques for two of the most successful learning algorithms in medical decision-making literature: deep neural networks and random forests. We applied these algorithms in a real-world medical dataset containing information about patients with cancer, where we learn models that try to predict the type of cancer of the patient, given their set of medical activity records. We explored different algorithms based on neural network architectures using long short term deep neural networks, and random forests. Since there is a growing need to provide decision-makers understandings about the logic of predictions of black boxes, we also explored different techniques that provide interpretations for these classifiers. In one of the techniques, we intercepted some hidden layers of these neural networks and used autoencoders in order to learn what is the representation of the input in the hidden layers. In another, we investigated an interpretable model locally around the random forest's prediction. Results show learning an interpretable model locally around the model's prediction leads to a higher understanding of why the algorithm is making some decision. Use of local and linear model helps identify the features used in prediction of a specific instance or data point. We see certain distinct features used for predictions that provide useful insights about the type of cancer, along with features that do not generalize well. In addition, the structured deep learning approach using autoencoders provided meaningful prediction insights, which resulted in the identification of nonlinear clusters correspondent to the patients' different types of cancer. △ Less

Submitted 21 February, 2020; originally announced February 2020.

Exploring Interpretability for Predictive Process Analytics

Authors: Renuka Sindhgatta, Chun Ouyang, Catarina Moreira

Abstract: Modern predictive analytics underpinned by machine learning techniques has become a key enabler to the automation of data-driven decision making. In the context of business process management, predictive analytics has been applied to making predictions about the future state of an ongoing business process instance, for example, when will the process instance complete and what will be the outcome u… ▽ More Modern predictive analytics underpinned by machine learning techniques has become a key enabler to the automation of data-driven decision making. In the context of business process management, predictive analytics has been applied to making predictions about the future state of an ongoing business process instance, for example, when will the process instance complete and what will be the outcome upon completion. Machine learning models can be trained on event log data recording historical process execution to build the underlying predictive models. Multiple techniques have been proposed so far which encode the information available in an event log and construct input features required to train a predictive model. While accuracy has been a dominant criterion in the choice of various techniques, they are often applied as a black-box in building predictive models. In this paper, we derive explanations using interpretable machine learning techniques to compare and contrast the suitability of multiple predictive models of high accuracy. The explanations allow us to gain an understanding of the underlying reasons for a prediction and highlight scenarios where accuracy alone may not be sufficient in assessing the suitability of techniques used to encode event log data to features used by a predictive model. Findings from this study motivate the need and importance to incorporate interpretability in predictive process analytics. △ Less

Submitted 8 June, 2020; v1 submitted 22 December, 2019; originally announced December 2019.

Comments: 15 pages, 7 figures

ACM Class: I.2.2; H.4.1

Approximation of the Lagrange and Markov spectra

Authors: Vincent Delecroix, Carlos Matheus, Carlos Gustavo Moreira

Abstract: The (classical) Lagrange spectrum is a closed subset of the positive real numbers defined in terms of diophantine approximation. Its structure is quite involved. This article describes a polynomial time algorithm to approximate it in Hausdorff distance. It also extends to approximate the Markov spectrum related to infimum of binary quadratic forms. The (classical) Lagrange spectrum is a closed subset of the positive real numbers defined in terms of diophantine approximation. Its structure is quite involved. This article describes a polynomial time algorithm to approximate it in Hausdorff distance. It also extends to approximate the Markov spectrum related to infimum of binary quadratic forms. △ Less

Submitted 27 November, 2019; v1 submitted 10 August, 2019; originally announced August 2019.

