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Benchmarking bandgap prediction in semiconductors under experimental and realistic evaluation settings
Authors:
Haolin Wang,
Xianyuan Liu,
Anna Jungbluth,
Alexandra J. Ramadan,
Robert D. J. Oliver,
Haiping Lu
Abstract:
Accurate bandgap prediction is crucial for semiconductor applications, yet machine learning models trained on computational data often struggle to generalize to experimental bandgap measurements. Challenges related to data fidelity, domain generalization, and model interpretability remain insufficiently addressed in existing evaluation frameworks. To bridge this gap, we introduce RealMat-BaG, a be…
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Accurate bandgap prediction is crucial for semiconductor applications, yet machine learning models trained on computational data often struggle to generalize to experimental bandgap measurements. Challenges related to data fidelity, domain generalization, and model interpretability remain insufficiently addressed in existing evaluation frameworks. To bridge this gap, we introduce RealMat-BaG, a benchmark for assessing model reliability under experimentally relevant conditions. We curate an open-access dataset of experimental bandgaps with aligned crystal structures and compare graph neural networks as well as classical machine learning baselines. Our framework evaluates performance across statistical and domain-based splits, examines transfer from DFT-computed to experimental bandgaps, and analyzes interpretability at both elemental-property and structural levels. Our results reveal the fundamental generalization limitations of current bandgap prediction models and establish a benchmark aligned with experimental measurements for developing more reliable learning strategies for materials discovery.
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Submitted 28 April, 2026;
originally announced April 2026.
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Global 3D Reconstruction of Clouds & Tropical Cyclones
Authors:
Shirin Ermis,
Cesar Aybar,
Lilli Freischem,
Stella Girtsou,
Kyriaki-Margarita Bintsi,
Emiliano Diaz Salas-Porras,
Michael Eisinger,
William Jones,
Anna Jungbluth,
Benoit Tremblay
Abstract:
Accurate forecasting of tropical cyclones (TCs) remains challenging due to limited satellite observations probing TC structure and difficulties in resolving cloud properties involved in TC intensification. Recent research has demonstrated the capabilities of machine learning methods for 3D cloud reconstruction from satellite observations. However, existing approaches have been restricted to region…
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Accurate forecasting of tropical cyclones (TCs) remains challenging due to limited satellite observations probing TC structure and difficulties in resolving cloud properties involved in TC intensification. Recent research has demonstrated the capabilities of machine learning methods for 3D cloud reconstruction from satellite observations. However, existing approaches have been restricted to regions where TCs are uncommon, and are poorly validated for intense storms. We introduce a new framework, based on a pre-training--fine-tuning pipeline, that learns from multiple satellites with global coverage to translate 2D satellite imagery into 3D cloud maps of relevant cloud properties. We apply our model to a custom-built TC dataset to evaluate performance in the most challenging and relevant conditions. We show that we can - for the first time - create global instantaneous 3D cloud maps and accurately reconstruct the 3D structure of intense storms. Our model not only extends available satellite observations but also provides estimates when observations are missing entirely. This is crucial for advancing our understanding of TC intensification and improving forecasts.
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Submitted 12 January, 2026; v1 submitted 6 November, 2025;
originally announced November 2025.
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CIPHER: Scalable Time Series Analysis for Physical Sciences with Application to Solar Wind Phenomena
Authors:
Jasmine R. Kobayashi,
Daniela Martin,
Valmir P Moraes Filho,
Connor O'Brien,
Jinsu Hong,
Sudeshna Boro Saikia,
Hala Lamdouar,
Nathan D. Miles,
Marcella Scoczynski,
Mavis Stone,
Sairam Sundaresan,
Anna Jungbluth,
Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo,
Evangelia Samara,
Joseph Gallego
Abstract:
Labeling or classifying time series is a persistent challenge in the physical sciences, where expert annotations are scarce, costly, and often inconsistent. Yet robust labeling is essential to enable machine learning models for understanding, prediction, and forecasting. We present the \textit{Clustering and Indexation Pipeline with Human Evaluation for Recognition} (CIPHER), a framework designed…
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Labeling or classifying time series is a persistent challenge in the physical sciences, where expert annotations are scarce, costly, and often inconsistent. Yet robust labeling is essential to enable machine learning models for understanding, prediction, and forecasting. We present the \textit{Clustering and Indexation Pipeline with Human Evaluation for Recognition} (CIPHER), a framework designed to accelerate large-scale labeling of complex time series in physics. CIPHER integrates \textit{indexable Symbolic Aggregate approXimation} (iSAX) for interpretable compression and indexing, density-based clustering (HDBSCAN) to group recurring phenomena, and a human-in-the-loop step for efficient expert validation. Representative samples are labeled by domain scientists, and these annotations are propagated across clusters to yield systematic, scalable classifications. We evaluate CIPHER on the task of classifying solar wind phenomena in OMNI data, a central challenge in space weather research, showing that the framework recovers meaningful phenomena such as coronal mass ejections and stream interaction regions. Beyond this case study, CIPHER highlights a general strategy for combining symbolic representations, unsupervised learning, and expert knowledge to address label scarcity in time series across the physical sciences. The code and configuration files used in this study are publicly available to support reproducibility.