Comments: 11 pages, 7 figures

Towards a Quantum-Like Cognitive Architecture for Decision-Making

Authors: Catarina Moreira, Lauren Fell, Shahram Dehdashti, Peter Bruza, Andreas Wichert

Abstract: We propose an alternative and unifying framework for decision-making that, by using quantum mechanics, provides more generalised cognitive and decision models with the ability to represent more information than classical models. This framework can accommodate and predict several cognitive biases reported in Lieder & Griffiths without heavy reliance on heuristics nor on assumptions of the computati… ▽ More We propose an alternative and unifying framework for decision-making that, by using quantum mechanics, provides more generalised cognitive and decision models with the ability to represent more information than classical models. This framework can accommodate and predict several cognitive biases reported in Lieder & Griffiths without heavy reliance on heuristics nor on assumptions of the computational resources of the mind. △ Less

Submitted 8 November, 2020; v1 submitted 11 May, 2019; originally announced May 2019.

Securing Fog-to-Things Environment Using Intrusion Detection System Based On Ensemble Learning

Authors: Poulmanogo Illy, Georges Kaddoum, Christian Miranda Moreira, Kuljeet Kaur, Sahil Garg

Abstract: The growing interest in the Internet of Things (IoT) applications is associated with an augmented volume of security threats. In this vein, the Intrusion detection systems (IDS) have emerged as a viable solution for the detection and prevention of malicious activities. Unlike the signature-based detection approaches, machine learning-based solutions are a promising means for detecting unknown atta… ▽ More The growing interest in the Internet of Things (IoT) applications is associated with an augmented volume of security threats. In this vein, the Intrusion detection systems (IDS) have emerged as a viable solution for the detection and prevention of malicious activities. Unlike the signature-based detection approaches, machine learning-based solutions are a promising means for detecting unknown attacks. However, the machine learning models need to be accurate enough to reduce the number of false alarms. More importantly, they need to be trained and evaluated on realistic datasets such that their efficacy can be validated on real-time deployments. Many solutions proposed in the literature are reported to have high accuracy but are ineffective in real applications due to the non-representativity of the dataset used for training and evaluation of the underlying models. On the other hand, some of the existing solutions overcome these challenges but yield low accuracy which hampers their implementation for commercial tools. These solutions are majorly based on single learners and are therefore directly affected by the intrinsic limitations of each learning algorithm. The novelty of this paper is to use the most realistic dataset available for intrusion detection called NSL-KDD, and combine multiple learners to build ensemble learners that increase the accuracy of the detection. Furthermore, a deployment architecture in a fog-to-things environment that employs two levels of classifications is proposed. In such architecture, the first level performs an anomaly detection which reduces the latency of the classification substantially, while the second level, executes attack classifications, enabling precise prevention measures. Finally, the experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed IDS in comparison with the other state-of-the-arts on the NSL-KDD dataset. △ Less

Submitted 30 January, 2019; originally announced January 2019.

Comments: 7 pages, 9 figures, IEEE Wireless Communications and Networking Conference, Internet of Things, Intrusion detection systems

Journal ref: 2019 IEEE Wireless Communications and Networking Conference (WCNC)

Unifying Decision-Making: a Review on Evolutionary Theories on Rationality and Cognitive Biases

Authors: Catarina Moreira

Abstract: In this paper, we make a review on the concepts of rationality across several different fields, namely in economics, psychology and evolutionary biology and behavioural ecology. We review how processes like natural selection can help us understand the evolution of cognition and how cognitive biases might be a consequence of this natural selection. In the end we argue that humans are not irrational… ▽ More In this paper, we make a review on the concepts of rationality across several different fields, namely in economics, psychology and evolutionary biology and behavioural ecology. We review how processes like natural selection can help us understand the evolution of cognition and how cognitive biases might be a consequence of this natural selection. In the end we argue that humans are not irrational, but rather rationally bounded and we complement the discussion on how quantum cognitive models can contribute for the modelling and prediction of human paradoxical decisions. △ Less

Submitted 29 November, 2018; originally announced November 2018.