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Submitted 23 October, 2025;
originally announced October 2025.
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3D Cloud reconstruction through geospatially-aware Masked Autoencoders
Authors:
Stella Girtsou,
Emiliano Diaz Salas-Porras,
Lilli Freischem,
Joppe Massant,
Kyriaki-Margarita Bintsi,
Guiseppe Castiglione,
William Jones,
Michael Eisinger,
Emmanuel Johnson,
Anna Jungbluth
Abstract:
Clouds play a key role in Earth's radiation balance with complex effects that introduce large uncertainties into climate models. Real-time 3D cloud data is essential for improving climate predictions. This study leverages geostationary imagery from MSG/SEVIRI and radar reflectivity measurements of cloud profiles from CloudSat/CPR to reconstruct 3D cloud structures. We first apply self-supervised l…
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Clouds play a key role in Earth's radiation balance with complex effects that introduce large uncertainties into climate models. Real-time 3D cloud data is essential for improving climate predictions. This study leverages geostationary imagery from MSG/SEVIRI and radar reflectivity measurements of cloud profiles from CloudSat/CPR to reconstruct 3D cloud structures. We first apply self-supervised learning (SSL) methods-Masked Autoencoders (MAE) and geospatially-aware SatMAE on unlabelled MSG images, and then fine-tune our models on matched image-profile pairs. Our approach outperforms state-of-the-art methods like U-Nets, and our geospatial encoding further improves prediction results, demonstrating the potential of SSL for cloud reconstruction.
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Submitted 3 January, 2025;
originally announced January 2025.
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M3LEO: A Multi-Modal, Multi-Label Earth Observation Dataset Integrating Interferometric SAR and Multispectral Data
Authors:
Matthew J Allen,
Francisco Dorr,
Joseph Alejandro Gallego Mejia,
Laura Martínez-Ferrer,
Anna Jungbluth,
Freddie Kalaitzis,
Raúl Ramos-Pollán
Abstract:
Satellite-based remote sensing has revolutionised the way we address global challenges. Huge quantities of Earth Observation (EO) data are generated by satellite sensors daily, but processing these large datasets for use in ML pipelines is technically and computationally challenging. While some preprocessed Earth observation datasets exist, their content is often limited to optical or near-optical…
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Satellite-based remote sensing has revolutionised the way we address global challenges. Huge quantities of Earth Observation (EO) data are generated by satellite sensors daily, but processing these large datasets for use in ML pipelines is technically and computationally challenging. While some preprocessed Earth observation datasets exist, their content is often limited to optical or near-optical wavelength data, which is ineffective at night or in adverse weather conditions. Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR), an active sensing technique based on microwave length radiation, offers a viable alternative. However, the application of machine learning to SAR has been limited due to a lack of ML-ready data and pipelines, particularly for the full diversity of SAR data, including polarimetry, coherence and interferometry. In this work, we introduce M3LEO, a multi-modal, multi-label Earth observation dataset that includes polarimetric, interferometric, and coherence SAR data derived from Sentinel-1, alongside multispectral Sentinel-2 imagery and auxiliary data describing terrain properties such as land use. M3LEO spans approximately 17M 4x4 km data chips from six diverse geographic regions. The dataset is complemented by a flexible PyTorch Lightning framework configured using Hydra to accommodate its use across diverse ML applications in Earth observation. We provide tools to process any dataset available on popular platforms such as Google Earth Engine for seamless integration with our framework. We show that the distribution shift in self-supervised embeddings is substantial across geographic regions, even when controlling for terrain properties. Data: huggingface.co/M3LEO, Code: github.com/spaceml-org/M3LEO.
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Submitted 31 October, 2024; v1 submitted 6 June, 2024;
originally announced June 2024.
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Exploring DINO: Emergent Properties and Limitations for Synthetic Aperture Radar Imagery
Authors:
Joseph A. Gallego-Mejia,
Anna Jungbluth,
Laura Martínez-Ferrer,
Matt Allen,
Francisco Dorr,
Freddie Kalaitzis,
Raúl Ramos-Pollán
Abstract:
Self-supervised learning (SSL) models have recently demonstrated remarkable performance across various tasks, including image segmentation. This study delves into the emergent characteristics of the Self-Distillation with No Labels (DINO) algorithm and its application to Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery. We pre-train a vision transformer (ViT)-based DINO model using unlabeled SAR data, and l…
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Self-supervised learning (SSL) models have recently demonstrated remarkable performance across various tasks, including image segmentation. This study delves into the emergent characteristics of the Self-Distillation with No Labels (DINO) algorithm and its application to Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery. We pre-train a vision transformer (ViT)-based DINO model using unlabeled SAR data, and later fine-tune the model to predict high-resolution land cover maps. We rigorously evaluate the utility of attention maps generated by the ViT backbone and compare them with the model's token embedding space. We observe a small improvement in model performance with pre-training compared to training from scratch and discuss the limitations and opportunities of SSL for remote sensing and land cover segmentation. Beyond small performance increases, we show that ViT attention maps hold great intrinsic value for remote sensing, and could provide useful inputs to other algorithms. With this, our work lays the groundwork for bigger and better SSL models for Earth Observation.
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Submitted 2 December, 2023; v1 submitted 5 October, 2023;
originally announced October 2023.
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Exploring Generalisability of Self-Distillation with No Labels for SAR-Based Vegetation Prediction
Authors:
Laura Martínez-Ferrer,
Anna Jungbluth,
Joseph A. Gallego-Mejia,
Matt Allen,
Francisco Dorr,
Freddie Kalaitzis,
Raúl Ramos-Pollán
Abstract:
In this work we pre-train a DINO-ViT based model using two Synthetic Aperture Radar datasets (S1GRD or GSSIC) across three regions (China, Conus, Europe). We fine-tune the models on smaller labeled datasets to predict vegetation percentage, and empirically study the connection between the embedding space of the models and their ability to generalize across diverse geographic regions and to unseen…
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In this work we pre-train a DINO-ViT based model using two Synthetic Aperture Radar datasets (S1GRD or GSSIC) across three regions (China, Conus, Europe). We fine-tune the models on smaller labeled datasets to predict vegetation percentage, and empirically study the connection between the embedding space of the models and their ability to generalize across diverse geographic regions and to unseen data. For S1GRD, embedding spaces of different regions are clearly separated, while GSSIC's overlaps. Positional patterns remain during fine-tuning, and greater distances in embeddings often result in higher errors for unfamiliar regions. With this, our work increases our understanding of generalizability for self-supervised models applied to remote sensing.
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Submitted 2 December, 2023; v1 submitted 3 October, 2023;
originally announced October 2023.