Introducing Quantum-Like Influence Diagrams for Violations of the Sure Thing Principle

Authors: Catarina Moreira, Andreas Wichert

Abstract: It is the focus of this work to extend and study the previously proposed quantum-like Bayesian networks to deal with decision-making scenarios by incorporating the notion of maximum expected utility in influence diagrams. The general idea is to take advantage of the quantum interference terms produced in the quantum-like Bayesian Network to influence the probabilities used to compute the expected… ▽ More It is the focus of this work to extend and study the previously proposed quantum-like Bayesian networks to deal with decision-making scenarios by incorporating the notion of maximum expected utility in influence diagrams. The general idea is to take advantage of the quantum interference terms produced in the quantum-like Bayesian Network to influence the probabilities used to compute the expected utility of some action. This way, we are not proposing a new type of expected utility hypothesis. On the contrary, we are keeping it under its classical definition. We are only incorporating it as an extension of a probabilistic graphical model in a compact graphical representation called an influence diagram in which the utility function depends on the probabilistic influences of the quantum-like Bayesian network. Our findings suggest that the proposed quantum-like influence digram can indeed take advantage of the quantum interference effects of quantum-like Bayesian Networks to maximise the utility of a cooperative behaviour in detriment of a fully rational defect behaviour under the prisoner's dilemma game. △ Less

Submitted 29 December, 2020; v1 submitted 16 July, 2018; originally announced July 2018.

Journal ref: Quantum Interactions, 2018

The Dutch's Real World Financial Institute: Introducing Quantum-Like Bayesian Networks as an Alternative Model to deal with Uncertainty

Authors: Catarina Moreira, Emmanuel Haven, Sandro Sozzo, Andreas Wichert

Abstract: In this work, we analyse and model a real life financial loan application belonging to a sample bank in the Netherlands. The log is robust in terms of data, containing a total of 262 200 event logs, belonging to 13 087 different credit applications. The dataset is heterogeneous and consists of a mixture of computer generated automatic processes and manual human tasks. The goal is to work out a dec… ▽ More In this work, we analyse and model a real life financial loan application belonging to a sample bank in the Netherlands. The log is robust in terms of data, containing a total of 262 200 event logs, belonging to 13 087 different credit applications. The dataset is heterogeneous and consists of a mixture of computer generated automatic processes and manual human tasks. The goal is to work out a decision model, which represents the underlying tasks that make up the loan application service, and to assess potential areas of improvement of the institution's internal processes. To this end we study the impact of incomplete event logs for the extraction and analysis of business processes. It is quite common that event logs are incomplete with several amounts of missing information (for instance, workers forget to register their tasks). Absence of data is translated into a drastic decrease of precision and compromises the decision models, leading to biased and unrepresentative results. We investigate how classical probabilistic models are affected by incomplete event logs and we explore quantum-like probabilistic inferences as an alternative mathematical model to classical probability. This work represents a first step towards systematic investigation of the impact of quantum interference in a real life large scale decision scenario. The results obtained in this study indicate that, under high levels of uncertainty, the quantum-like models generate quantum interference terms, which allow an additional non-linear parameterisation of the data. Experimental results attest the efficiency of the quantum-like Bayesian networks, since the application of interference terms is able to reduce the error percentage of inferences performed over quantum-like models when compared to inferences produced by classical models. △ Less

Submitted 2 October, 2017; originally announced October 2017.

Comments: 15 images, 33 pages

The Relation Between Acausality and Interference in Quantum-Like Bayesian Networks

Authors: Catarina Moreira, Andreas Wichert

Abstract: We analyse a quantum-like Bayesian Network that puts together cause/effect relationships and semantic similarities between events. These semantic similarities constitute acausal connections according to the Synchronicity principle and provide new relationships to quantum like probabilistic graphical models. As a consequence, beliefs (or any other event) can be represented in vector spaces, in whic… ▽ More We analyse a quantum-like Bayesian Network that puts together cause/effect relationships and semantic similarities between events. These semantic similarities constitute acausal connections according to the Synchronicity principle and provide new relationships to quantum like probabilistic graphical models. As a consequence, beliefs (or any other event) can be represented in vector spaces, in which quantum parameters are determined by the similarities that these vectors share between them. Events attached by a semantic meaning do not need to have an explanation in terms of cause and effect. △ Less

Submitted 26 August, 2015; originally announced August 2015.

Comments: In proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Quantum Interactions, 2015