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Large Scale Masked Autoencoding for Reducing Label Requirements on SAR Data
Authors:
Matt Allen,
Francisco Dorr,
Joseph A. Gallego-Mejia,
Laura Martínez-Ferrer,
Anna Jungbluth,
Freddie Kalaitzis,
Raúl Ramos-Pollán
Abstract:
Satellite-based remote sensing is instrumental in the monitoring and mitigation of the effects of anthropogenic climate change. Large scale, high resolution data derived from these sensors can be used to inform intervention and policy decision making, but the timeliness and accuracy of these interventions is limited by use of optical data, which cannot operate at night and is affected by adverse w…
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Satellite-based remote sensing is instrumental in the monitoring and mitigation of the effects of anthropogenic climate change. Large scale, high resolution data derived from these sensors can be used to inform intervention and policy decision making, but the timeliness and accuracy of these interventions is limited by use of optical data, which cannot operate at night and is affected by adverse weather conditions. Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) offers a robust alternative to optical data, but its associated complexities limit the scope of labelled data generation for traditional deep learning. In this work, we apply a self-supervised pretraining scheme, masked autoencoding, to SAR amplitude data covering 8.7\% of the Earth's land surface area, and tune the pretrained weights on two downstream tasks crucial to monitoring climate change - vegetation cover prediction and land cover classification. We show that the use of this pretraining scheme reduces labelling requirements for the downstream tasks by more than an order of magnitude, and that this pretraining generalises geographically, with the performance gain increasing when tuned downstream on regions outside the pretraining set. Our findings significantly advance climate change mitigation by facilitating the development of task and region-specific SAR models, allowing local communities and organizations to deploy tailored solutions for rapid, accurate monitoring of climate change effects.
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Submitted 30 September, 2024; v1 submitted 1 October, 2023;
originally announced October 2023.
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Fewshot learning on global multimodal embeddings for earth observation tasks
Authors:
Matt Allen,
Francisco Dorr,
Joseph A. Gallego-Mejia,
Laura Martínez-Ferrer,
Anna Jungbluth,
Freddie Kalaitzis,
Raúl Ramos-Pollán
Abstract:
In this work we pretrain a CLIP/ViT based model using three different modalities of satellite imagery across five AOIs covering over ~10\% of Earth's total landmass, namely Sentinel 2 RGB optical imagery, Sentinel 1 SAR radar amplitude and interferometric coherence. This model uses $\sim 250$ M parameters. Then, we use the embeddings produced for each modality with a classical machine learning met…
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In this work we pretrain a CLIP/ViT based model using three different modalities of satellite imagery across five AOIs covering over ~10\% of Earth's total landmass, namely Sentinel 2 RGB optical imagery, Sentinel 1 SAR radar amplitude and interferometric coherence. This model uses $\sim 250$ M parameters. Then, we use the embeddings produced for each modality with a classical machine learning method to attempt different downstream tasks for earth observation related to vegetation, built up surface, croplands and permanent water. We consistently show how we reduce the need for labeled data by 99\%, so that with ~200-500 randomly selected labeled examples (around 4K-10K km$^2$) we reach performance levels analogous to those achieved with the full labeled datasets (about 150K image chips or 3M km$^2$ in each area of interest - AOI) on all modalities, AOIs and downstream tasks. This leads us to think that the model has captured significant earth features useful in a wide variety of scenarios. To enhance our model's usability in practice, its architecture allows inference in contexts with missing modalities and even missing channels within each modality. Additionally, we visually show that this embedding space, obtained with no labels, is sensible to the different earth features represented by the labelled datasets we selected.
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Submitted 2 December, 2023; v1 submitted 29 September, 2023;
originally announced October 2023.
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The DeepCAR Method: Forecasting Time-Series Data That Have Change Points
Authors:
Ayla Jungbluth,
Johannes Lederer
Abstract:
Many methods for time-series forecasting are known in classical statistics, such as autoregression, moving averages, and exponential smoothing. The DeepAR framework is a novel, recent approach for time-series forecasting based on deep learning. DeepAR has shown very promising results already. However, time series often have change points, which can degrade the DeepAR's prediction performance subst…
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Many methods for time-series forecasting are known in classical statistics, such as autoregression, moving averages, and exponential smoothing. The DeepAR framework is a novel, recent approach for time-series forecasting based on deep learning. DeepAR has shown very promising results already. However, time series often have change points, which can degrade the DeepAR's prediction performance substantially. This paper extends the DeepAR framework by detecting and including those change points. We show that our method performs as well as standard DeepAR when there are no change points and considerably better when there are change points. More generally, we show that the batch size provides an effective and surprisingly simple way to deal with change points in DeepAR, Transformers, and other modern forecasting models.
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Submitted 22 February, 2023;
originally announced February 2023.
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RotNet: Fast and Scalable Estimation of Stellar Rotation Periods Using Convolutional Neural Networks
Authors:
J. Emmanuel Johnson,
Sairam Sundaresan,
Tansu Daylan,
Lisseth Gavilan,
Daniel K. Giles,
Stela Ishitani Silva,
Anna Jungbluth,
Brett Morris,
Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo
Abstract:
Magnetic activity in stars manifests as dark spots on their surfaces that modulate the brightness observed by telescopes. These light curves contain important information on stellar rotation. However, the accurate estimation of rotation periods is computationally expensive due to scarce ground truth information, noisy data, and large parameter spaces that lead to degenerate solutions. We harness t…
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Magnetic activity in stars manifests as dark spots on their surfaces that modulate the brightness observed by telescopes. These light curves contain important information on stellar rotation. However, the accurate estimation of rotation periods is computationally expensive due to scarce ground truth information, noisy data, and large parameter spaces that lead to degenerate solutions. We harness the power of deep learning and successfully apply Convolutional Neural Networks to regress stellar rotation periods from Kepler light curves. Geometry-preserving time-series to image transformations of the light curves serve as inputs to a ResNet-18 based architecture which is trained through transfer learning. The McQuillan catalog of published rotation periods is used as ansatz to groundtruth. We benchmark the performance of our method against a random forest regressor, a 1D CNN, and the Auto-Correlation Function (ACF) - the current standard to estimate rotation periods. Despite limiting our input to fewer data points (1k), our model yields more accurate results and runs 350 times faster than ACF runs on the same number of data points and 10,000 times faster than ACF runs on 65k data points. With only minimal feature engineering our approach has impressive accuracy, motivating the application of deep learning to regress stellar parameters on an even larger scale
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Submitted 3 December, 2020; v1 submitted 2 December, 2020;
originally announced December 2020.
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Single-Frame Super-Resolution of Solar Magnetograms: Investigating Physics-Based Metrics & Losses
Authors:
Anna Jungbluth,
Xavier Gitiaux,
Shane A. Maloney,
Carl Shneider,
Paul J. Wright,
Alfredo Kalaitzis,
Michel Deudon,
Atılım Güneş Baydin,
Yarin Gal,
Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo
Abstract:
Breakthroughs in our understanding of physical phenomena have traditionally followed improvements in instrumentation. Studies of the magnetic field of the Sun, and its influence on the solar dynamo and space weather events, have benefited from improvements in resolution and measurement frequency of new instruments. However, in order to fully understand the solar cycle, high-quality data across tim…
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Breakthroughs in our understanding of physical phenomena have traditionally followed improvements in instrumentation. Studies of the magnetic field of the Sun, and its influence on the solar dynamo and space weather events, have benefited from improvements in resolution and measurement frequency of new instruments. However, in order to fully understand the solar cycle, high-quality data across time-scales longer than the typical lifespan of a solar instrument are required. At the moment, discrepancies between measurement surveys prevent the combined use of all available data. In this work, we show that machine learning can help bridge the gap between measurement surveys by learning to super-resolve low-resolution magnetic field images and translate between characteristics of contemporary instruments in orbit. We also introduce the notion of physics-based metrics and losses for super-resolution to preserve underlying physics and constrain the solution space of possible super-resolution outputs.
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Submitted 4 November, 2019;
originally announced November 2019.
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Probabilistic Super-Resolution of Solar Magnetograms: Generating Many Explanations and Measuring Uncertainties
Authors:
Xavier Gitiaux,
Shane A. Maloney,
Anna Jungbluth,
Carl Shneider,
Paul J. Wright,
Atılım Güneş Baydin,
Michel Deudon,
Yarin Gal,
Alfredo Kalaitzis,
Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo
Abstract:
Machine learning techniques have been successfully applied to super-resolution tasks on natural images where visually pleasing results are sufficient. However in many scientific domains this is not adequate and estimations of errors and uncertainties are crucial. To address this issue we propose a Bayesian framework that decomposes uncertainties into epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties. We test…
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Machine learning techniques have been successfully applied to super-resolution tasks on natural images where visually pleasing results are sufficient. However in many scientific domains this is not adequate and estimations of errors and uncertainties are crucial. To address this issue we propose a Bayesian framework that decomposes uncertainties into epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties. We test the validity of our approach by super-resolving images of the Sun's magnetic field and by generating maps measuring the range of possible high resolution explanations compatible with a given low resolution magnetogram.
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Submitted 4 November, 2019;
originally announced November 2019.